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Food

by Chris Martenson

[Many longtime followers of the Crash Course have asked Chris to update his forecasts for Peak Oil in light of the production increases in shale oil and gas over recent years. What started out as a modest effort at clarification morphed into a much more massive 3-report treatise as Chris sifted through mountains of new data that ultimately left him more convinced than ever we are facing a global net energy crisis – despite misguided media efforts intended to convince us otherwise. His reports are being released in series over the next several weeks; the first installment is below.]

There has been a very strong and concerted public-relations effort to spin the recent shale energy plays of the U.S. as complete game-changers for the world energy outlook.  These efforts do not square up well with the data and are creating a vast misperception about the current risks and future opportunities among the general populace and energy organizations alike.  The world remains quite hopelessly addicted to petroleum, and the future will be shaped by scarcity – not abundance, as some have claimed.

This series of reports will assemble the relevant data into a simple and easy-to-understand story that has the appropriate context to provide a meaningful place to begin a conversation and make decisions.

The Really, Really Big Picture
by Chris Martenson

[Many longtime followers of the Crash Course have asked Chris to update his forecasts for Peak Oil in light of the production increases in shale oil and gas over recent years. What started out as a modest effort at clarification morphed into a much more massive 3-report treatise as Chris sifted through mountains of new data that ultimately left him more convinced than ever we are facing a global net energy crisis – despite misguided media efforts intended to convince us otherwise. His reports are being released in series over the next several weeks; the first installment is below.]

There has been a very strong and concerted public-relations effort to spin the recent shale energy plays of the U.S. as complete game-changers for the world energy outlook.  These efforts do not square up well with the data and are creating a vast misperception about the current risks and future opportunities among the general populace and energy organizations alike.  The world remains quite hopelessly addicted to petroleum, and the future will be shaped by scarcity – not abundance, as some have claimed.

This series of reports will assemble the relevant data into a simple and easy-to-understand story that has the appropriate context to provide a meaningful place to begin a conversation and make decisions.

by Chris Martenson

The title of this piece is The Price of Everything and the Value of Nothing.  The subtitle is Why Your Bread Is Going to Cost More.  I connect these two in reflecting on my recent podcast with David Collum, in which he stated that our money has no value and that this fact is distorting everything.

What he meant was, if you take your money to the bank to deposit it, the bank offers no interest on that money, implying that money has no value to them.  If they valued it or had a legitimate use for it, they would offer you something for its use.  Obviously, money doesn't have zero value to the banks; they can place it on deposit with the Fed for 0.25% yearly interest.  But by any historical measure, money has no value right now.

That's just what happens when any commodity – which money happens to be – becomes too abundant.  It drops in price.  What 0% rates on money tell us is that there's just an enormous amount of it sloshing around – and that, my dear friends, distorts everything else.

As I have said many times, when you misprice money itself, everything else becomes mispriced, too. 

The Price of Everything and the Value of Nothing
PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

The title of this piece is The Price of Everything and the Value of Nothing.  The subtitle is Why Your Bread Is Going to Cost More.  I connect these two in reflecting on my recent podcast with David Collum, in which he stated that our money has no value and that this fact is distorting everything.

What he meant was, if you take your money to the bank to deposit it, the bank offers no interest on that money, implying that money has no value to them.  If they valued it or had a legitimate use for it, they would offer you something for its use.  Obviously, money doesn't have zero value to the banks; they can place it on deposit with the Fed for 0.25% yearly interest.  But by any historical measure, money has no value right now.

That's just what happens when any commodity – which money happens to be – becomes too abundant.  It drops in price.  What 0% rates on money tell us is that there's just an enormous amount of it sloshing around – and that, my dear friends, distorts everything else.

As I have said many times, when you misprice money itself, everything else becomes mispriced, too. 

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