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Image | Off The Cuff: Suddenly Queasy Markets Everywhere
Off The Cuff: Suddenly Queasy Markets Everywhere
 PREVIEW
by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Charles Hugh Smith discuss:

  • Queasy Markets
    • Deflationary forces appear to have gained the upper hand
  • Big Trouble In Not-Little China
    • Suddenly, its stock and real estate markets are in violent correction
  • Greece And The Future Of Europe
    • Who is going to take the losses of a Grexit?
  • The Path To Collapse
    • Is Greece giving the rest of us a preview of what to expect?

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.

Off The Cuff: Suddenly Queasy Markets Everywhere
 PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Charles Hugh Smith discuss:

  • Queasy Markets
    • Deflationary forces appear to have gained the upper hand
  • Big Trouble In Not-Little China
    • Suddenly, its stock and real estate markets are in violent correction
  • Greece And The Future Of Europe
    • Who is going to take the losses of a Grexit?
  • The Path To Collapse
    • Is Greece giving the rest of us a preview of what to expect?

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.

Image | ALERT: Markets Are Highly Unstable, China Is Crashing
ALERT: Markets Are Highly Unstable, China Is Crashing
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

The multiple global bubbles in search of a pin may have found one in Greece.  The carnage there is clearly accelerating, and the central planners are straining mightily to get control back.

While the odds favor them doing so, the risk is very high that they may not and that we are now in the 'descent' phase that follows the inevitable ending of the 'virtuous' phase (if we can call it that) of the money-printing experiment.

 
ALERT: Markets Are Highly Unstable, China Is Crashing
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

The multiple global bubbles in search of a pin may have found one in Greece.  The carnage there is clearly accelerating, and the central planners are straining mightily to get control back.

While the odds favor them doing so, the risk is very high that they may not and that we are now in the 'descent' phase that follows the inevitable ending of the 'virtuous' phase (if we can call it that) of the money-printing experiment.

 
Image | Jim Rogers: Turmoil Is Coming
Jim Rogers: Turmoil Is Coming
by Adam Taggart

Two years since his last interview with us, investor Jim Rogers returns and notes that the risks he warned of last time have only gotten worse. In this week's podcast, Jim shares his rational for predicting:

  • increased wealth confiscation by the central planners
  • a pending major financial market collapse
  • gold's return as the preferred safe haven investment
  • more oil price weakness, followed by a trend reversal
  • Russia's rebound
  • a China bubble reckoning
  • agriculture's long-term value
Jim Rogers: Turmoil Is Coming
 by Adam Taggart

Two years since his last interview with us, investor Jim Rogers returns and notes that the risks he warned of last time have only gotten worse. In this week's podcast, Jim shares his rational for predicting:

  • increased wealth confiscation by the central planners
  • a pending major financial market collapse
  • gold's return as the preferred safe haven investment
  • more oil price weakness, followed by a trend reversal
  • Russia's rebound
  • a China bubble reckoning
  • agriculture's long-term value
Image | How Many More “Saves” Are Left in the Central Bank Bazookas?
How Many More “Saves” Are Left in the Central Bank Bazookas?
by charleshughsmith

The remarkable success of grandiose pronouncements, money-printing programs and serial expansions of credit raises a key question: how many more “saves” can the central bank bazookas fire that will have the desired effects of maintaining perceptions of central bank omnipotence and pushing global markets ever higher?
How Many More “Saves” Are Left in the Central Bank Bazookas?
 by charleshughsmith

The remarkable success of grandiose pronouncements, money-printing programs and serial expansions of credit raises a key question: how many more “saves” can the central bank bazookas fire that will have the desired effects of maintaining perceptions of central bank omnipotence and pushing global markets ever higher?
Image | David Stockman: The Global Economy Has Entered The Crack-Up Phase
David Stockman: The Global Economy Has Entered The Crack-Up Phase
by Adam Taggart

Few people understand the global economy and its (mis)management better than David Stockman — former director of the OMB under President Reagan, former US Representative, best-selling author of The Great Deformation, and veteran financier.

David is now loudly warning that events have entered the crack-up phase, which he predicts will be defined by the following 4 developments:

David Stockman: The Global Economy Has Entered The Crack-Up Phase
 by Adam Taggart

Few people understand the global economy and its (mis)management better than David Stockman — former director of the OMB under President Reagan, former US Representative, best-selling author of The Great Deformation, and veteran financier.

