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Image | John Hussman: The Stock Market Is Overvalued By 100%
John Hussman: The Stock Market Is Overvalued By 100%
by Chris Martenson

John Hussman is highly respected for his prodigious use of data and adherence to what it tells him about the state of the financial markets. His regular weekly market commentary is widely regarded as one of the best-researched, best-articulated publications available to money managers.

John's public appearances are rare, so we're especially grateful he made time to speak with us yesterday about the precarious state in which he sees global markets. Based on historical norms and averages, he calculates that the ZIRP and QE policies of the Fed and other world central banks have led to an overvaluation in the stock market where prices are 2 times higher than they should be.

John Hussman: The Stock Market Is Overvalued By 100%
 by Chris Martenson

John Hussman is highly respected for his prodigious use of data and adherence to what it tells him about the state of the financial markets. His regular weekly market commentary is widely regarded as one of the best-researched, best-articulated publications available to money managers.

John's public appearances are rare, so we're especially grateful he made time to speak with us yesterday about the precarious state in which he sees global markets. Based on historical norms and averages, he calculates that the ZIRP and QE policies of the Fed and other world central banks have led to an overvaluation in the stock market where prices are 2 times higher than they should be.

Image | Where To From Here?
Where To From Here?
by Brian Pretti

The financial markets were certainly correct in dismissing that rather abysmal first quarter 2014 GDP print, no?  After all, the current 4.2% GDP growth snapback revision in Q2 is proof positive Q1 was just a one-off fluke. Right?

The fact is: for a good five years now, economic pundits have been both hoping for, and then repeatedly disappointed by, the US economy's inability to achieve "escape velocity”.

So what lies ahead for the US economy? And for the financial markets? Are things going to get better or worse from here?
Where To From Here?
 by Brian Pretti

The financial markets were certainly correct in dismissing that rather abysmal first quarter 2014 GDP print, no?  After all, the current 4.2% GDP growth snapback revision in Q2 is proof positive Q1 was just a one-off fluke. Right?

The fact is: for a good five years now, economic pundits have been both hoping for, and then repeatedly disappointed by, the US economy's inability to achieve "escape velocity”.

So what lies ahead for the US economy? And for the financial markets? Are things going to get better or worse from here?
Image | I Blame The Central Banks
I Blame The Central Banks
by Chris Martenson

The current bubble in financial assets — in both equities and bonds of all grades and quality — raging in every major market across the globe is no accident.

It's a deliberate creation. An intentional result of policy.

Therefore, when it bursts, we shouldn't regard the resulting damage as some freak act of nature or other such outcome outside of our control. To reiterate, the carnage will be the very predictable result of our terribly shortsighted decision-making and defective logic.
I Blame The Central Banks
 by Chris Martenson

The current bubble in financial assets — in both equities and bonds of all grades and quality — raging in every major market across the globe is no accident.

It's a deliberate creation. An intentional result of policy.

Therefore, when it bursts, we shouldn't regard the resulting damage as some freak act of nature or other such outcome outside of our control. To reiterate, the carnage will be the very predictable result of our terribly shortsighted decision-making and defective logic.
Image | Darkening Skies
Darkening Skies
 PREVIEW
by Adam Taggart

Chris is busy finishing up a meaty report on the accelerating friction between the West and Russia, so I'm stepping in to make some quick notes on today's meaningful developments.

As PP.com readers know, we've been cautioning about a serious market correction for a long time. Valuations have been so far divorced from fundamentals for so long that we are frighteningly overdue for a drop — likely a large one — in asset prices.
Darkening Skies
 PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

Chris is busy finishing up a meaty report on the accelerating friction between the West and Russia, so I'm stepping in to make some quick notes on today's meaningful developments.

As PP.com readers know, we've been cautioning about a serious market correction for a long time. Valuations have been so far divorced from fundamentals for so long that we are frighteningly overdue for a drop — likely a large one — in asset prices.
Image | Off the Cuff: To The Moon And Back
Off the Cuff: To The Moon And Back
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

In this week's Off the Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish discuss:

  • Highs And Lows
    • How high will the markets climb? And how fast/far will they fall?
  • The Magic Fed
    • The backstop of last resort. But what will happen when it fails?
  • It's Net Energy, Stupid
    • The measurements for our economic decisions are all wrong
  • Prostitutes & Drugs
    • The lengths we go to fool ourselves
Off the Cuff: To The Moon And Back
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

In this week's Off the Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish discuss:

  • Highs And Lows
    • How high will the markets climb? And how fast/far will they fall?
  • The Magic Fed
    • The backstop of last resort. But what will happen when it fails?
  • It's Net Energy, Stupid
    • The measurements for our economic decisions are all wrong
  • Prostitutes & Drugs
    • The lengths we go to fool ourselves
Image | The Trouble with Numbers
The Trouble with Numbers
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

According to the ever-strident popular press, the world is in recovery. The stock market says so, the bond market says so, and the politicians and monetary bureaucrats all say so.

