GDP
Last fall, I wrote an article titled Defying Gravity that warned of the absurd price levels that stocks and bonds had risen to. Less than a month later, the stock market abruptly dropped by 7%. Those who didn't seek safety in advance were left licking their wounds, panicked not knowing if the painful down-draft was over.
So here we are roughly six months later, and the same warning bells are ringing — just louder this time.
For Heaven’s Sake: Hedge!
by Chris MartensonLast fall, I wrote an article titled Defying Gravity that warned of the absurd price levels that stocks and bonds had risen to. Less than a month later, the stock market abruptly dropped by 7%. Those who didn't seek safety in advance were left licking their wounds, panicked not knowing if the painful down-draft was over.
So here we are roughly six months later, and the same warning bells are ringing — just louder this time.
Few people understand the global economy and its (mis)management better than David Stockman — former director of the OMB under President Reagan, former US Representative, best-selling author of The Great Deformation, and veteran financier.
David is now loudly warning that events have entered the crack-up phase, which he predicts will be defined by the following 4 developments:
David Stockman: The Global Economy Has Entered The Crack-Up Phase
by Chris MartensonFew people understand the global economy and its (mis)management better than David Stockman — former director of the OMB under President Reagan, former US Representative, best-selling author of The Great Deformation, and veteran financier.
David is now loudly warning that events have entered the crack-up phase, which he predicts will be defined by the following 4 developments:
Executive Summary
- The 6 Factors
- Rising inequality
- Reversion to the mean
- Cost overages
- Diminishing returns
- Misleading measurement
- Expertise mismatch
- Why the 'success' of the Federal Reserve and other world central banks is ultimately dooming them to failure
If you have not yet read Why Our Central Planners Are Breeding Failure available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
In Part 1, we examined a variety of reasons why the apparent success of Keynesian monetary and fiscal policy may be transitional and brief rather than permanent.
Here in Part 2, we delve into the six other dynamics that make success destabilizing.
Rising Inequality—Perceived and Real
The highly touted “recovery” has been highly uneven in its distribution. The benefits of rising income and wealth have flowed disproportionately to the top 5%, 1% and even 1/10th of 1%. Those who didn't make it onto the limited-seating Recovery Bus feel the gap between the prospects and wealth of the top tier and their own wealth and prospects widening. Indeed, psychological studies find that we assess our wealth and social position not by our actual material prosperity, but by the narrowing or widening of the perceived wealth gap with our peers.
This is precisely the situation in the U.S. and China. Both economies are supposedly expanding smartly, but the gains are concentrated in a relative few hands; the Rising Prosperity Bus has few seats. The vast majority perceive themselves as being left behind, and that is highly…
The 6 Reasons The Next Economic Rescue Will Fail
PREVIEW by charleshughsmithExecutive Summary
- The 6 Factors
- Rising inequality
- Reversion to the mean
- Cost overages
- Diminishing returns
- Misleading measurement
- Expertise mismatch
- Why the 'success' of the Federal Reserve and other world central banks is ultimately dooming them to failure
If you have not yet read Why Our Central Planners Are Breeding Failure available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
In Part 1, we examined a variety of reasons why the apparent success of Keynesian monetary and fiscal policy may be transitional and brief rather than permanent.
Here in Part 2, we delve into the six other dynamics that make success destabilizing.
Rising Inequality—Perceived and Real
The highly touted “recovery” has been highly uneven in its distribution. The benefits of rising income and wealth have flowed disproportionately to the top 5%, 1% and even 1/10th of 1%. Those who didn't make it onto the limited-seating Recovery Bus feel the gap between the prospects and wealth of the top tier and their own wealth and prospects widening. Indeed, psychological studies find that we assess our wealth and social position not by our actual material prosperity, but by the narrowing or widening of the perceived wealth gap with our peers.
This is precisely the situation in the U.S. and China. Both economies are supposedly expanding smartly, but the gains are concentrated in a relative few hands; the Rising Prosperity Bus has few seats. The vast majority perceive themselves as being left behind, and that is highly…