David is now loudly warning that events have entered the crack-up phase, which he predicts will be defined by the following 4 developments:

Image | When This Ends, Everybody Gets Hurt
When This Ends, Everybody Gets Hurt
by Chris Martenson

Central bank credibility (as fictitious as that may be) is essential to maintaining the current narrative, BUT central banks are rapidly losing their credibility (which should have happened simply via deductive reasoning a long time ago) and the strains are showing.

Their actions are increasingly wild and extreme, and it's our view that 2015- 2016 will mark the end of this long run of overly-ambitious central bankers and over-complacent markets.
When This Ends, Everybody Gets Hurt
 by Chris Martenson

Central bank credibility (as fictitious as that may be) is essential to maintaining the current narrative, BUT central banks are rapidly losing their credibility (which should have happened simply via deductive reasoning a long time ago) and the strains are showing.

Their actions are increasingly wild and extreme, and it's our view that 2015- 2016 will mark the end of this long run of overly-ambitious central bankers and over-complacent markets.
Image | Why Our Central Planners Are Breeding Failure
Why Our Central Planners Are Breeding Failure
by charleshughsmith

As counter-intuitive as it may sound, success rather reliably leads to failure and destabilization.

In the macro-economic arena, I think it highly likely that the monetary and fiscal policies of the past six years that are conventionally viewed as successful will lead to spectacular political and financial failures in 2015 and 2016.
Why Our Central Planners Are Breeding Failure
 by charleshughsmith

As counter-intuitive as it may sound, success rather reliably leads to failure and destabilization.

In the macro-economic arena, I think it highly likely that the monetary and fiscal policies of the past six years that are conventionally viewed as successful will lead to spectacular political and financial failures in 2015 and 2016.
Image | The 6 Reasons The Next Economic Rescue Will Fail
The 6 Reasons The Next Economic Rescue Will Fail
 PREVIEW
by charleshughsmith

Executive Summary

  • The 6 Factors
    • Rising inequality
    • Reversion to the mean
    • Cost overages
    • Diminishing returns
    • Misleading measurement
    • Expertise mismatch
  • Why the 'success' of the Federal Reserve and other world central banks is ultimately dooming them to failure

If you have not yet read Why Our Central Planners Are Breeding Failure available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

In Part 1, we examined a variety of reasons why the apparent success of Keynesian monetary and fiscal policy may be transitional and brief rather than permanent.

Here in Part 2, we delve into the six other dynamics that make success destabilizing.

Rising Inequality—Perceived and Real

The highly touted “recovery” has been highly uneven in its distribution. The benefits of rising income and wealth have flowed disproportionately to the top 5%, 1% and even 1/10th of 1%.  Those who didn't make it onto the limited-seating Recovery Bus feel the gap between the prospects and wealth of the top tier and their own wealth and prospects widening. Indeed, psychological studies find that we assess our wealth and social position not by our actual material prosperity, but by the narrowing or widening of the perceived wealth gap with our peers.

This is precisely the situation in the U.S. and China. Both economies are supposedly expanding smartly, but the gains are concentrated in a relative few hands; the Rising Prosperity Bus has few seats.  The vast majority perceive themselves as being left behind, and that is highly…

The 6 Reasons The Next Economic Rescue Will Fail
 PREVIEW by charleshughsmith

Executive Summary

  • The 6 Factors
    • Rising inequality
    • Reversion to the mean
    • Cost overages
    • Diminishing returns
    • Misleading measurement
    • Expertise mismatch
  • Why the 'success' of the Federal Reserve and other world central banks is ultimately dooming them to failure

If you have not yet read Why Our Central Planners Are Breeding Failure available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

In Part 1, we examined a variety of reasons why the apparent success of Keynesian monetary and fiscal policy may be transitional and brief rather than permanent.

Here in Part 2, we delve into the six other dynamics that make success destabilizing.

Rising Inequality—Perceived and Real

The highly touted “recovery” has been highly uneven in its distribution. The benefits of rising income and wealth have flowed disproportionately to the top 5%, 1% and even 1/10th of 1%.  Those who didn't make it onto the limited-seating Recovery Bus feel the gap between the prospects and wealth of the top tier and their own wealth and prospects widening. Indeed, psychological studies find that we assess our wealth and social position not by our actual material prosperity, but by the narrowing or widening of the perceived wealth gap with our peers.

