Housing Bubble on the Brink, Dollar Dips, and Risk Still Roaring (For Now) PREVIEW Consumer Economy Retail Sales (RSAFS) $732B +4.6B (+0.63% m/m) Industrial Production (INDPRO) 103.9 +0.10 (+0.10% m/m) US Housing Permits (PERMIT) 1.31m -50k (-3.67% m/m) US Housing Starts (HOUST) 1.30m -122k (-8.54% m/m) Retail Sales grew at an annualized rate of 7.56% – that’s decent expansion, and not recessionary. The Food & Bev segment grew just… Housing Bubble on the Brink, Dollar Dips, and Risk Still Roaring (For Now) PREVIEW Consumer Economy Retail Sales (RSAFS) $732B +4.6B (+0.63% m/m) Industrial Production (INDPRO) 103.9 +0.10 (+0.10% m/m) US Housing Permits (PERMIT) 1.31m -50k (-3.67% m/m) US Housing Starts (HOUST) 1.30m -122k (-8.54% m/m) Retail Sales grew at an annualized rate of 7.56% – that’s decent expansion, and not recessionary. The Food & Bev segment grew just…
CPI Stagflation Surges, Gold and Miners Hit Highs, Trump-Cession Looms PREVIEW Consumer economy data shows PPI declining, CPI rising, with significant inflation in travel and food. Credit, rates, currencies, metals, energy, and risk assets reflect mixed economic signals. CPI Stagflation Surges, Gold and Miners Hit Highs, Trump-Cession Looms PREVIEW Consumer economy data shows PPI declining, CPI rising, with significant inflation in travel and food. Credit, rates, currencies, metals, energy, and risk assets reflect mixed economic signals.
Bad Payrolls Friday, Gold/Miners New All-Time Highs, and Disability-Inflation PREVIEW The payrolls revisions were downright ugly. Did the BLS’s misdeed cause Powell to indeed be “too late?” Meanwhile, gold continues to power higher for some reason; what does gold know that we should know? Bad Payrolls Friday, Gold/Miners New All-Time Highs, and Disability-Inflation PREVIEW The payrolls revisions were downright ugly. Did the BLS’s misdeed cause Powell to indeed be “too late?” Meanwhile, gold continues to power higher for some reason; what does gold know that we should know?
Gold & Silver and Miners Make New Highs, Europe in Trouble, and Is Bitcoin Leading the Way (Again)? PREVIEW Gold and silver busted some serious moves to new highs on Friday. Meanwhile Bitcoin sank. Europe seems intent on launching itself back into a war, and the plummeting approval ratings of EU leaders elevate that possibility. Something is definitely brewing, so let’s read the tea leaves together. Gold & Silver and Miners Make New Highs, Europe in Trouble, and Is Bitcoin Leading the Way (Again)? PREVIEW Gold and silver busted some serious moves to new highs on Friday. Meanwhile Bitcoin sank. Europe seems intent on launching itself back into a war, and the plummeting approval ratings of EU leaders elevate that possibility. Something is definitely brewing, so let’s read the tea leaves together.
Jackson Hole Friday, New Miner High, Sector Rotation Ahead? PREVIEW Powell’s Jackson Hole speech hints at rate cuts, sparking miner rallies and tech sell-offs. Sector rotation signals economic shifts amid high inflation and a shrinking workforce. Jackson Hole Friday, New Miner High, Sector Rotation Ahead? PREVIEW Powell’s Jackson Hole speech hints at rate cuts, sparking miner rallies and tech sell-offs. Sector rotation signals economic shifts amid high inflation and a shrinking workforce.
Stagflation Shadows, Miners Shine, and a Markets Theory of Everything PREVIEW Consumer Economy Retail Sales (RSAFS) $726B +3.7B (+0.51% m/m) Industrial Production (INDPRO) 104.0 -0.13 (-0.12% m/m) Producer Price Index (PPIACO) 262.5 +1.88 (+0.72% m/m) CPI All Urban (CPIAUCSL) 322.13 +0.63 (+0.20% m/m) Retail Sales rose 0.51% m/m (6% annualized), which is a new all-time high, but it is probably not keeping up with inflation. There… Stagflation Shadows, Miners Shine, and a Markets Theory of Everything PREVIEW Consumer Economy Retail Sales (RSAFS) $726B +3.7B (+0.51% m/m) Industrial Production (INDPRO) 104.0 -0.13 (-0.12% m/m) Producer Price Index (PPIACO) 262.5 +1.88 (+0.72% m/m) CPI All Urban (CPIAUCSL) 322.13 +0.63 (+0.20% m/m) Retail Sales rose 0.51% m/m (6% annualized), which is a new all-time high, but it is probably not keeping up with inflation. There…
Gold and Miners Soar to All-Time Highs, Fed Rate Cuts Appear Imminent PREVIEW Gold and miners surge to all-time highs as Fed rate cuts loom. Bank credit stays low, hinting at recession risks, while equities rebound and oil falls. Gold and Miners Soar to All-Time Highs, Fed Rate Cuts Appear Imminent PREVIEW Gold and miners surge to all-time highs as Fed rate cuts loom. Bank credit stays low, hinting at recession risks, while equities rebound and oil falls.
Bad Payrolls Ignite Risk-Off Mode Amid Surging Disabilities and Gold’s Bullish Rally PREVIEW Bad payrolls trigger risk-off: weak jobs, plunging rates, volatile dollar, gold rally, and equity sell-off amid inflation and recession fears. Bad Payrolls Ignite Risk-Off Mode Amid Surging Disabilities and Gold’s Bullish Rally PREVIEW Bad payrolls trigger risk-off: weak jobs, plunging rates, volatile dollar, gold rally, and equity sell-off amid inflation and recession fears.
Miners Break Out as Rate Cuts Loom, Trickle Truths Unfold, and Epstein U-Turn Emerges PREVIEW Durable goods plunge, housing slumps, rate cuts are impending, miners breakout, dollar declines, and metals trend amid economic shifts. Miners Break Out as Rate Cuts Loom, Trickle Truths Unfold, and Epstein U-Turn Emerges PREVIEW Durable goods plunge, housing slumps, rate cuts are impending, miners breakout, dollar declines, and metals trend amid economic shifts.
Dollar Bullish Reversal, Crude Backwardation, and Trauma as Control PREVIEW Consumer Economy Retail Sales (RSAFS) $0.72T +4.6B (+0.63% m/m) Industrial Production (INDPRO) 104.0 +0.35 (+0.33% m/m) Producer Prices (PPIACO); 260.2 +1.68 (+0.65% m/m) Retail Sales (a dollar amount) rose 7.56% annualized – a nice move, maybe even keeping up with inflation, but not a new all-time high due to the big contraction (-6.2B) that happened… Dollar Bullish Reversal, Crude Backwardation, and Trauma as Control PREVIEW Consumer Economy Retail Sales (RSAFS) $0.72T +4.6B (+0.63% m/m) Industrial Production (INDPRO) 104.0 +0.35 (+0.33% m/m) Producer Prices (PPIACO); 260.2 +1.68 (+0.65% m/m) Retail Sales (a dollar amount) rose 7.56% annualized – a nice move, maybe even keeping up with inflation, but not a new all-time high due to the big contraction (-6.2B) that happened…
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