page-loading-spinner

Market Updates

Image | Long-Term Perspective, Crude and the 10-Year Yield
Long-Term Perspective, Crude and the 10-Year Yield
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

This week, I will use monthly charts because they provide a more long-term perspective on what has happened, and may provide clues where things might be headed. A teacher of mine once said, to see the trend better, pull back on the timeframe. In that spirit, this New Year post will try to focus on…
Long-Term Perspective, Crude and the 10-Year Yield
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

This week, I will use monthly charts because they provide a more long-term perspective on what has happened, and may provide clues where things might be headed. A teacher of mine once said, to see the trend better, pull back on the timeframe. In that spirit, this New Year post will try to focus on…
Image | Mining, Crude and The Vaccine Bubble
Mining, Crude and The Vaccine Bubble
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

In contrast to gold’s mostly-sideways move, the miners rallied strongly on the week, up 3.67%.  Silver also did well, climbing +2.67%, making a new closing high. Ratios: GDX:gold +0.72% (bullish), GDXJ:GDX +1.54% (bullish), Gold:Silver ratio -2.64% (bullish). Even though gold barely moved, this was a bullish week overall for PM. I especially like how the…
Mining, Crude and The Vaccine Bubble
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

In contrast to gold’s mostly-sideways move, the miners rallied strongly on the week, up 3.67%.  Silver also did well, climbing +2.67%, making a new closing high. Ratios: GDX:gold +0.72% (bullish), GDXJ:GDX +1.54% (bullish), Gold:Silver ratio -2.64% (bullish). Even though gold barely moved, this was a bullish week overall for PM. I especially like how the…
Image | Mixed Macro Data and The Dollar
Mixed Macro Data and The Dollar
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

There were a number of economic reports this week: Personal Income: +0.36% month over month (m/m), prior +0.68% m/m. Still positive, but slowing. Durable Goods: new orders -2.13% m/m, prior +0.735 m/m; topping out. Bearish Median New Home Sales: +7.57 m/m, prior +3.14% m/m. New all time high. Personal Income: +1.3% quarter over quarter (q/q),…
Mixed Macro Data and The Dollar
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

There were a number of economic reports this week: Personal Income: +0.36% month over month (m/m), prior +0.68% m/m. Still positive, but slowing. Durable Goods: new orders -2.13% m/m, prior +0.735 m/m; topping out. Bearish Median New Home Sales: +7.57 m/m, prior +3.14% m/m. New all time high. Personal Income: +1.3% quarter over quarter (q/q),…
Image | Fed Rates, Dollar Reacts
Fed Rates, Dollar Reacts
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

There were three important economic reports this week: Retail Sales (RSXFS): -0.59% month over month, prior +1.29% m/m. Negative, especially the month before Commercialized Christmas. Industrial Production (INDPRO): -0.22% m/m, prior +2.45%.  Negative. Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL); +0.10% m/m, prior +0.44%. Falling energy prices are mostly responsible for the decline. Unlike last week, this picture…
Fed Rates, Dollar Reacts
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

There were three important economic reports this week: Retail Sales (RSXFS): -0.59% month over month, prior +1.29% m/m. Negative, especially the month before Commercialized Christmas. Industrial Production (INDPRO): -0.22% m/m, prior +2.45%.  Negative. Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL); +0.10% m/m, prior +0.44%. Falling energy prices are mostly responsible for the decline. Unlike last week, this picture…
Image | Gold, Labor Shortages, Rate Increases; Musk: A Case Study
Gold, Labor Shortages, Rate Increases; Musk: A Case Study
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

On the week, gold fell 10.50 [-0.58%] to 1800.20. All of the losses happened on Thursday. The candle print was mildly bearish, but gold remains above the MA50 and the MA200.  Gold does appear to have run into a little bit of trouble.  Perhaps this is hinting about a potential low in the buck? Open…
Gold, Labor Shortages, Rate Increases; Musk: A Case Study
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

On the week, gold fell 10.50 [-0.58%] to 1800.20. All of the losses happened on Thursday. The candle print was mildly bearish, but gold remains above the MA50 and the MA200.  Gold does appear to have run into a little bit of trouble.  Perhaps this is hinting about a potential low in the buck? Open…
Image | Oil Makes a 12-Month Low; Guidance from Col. Hackworth
Oil Makes a 12-Month Low; Guidance from Col. Hackworth
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