This is precisely the situation in the U.S. and China. Both economies are supposedly expanding smartly, but the gains are concentrated in a relative few hands; the Rising Prosperity Bus has few seats.  The vast majority perceive themselves as being left behind, and that is highly…

Image | Why No One Should Want This To Devolve Further
Why No One Should Want This To Devolve Further
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

Executive Summary

  • The 'Perfect Storm' of woe being applied to Russia
  • Why the West may end up hurt worse by its efforts than Russia is
  • Russia's most likely set of responses, and their global implications
  • Why are we willing to let our leaders play nuclear "Russian roulette", for stakes we don't agree with?

If you have not yet read The Road To War With Russia available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

The Perfect Storm

Russia, like Venezuela and other oil exporting nations is facing a very large set of financial and economic problems as a result of the low oil prices. 

Besides the loss of oil export revenues, there are associated hits to their local currencies and rising yields on their sovereign debt which raises the cost of borrowing money.  This is a triple whammy and if it goes on long enough can lead to the outright default of the country on its debt, which is a hugely destabilizing moment. 

Russia faces 'perfect storm' as reserves vanish and derivatives flash default warnings

Jan 6, 2015

Russia’s foreign reserves have dropped to the lowest level since the Lehman crisis and are vanishing at an unsustainable rate as the country struggles to defends the rouble against capital flight.

Central bank data show that a blitz of currency intervention depleted reserves by $26bn in the two weeks to December 26, the fastest pace of erosion since the crisis in Ukraine erupted early last year.

Credit defaults swaps (CDS) measuring bankruptcy risk for Russia spiked violently on Tuesday, surging by 100 basis points to 630, before falling back slightly.

Markit says this implies a 32pc expectation of a sovereign default over the next five years, the highest since Western sanctions and crumbling oil prices combined to cripple the Russian economy.

Total reserves have fallen from $511bn to $388bn in a year. The Kremlin has already committed a third of what remains to bolster the domestic economy in 2015, greatly reducing the amount that can be used to defend the rouble.

(Source)

It's clear that Russia is experiencing quite a bit of difficulty from all this, and as we saw above, they pin a lot of the troubles on a concerted effort by the west to bring about exactly the conditions that are troubling them.

However, left out of all the stories about Russia's relative difficulties is that fact that with oil's price slide there are winners and losers in every corner of the globe.  In terms of the local impact based on the local currency Russia is the least impacted of them all because…

Why No One Should Want This To Devolve Further
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

Executive Summary

  • The 'Perfect Storm' of woe being applied to Russia
  • Why the West may end up hurt worse by its efforts than Russia is
  • Russia's most likely set of responses, and their global implications
  • Why are we willing to let our leaders play nuclear "Russian roulette", for stakes we don't agree with?

If you have not yet read The Road To War With Russia available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

The Perfect Storm

Russia, like Venezuela and other oil exporting nations is facing a very large set of financial and economic problems as a result of the low oil prices. 

Besides the loss of oil export revenues, there are associated hits to their local currencies and rising yields on their sovereign debt which raises the cost of borrowing money.  This is a triple whammy and if it goes on long enough can lead to the outright default of the country on its debt, which is a hugely destabilizing moment. 

Russia faces 'perfect storm' as reserves vanish and derivatives flash default warnings

Jan 6, 2015

Russia’s foreign reserves have dropped to the lowest level since the Lehman crisis and are vanishing at an unsustainable rate as the country struggles to defends the rouble against capital flight.

Central bank data show that a blitz of currency intervention depleted reserves by $26bn in the two weeks to December 26, the fastest pace of erosion since the crisis in Ukraine erupted early last year.

Credit defaults swaps (CDS) measuring bankruptcy risk for Russia spiked violently on Tuesday, surging by 100 basis points to 630, before falling back slightly.

Markit says this implies a 32pc expectation of a sovereign default over the next five years, the highest since Western sanctions and crumbling oil prices combined to cripple the Russian economy.

Total reserves have fallen from $511bn to $388bn in a year. The Kremlin has already committed a third of what remains to bolster the domestic economy in 2015, greatly reducing the amount that can be used to defend the rouble.

(Source)

It's clear that Russia is experiencing quite a bit of difficulty from all this, and as we saw above, they pin a lot of the troubles on a concerted effort by the west to bring about exactly the conditions that are troubling them.

However, left out of all the stories about Russia's relative difficulties is that fact that with oil's price slide there are winners and losers in every corner of the globe.  In terms of the local impact based on the local currency Russia is the least impacted of them all because…

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