The only trouble is the central banks continue to flood the world with liquidity, something they shouldn't need to be doing if a true recovery were really upon us.
The Trouble with Numbers
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

According to the ever-strident popular press, the world is in recovery. The stock market says so, the bond market says so, and the politicians and monetary bureaucrats all say so.

The only trouble is the central banks continue to flood the world with liquidity, something they shouldn't need to be doing if a true recovery were really upon us.
Image | Alasdair Macleod: All You Need To Know About Negative Interest Rates
Alasdair Macleod: All You Need To Know About Negative Interest Rates
by Chris Martenson

On Thursday, the European Central Bank (ECB) took the historically unprecedented step of lowering certain of its interest rates below 0%. In a report to our premium subscribers immediately following the announcement, Chris likened the move to the policy equivalent of dropping a neutron bomb.

In the days following, despite the ECB attempting to clarify its stance further, many questions still linger; most notably: What exactly will the implications of this negative interest rate (NIRP) policy be?

 

Alasdair Macleod: All You Need To Know About Negative Interest Rates
 by Chris Martenson

On Thursday, the European Central Bank (ECB) took the historically unprecedented step of lowering certain of its interest rates below 0%. In a report to our premium subscribers immediately following the announcement, Chris likened the move to the policy equivalent of dropping a neutron bomb.

In the days following, despite the ECB attempting to clarify its stance further, many questions still linger; most notably: What exactly will the implications of this negative interest rate (NIRP) policy be?

 

Image | The US Housing Market’s Darkening Data
The US Housing Market’s Darkening Data
by Brian Pretti

The more we look at today's data, the more it looks like that we are in a new type of pricing cycle — one that homeowners and housing investors have no prior experience with.

And the more we learn about the fundamentals underlying the current cycle, the harder it becomes to justify today's home prices on any sustained level. Meaning a downward reversion in home values is very probable in the coming years.
The US Housing Market’s Darkening Data
 by Brian Pretti

The more we look at today's data, the more it looks like that we are in a new type of pricing cycle — one that homeowners and housing investors have no prior experience with.

And the more we learn about the fundamentals underlying the current cycle, the harder it becomes to justify today's home prices on any sustained level. Meaning a downward reversion in home values is very probable in the coming years.
Image | When Every Country Wants to Sell, Who Buys?
When Every Country Wants to Sell, Who Buys?
by Gregor Macdonald

Understandably for the US, which sustained a consumption supercycle for several decades, the post-financial crisis period has kicked off a new trend: Americans want to consume less, and make more.

Americans want to own less stuff, use less energy, and produce their own goods. In short, Americans want to sell. 
When Every Country Wants to Sell, Who Buys?
 by Gregor Macdonald

Understandably for the US, which sustained a consumption supercycle for several decades, the post-financial crisis period has kicked off a new trend: Americans want to consume less, and make more.

Americans want to own less stuff, use less energy, and produce their own goods. In short, Americans want to sell. 
Image | Have We Reached Peak Wall Street?
Have We Reached Peak Wall Street?
by charleshughsmith

Though the mainstream financial media and the blogosphere differ radically on their forecasts—the MFM sees near-zero systemic risk while the alternative media sees a critical confluence of it—they agree on one thing: the Federal Reserve and the “too big to fail” (TBTF) Wall Street banks have their hands on the political and financial tiller of the nation, and nothing will dislodge their dominance.

But what id Wall Street’s power has peaked and is about to be challenged by forces that it has never faced before? Put another way,what if the power of Wall Street has reached a systemic extreme where a decline or reversal is inevitable?
Have We Reached Peak Wall Street?
 by charleshughsmith

Though the mainstream financial media and the blogosphere differ radically on their forecasts—the MFM sees near-zero systemic risk while the alternative media sees a critical confluence of it—they agree on one thing: the Federal Reserve and the “too big to fail” (TBTF) Wall Street banks have their hands on the political and financial tiller of the nation, and nothing will dislodge their dominance.

But what id Wall Street’s power has peaked and is about to be challenged by forces that it has never faced before? Put another way,what if the power of Wall Street has reached a systemic extreme where a decline or reversal is inevitable?
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