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Mixed Data; These Are Our Stories

There were two economic reports this week: Nonfarm Payrolls: +223k month over month (m/m) [prior +256k] (bullish) Durable Goods: New Orders -2.13% m/m, Shipments +0.19% m/m (bearish) My favorite section of payrolls that I use for detecting recession isn’t showing a clear signal of recession just yet; the FRED Series (LNS12032196) titled “working part-time for…

Mixed Data; These Are Our Stories

PREVIEW by davefairtex

2022 Year In Review

by Chris Martenson

2022 was a year of incredible events and developments. Too many to pick from, but let’s give it go. Among the key themes for me were: How committed the mainstream press and health authorities were to ignoring the fact that Omicron basically ended what little reason there was for calling Covid a pandemic. Censorship and…

2022 Year In Review

by Chris Martenson

The Curse of Seeing Things Clearly (and Caring)

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by Chris Martenson

Sentinel intelligence is the ability (some say superpower) to detect large threats early. We’ve got that in spades here at Peak Prosperity. It is usually a curse because, as with the myth of Cassandra, people “blessed” with Sentinel Intelligence are destined to be ignored by most people while also being burdened with the trait of…

The Curse of Seeing Things Clearly (and Caring)

PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

Mining, Crude and The Vaccine Bubble

PREVIEW

by davefairtex

In contrast to gold’s mostly-sideways move, the miners rallied strongly on the week, up 3.67%. Silver also did well, climbing +2.67%, making a new closing high. Ratios: GDX:gold +0.72% (bullish), GDXJ:GDX +1.54% (bullish), Gold:Silver ratio -2.64% (bullish). Even though gold barely moved, this was a bullish week overall for PM. I especially like how the…

Mining, Crude and The Vaccine Bubble

PREVIEW by davefairtex

Mixed Macro Data and The Dollar

PREVIEW

by davefairtex

There were a number of economic reports this week: Personal Income: +0.36% month over month (m/m), prior +0.68% m/m. Still positive, but slowing. Durable Goods: new orders -2.13% m/m, prior +0.735 m/m; topping out. Bearish Median New Home Sales: +7.57 m/m, prior +3.14% m/m. New all time high. Personal Income: +1.3% quarter over quarter (q/q),…

Mixed Macro Data and The Dollar

PREVIEW by davefairtex

Deeper Dive Into Europe’s Self-Made Energy Crisis

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by Ivor

So, EU leaders decided to forcibly cap the price of Russian-supplied natural gas. How’s that going to work out for the Europeans this winter and over the next few years?

Deeper Dive Into Europe’s Self-Made Energy Crisis

PREVIEW by Ivor

So, EU leaders decided to forcibly cap the price of Russian-supplied natural gas. How’s that going to work out for the Europeans this winter and over the next few years?

2022 Year in Review: All Roads Lead to Ukraine

by David Collum

Annually, friend-of-the-site David Collum writes a detailed “Year in Review” synopsis full of keen perspective and plenty of wit. He strikes again in his usually poignant and delightfully acerbic way. As with past years, he selected Peak Prosperity as the site where it is published in full. It is longer than our usual posts, but…

When Will It Start? It Already Has.

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by Chris Martenson

Fifth Generation Warfare (5GW) is where state actors use all of their exceptionally potent tools of persuasion to control the narrative and install new cognitive biases by hacking our wiring and leveraging our pre-existing beliefs, biases and judgments. Sound like some dystopian SciFi movie? It does, but it’s also the current reality. Welcome to the…

When Will It Start? It Already Has.

PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

The Signs Say “Yes”

by Chris Martenson

China’s statements and actions are consistent with a nation preparing for war. Or, at least an intelligent nation, unlike the EU which poked, prodded and finally got a war on with Russia, but failed to prepare meaningfully, or at all, beforehand. You know what? I am so used to defective leadership that it now seems…