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Image | Did Everything Just Change?
Did Everything Just Change?
by Chris Martenson

With this week’s twin announcements of new QE and a partial China trade agreement, the bulls are suddenly having the time of their lives.

So, does this mean happy days have returned? Have we been rescued from the mountain data warning of an economic slowdown and lower asset prices? Does the Fed — and now China, too — have our back again?

Is it time for investors to become optimistic once more?
Did Everything Just Change?
 by Chris Martenson

With this week’s twin announcements of new QE and a partial China trade agreement, the bulls are suddenly having the time of their lives.

So, does this mean happy days have returned? Have we been rescued from the mountain data warning of an economic slowdown and lower asset prices? Does the Fed — and now China, too — have our back again?

Is it time for investors to become optimistic once more?
Image | At The End Of The Day, It’s All About Confidence
At The End Of The Day, It’s All About Confidence
by Adam Taggart

We’ve been shining a bright light on the technical compression seen in the major stock indices, indicative that a major breakout move is coming — one we’ve argued is much more likely to happen to the downside.

Well, with the recent fizzling of the principal storyline supporting the bullish narrative — an imminent trade deal with China  — our predicted downside breakdown finally occurred this week.
At The End Of The Day, It’s All About Confidence
 by Adam Taggart

We’ve been shining a bright light on the technical compression seen in the major stock indices, indicative that a major breakout move is coming — one we’ve argued is much more likely to happen to the downside.

Well, with the recent fizzling of the principal storyline supporting the bullish narrative — an imminent trade deal with China  — our predicted downside breakdown finally occurred this week.
Image | Off The Cuff: Economic Crosscurrents
Off The Cuff: Economic Crosscurrents
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • The latest developments in the repo market
  • Why the Fed should do less, not more
  • The concern of an overheating economy
  • The Saudi strike showed the world is much less safe than we all thought

Axel explains how the Fed is intervening to quell the recent troubles in the overnight repo market. And while that issue highlights weakness in one corner of the economy, he also sees a risk of it overheating should a trade deal with China be reached by the end of the year.

This is why today’s environment is so maddening for those trying to make sense of it. There are so many crosscurrents working at odds right now, it’s very challenging to know which direction will win out, and for how long:

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com’s other premium content.

Off The Cuff: Economic Crosscurrents
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • The latest developments in the repo market
  • Why the Fed should do less, not more
  • The concern of an overheating economy
  • The Saudi strike showed the world is much less safe than we all thought

Axel explains how the Fed is intervening to quell the recent troubles in the overnight repo market. And while that issue highlights weakness in one corner of the economy, he also sees a risk of it overheating should a trade deal with China be reached by the end of the year.

This is why today’s environment is so maddening for those trying to make sense of it. There are so many crosscurrents working at odds right now, it’s very challenging to know which direction will win out, and for how long:

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com’s other premium content.

Image | Why Common Knowledge Changes The World
Why Common Knowledge Changes The World
by Chris Martenson

For those paying attention, there have been plenty of signs indicating that financial asset prices are dangerously overvalued and that the decade-long economic expansion is reversing towards recession.

But the mainstream — until just recently — has refused to see this.
Why Common Knowledge Changes The World
 by Chris Martenson

For those paying attention, there have been plenty of signs indicating that financial asset prices are dangerously overvalued and that the decade-long economic expansion is reversing towards recession.

But the mainstream — until just recently — has refused to see this.
Image | Martin Armstrong: Dow 35,000 By 2021?
Martin Armstrong: Dow 35,000 By 2021?
by Chris Martenson

The most hated stock market rally still has room left to become truly despised, according to Martin Armstrong.

With so much of the rest of the world beginning to succumb to the arriving global recession, capital is fleeing towards the relative safety and positive returns offered by America’s financial markets. As a result, Armstrong sees the US stock market continuing to power higher from here, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average potentially tagging 35,000 by 2021.
Martin Armstrong: Dow 35,000 By 2021?
 by Chris Martenson

The most hated stock market rally still has room left to become truly despised, according to Martin Armstrong.

With so much of the rest of the world beginning to succumb to the arriving global recession, capital is fleeing towards the relative safety and positive returns offered by America’s financial markets. As a result, Armstrong sees the US stock market continuing to power higher from here, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average potentially tagging 35,000 by 2021.
Image | Off The Cuff: Why Currency Crisis Is The Real Risk Here
Off The Cuff: Why Currency Crisis Is The Real Risk Here
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Wolf Richter discuss:

  • Tesla’s Woes
    • A harbinger of what’s coming for many other overvalued companies
  • How Bad Could A Trade War With China Get?
    • There will be lots of unintended consequences
  • Why The Smart Bet Is On Currency Devaluation
    • Governments will print forever to prevent catastrophic losses from happening
  • Recession Ahead!
    • The global macro data continues to look worse and worse

In this excellent discussion, Chris mentions “It feels like we’re so far down the state intervention pathway that I’m not sure that there is a way back to free and fair markets at this point in time. And it would take something fairly cataclysmic I think to upend that, something like an out of control currency accident for China, taking it out of their hands, for instance. ”

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com’s other premium content.