There were a pair of economic reports this week: The Producer Price Index by Commodity (PPIACO): -0.72% month over month (m/m), +9.07% year over year (y/y). Producer price inflation is falling – it is less than half of what it was at the peak (23%) in October, 2021. Durable Goods: Orders +1.06% m/m, New Orders:…
Oil Makes a 12-Month Low; Guidance from Col. Hackworth
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

There were a pair of economic reports this week: The Producer Price Index by Commodity (PPIACO): -0.72% month over month (m/m), +9.07% year over year (y/y). Producer price inflation is falling – it is less than half of what it was at the peak (23%) in October, 2021. Durable Goods: Orders +1.06% m/m, New Orders:…
Image | Labor Force Shortfall; The Dunning-Kruger WEF
Labor Force Shortfall; The Dunning-Kruger WEF
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

There were a large number of economic reports this week, headed by Payrolls, which were released on Friday, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time: Nonfarm Payrolls: headline +261k, expected +200k; new high, positive. Personal Income: +0.70% month/month (m/m) (prior +0.40 m/m); new high, positive. Auto/Light Truck Sales: +9.17%  m/m; positive and recovering from a sharp dip….
Labor Force Shortfall; The Dunning-Kruger WEF
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

There were a large number of economic reports this week, headed by Payrolls, which were released on Friday, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time: Nonfarm Payrolls: headline +261k, expected +200k; new high, positive. Personal Income: +0.70% month/month (m/m) (prior +0.40 m/m); new high, positive. Auto/Light Truck Sales: +9.17%  m/m; positive and recovering from a sharp dip….
Image | Good News for Metals; A Mafia Operation
Good News for Metals; A Mafia Operation
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

The buck fell 0.91 [-0.85%] to 105.92 on the week; most of the damage happened on Monday and Tuesday. While the buck remains (barely) above the 200 MA, this week marks a new 4-month closing low. Is the dollar rally over? I’ll show you a monthly of the buck this week – it might provide…
Good News for Metals; A Mafia Operation
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

The buck fell 0.91 [-0.85%] to 105.92 on the week; most of the damage happened on Monday and Tuesday. While the buck remains (barely) above the 200 MA, this week marks a new 4-month closing low. Is the dollar rally over? I’ll show you a monthly of the buck this week – it might provide…
Image | Recession Indicators; General Winter Arrives
Recession Indicators; General Winter Arrives
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

There were three big economic reports this week: Retail Sales (RSXFS): +1.26% m/m Industrial Production (INDPRO): -0.11% m/m Producer Prices (PPIACO): -1.3% m/m Mostly, producer prices = energy, which is down from peak. Retail sales were strong, except for clothing which was flat. Industrial production was basically flat also. I have a pair of models…
Recession Indicators; General Winter Arrives
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

There were three big economic reports this week: Retail Sales (RSXFS): +1.26% m/m Industrial Production (INDPRO): -0.11% m/m Producer Prices (PPIACO): -1.3% m/m Mostly, producer prices = energy, which is down from peak. Retail sales were strong, except for clothing which was flat. Industrial production was basically flat also. I have a pair of models…
Image | Dollar Crushed; Apology for America
Dollar Crushed; Apology for America
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

The buck was crushed this week, plunging -4.61% to 106.16, moving lower four days out of five. The bulk of the losses came after the Consumer Price Index release around 8:30 a.m. Eastern on Thursday, which showed a slightly lower rate (+0.44% m/m) than expected, and then on Friday, there were hints from the Chines…
Dollar Crushed; Apology for America
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

The buck was crushed this week, plunging -4.61% to 106.16, moving lower four days out of five. The bulk of the losses came after the Consumer Price Index release around 8:30 a.m. Eastern on Thursday, which showed a slightly lower rate (+0.44% m/m) than expected, and then on Friday, there were hints from the Chines…
Total 294 items

Community

Top Conversation

 Fauci's Private Diary Exposes Stark Contradictions on Lab Leak, Lethality, Lockdowns & Vaccines
Once again I am so grateful and appreciative to Chris (@cmartenson) for sorting through this horrendous Covid deception early on.
This allowed me to avoid the shot myself, self treat with ivermectin, zinc, vitamin-D and quercetin, stop wearing a mask when faced with a COVID positive patient, as well as making post on my facebook ER doctors groups that...
Image | sand_puppy by sand_puppy
40 280
View the conversation
Image | eQRP: Self-Directed Retirement

eQRP: Self-Directed Retirement

Learn more
Image | Peak Financial Investing

Peak Financial Investing

Learn more