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Charles Hugh Smith

by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Charles Hugh Smith discuss:

  • History Is Full Of Cycles
    • 80-year & 240-year being the most dominant for empires
  • At The Cycles End
    • The US is at the end of both a 240-yr AND 80-yr cycle
  • A Global Reset
    • Given the huge distortions, a worldwide reckoning is overdue
  • What Will Emerge From The Ashes?
    • Will the new order make better decisions?

This week, Chris and Charles look across the expanse of history, at past empires and the paths they followed as they collapsed. They see many signs that the current world order is reaching its last moments before something new emerges — likely out of the chaos of a systemic reset.

Before that happens though, the current system needs to topple under the weight of its shortcomings, one of which is the concentration of wealth and power into fewer and fewer hands. Charles explains where to keep our focus:

90% of our entire income, national income, and interactions are with a handful of cartels. Which we now have new ones. We've got Google, which is essentially a monopoly. We have Facebook, which is a monopoly. The dominant players are Apple, Netflix. The usual crowd. Amazon. They are so large, so wealthy that they're basically so far beyond competition that they're a monopoly. Once they start lobbying the pay for play democracy we have, then they're really going to be unassailable. Once they learn the tricks of the insurance companies and the military industrial complex and higher education, then they're going to build a regulatory moat that no one can get around, on top of their other advantages.

We've got for profit cartels and then we have the central state. Which is married to the cartels — because they both need each other, they feed off each other. Those are failed models. Those platforms are going to unravel

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.

Off The Cuff: The Demise Of The Current World Order
PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Charles Hugh Smith discuss:

  • History Is Full Of Cycles
    • 80-year & 240-year being the most dominant for empires
  • At The Cycles End
    • The US is at the end of both a 240-yr AND 80-yr cycle
  • A Global Reset
    • Given the huge distortions, a worldwide reckoning is overdue
  • What Will Emerge From The Ashes?
    • Will the new order make better decisions?

This week, Chris and Charles look across the expanse of history, at past empires and the paths they followed as they collapsed. They see many signs that the current world order is reaching its last moments before something new emerges — likely out of the chaos of a systemic reset.

Before that happens though, the current system needs to topple under the weight of its shortcomings, one of which is the concentration of wealth and power into fewer and fewer hands. Charles explains where to keep our focus:

90% of our entire income, national income, and interactions are with a handful of cartels. Which we now have new ones. We've got Google, which is essentially a monopoly. We have Facebook, which is a monopoly. The dominant players are Apple, Netflix. The usual crowd. Amazon. They are so large, so wealthy that they're basically so far beyond competition that they're a monopoly. Once they start lobbying the pay for play democracy we have, then they're really going to be unassailable. Once they learn the tricks of the insurance companies and the military industrial complex and higher education, then they're going to build a regulatory moat that no one can get around, on top of their other advantages.

We've got for profit cartels and then we have the central state. Which is married to the cartels — because they both need each other, they feed off each other. Those are failed models. Those platforms are going to unravel

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.

by charleshughsmith

Executive Summary

  • Why the woes of the middle class will worsen from here
  • The tax-burdened middle class vs the "dependent" class that pays no taxes
  • The pinched middle class vs the gluttonous plutocrats
  • How the many ensuing class wars will end

If you have not yet read Part 1: The Coming Class Wars, It's Time To Worry available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

In Part 1, we briefly surveyed the nature of class war in advanced capitalism, starting with the Marxist analysis that such conflict was inevitable. We then moved to the present: the Grand Truce that produced the middle class is eroding, social mobility is declining, and a sharp economic and cultural chasm has opened between the unprotected working class and the protected upper-middle class.

Why Is the Middle Class Eroding?

The big question is: why is the middle class eroding? Why is the longstanding accord between labor and capital breaking down? 

Peter Turchin’s recent book Ages of Discord sheds light on the historical context.  History’s economic and social cycles can be divided into two fundamental phases: integrative eras in which cooperation between competing forces is rewarded and disintegrative eras in which cooperation dissolves into conflict and discord.

Turchin’s analysis identifies three key drivers of social and economic disintegration:

1. An over-supply of labor that suppresses real (inflation-adjusted) wages

2. An overproduction of parasitic (unproductive) Elites

3. A deterioration in central state finances (over-indebtedness, declining tax revenues, increase in state dependents, fiscal burdens of war, etc.)

 

It’s clear that globalization, open immigration and automation are generating an oversupply of labor that is suppressing wages, especially for the lower-skilled work force (the working class).

The entitled upper-middle class that expects…

The Class War Playbook
PREVIEW by charleshughsmith

Executive Summary

  • Why the woes of the middle class will worsen from here
  • The tax-burdened middle class vs the "dependent" class that pays no taxes
  • The pinched middle class vs the gluttonous plutocrats
  • How the many ensuing class wars will end

If you have not yet read Part 1: The Coming Class Wars, It's Time To Worry available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

In Part 1, we briefly surveyed the nature of class war in advanced capitalism, starting with the Marxist analysis that such conflict was inevitable. We then moved to the present: the Grand Truce that produced the middle class is eroding, social mobility is declining, and a sharp economic and cultural chasm has opened between the unprotected working class and the protected upper-middle class.

Why Is the Middle Class Eroding?

The big question is: why is the middle class eroding? Why is the longstanding accord between labor and capital breaking down? 

Peter Turchin’s recent book Ages of Discord sheds light on the historical context.  History’s economic and social cycles can be divided into two fundamental phases: integrative eras in which cooperation between competing forces is rewarded and disintegrative eras in which cooperation dissolves into conflict and discord.

Turchin’s analysis identifies three key drivers of social and economic disintegration:

1. An over-supply of labor that suppresses real (inflation-adjusted) wages

2. An overproduction of parasitic (unproductive) Elites

3. A deterioration in central state finances (over-indebtedness, declining tax revenues, increase in state dependents, fiscal burdens of war, etc.)

 

It’s clear that globalization, open immigration and automation are generating an oversupply of labor that is suppressing wages, especially for the lower-skilled work force (the working class).

The entitled upper-middle class that expects…

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