Off The Cuff: Why Currency Crisis Is The Real Risk Here
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Wolf Richter discuss:

  • Tesla’s Woes
    • A harbinger of what’s coming for many other overvalued companies
  • How Bad Could A Trade War With China Get?
    • There will be lots of unintended consequences
  • Why The Smart Bet Is On Currency Devaluation
    • Governments will print forever to prevent catastrophic losses from happening
  • Recession Ahead!
    • The global macro data continues to look worse and worse

In this excellent discussion, Chris mentions “It feels like we’re so far down the state intervention pathway that I’m not sure that there is a way back to free and fair markets at this point in time. And it would take something fairly cataclysmic I think to upend that, something like an out of control currency accident for China, taking it out of their hands, for instance. ”

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com’s other premium content.

Image | Off The Cuff: The Party’s Over
Off The Cuff: The Party’s Over
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish Shedlock discuss:

  • Next Up: A Currency War With China?
  • Recession Warning
  • A War With Iran, Too?
  • More Cracks In Europe

The self-delusional “Everything is awesome and getting better!” narrative that has pushed markets ever higher for the past years is suddenly unravelling. The current China tariffs will undo any remaining salubrious impact of the Trump tax cuts, a global recession appears underway, and — seriously — are we about to go to war with Iran??

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com’s other premium content.

Off The Cuff: The Party’s Over
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish Shedlock discuss:

  • Next Up: A Currency War With China?
  • Recession Warning
  • A War With Iran, Too?
  • More Cracks In Europe

The self-delusional “Everything is awesome and getting better!” narrative that has pushed markets ever higher for the past years is suddenly unravelling. The current China tariffs will undo any remaining salubrious impact of the Trump tax cuts, a global recession appears underway, and — seriously — are we about to go to war with Iran??

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com’s other premium content.

Image | War with Iran – The Risk is Elevated
War with Iran – The Risk is Elevated
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

Is it really about to go down in Iran?  Is a war now coming?

The Twitter feeds I have tracking Iran are on fire this morning.

Looks like the Trade deal is bad enough and the Barr investigation threatening enough that the “answer” is war with Iran.
War with Iran – The Risk is Elevated
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

Is it really about to go down in Iran?  Is a war now coming?

The Twitter feeds I have tracking Iran are on fire this morning.

Looks like the Trade deal is bad enough and the Barr investigation threatening enough that the “answer” is war with Iran.
Image | Off The Cuff: Big Trouble In China Trade Talks
Off The Cuff: Big Trouble In China Trade Talks
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Charles Hugh Smith discuss:

  • What’s driving the latest breakdown in trade talks
  • The 2 Chinas: and why it can no longer have it both ways
  • The dollar shortage in China
  • The great global slowdown

The big news driving the markets this week is obviously the breakdown in trade talks between the US and China. In this week’s podcast, Chris and Charles deconstruct the key variables of the situation and explain why they don’t think a deal can get done anytime soon:

 

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com’s other premium content.

Off The Cuff: Big Trouble In China Trade Talks
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Charles Hugh Smith discuss:

  • What’s driving the latest breakdown in trade talks
  • The 2 Chinas: and why it can no longer have it both ways
  • The dollar shortage in China
  • The great global slowdown

The big news driving the markets this week is obviously the breakdown in trade talks between the US and China. In this week’s podcast, Chris and Charles deconstruct the key variables of the situation and explain why they don’t think a deal can get done anytime soon:

 

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com’s other premium content.

Image | The Trade Deal Has Collapsed
The Trade Deal Has Collapsed
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

Count me as surprised, but it seems like the China trade deal is collapsing.  Surprised because both sides, China and the US, have much to lose in this battle.

While there’s certainly some temporary local benefit to various pockets and sectors of the economy, the fact remains that the world economy is still exhibiting signs of slowing down and anything that puts additional weight on the economy right now could be the stone that sinks the barge.
The Trade Deal Has Collapsed
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

Count me as surprised, but it seems like the China trade deal is collapsing.  Surprised because both sides, China and the US, have much to lose in this battle.

While there’s certainly some temporary local benefit to various pockets and sectors of the economy, the fact remains that the world economy is still exhibiting signs of slowing down and anything that puts additional weight on the economy right now could be the stone that sinks the barge.
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