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Image | Positioning Yourself For The Crash
Positioning Yourself For The Crash
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

Executive Summary

  • Why economic growth is not going to ride to the rescue
  • The alarming warning signs the auto, fine art, retail & housing industries are flashing now
  • The actions you should be taking now to protect yourself from (and position for) the coming crash

If you have not yet read Part 1: Why This Market Needs To Crash  available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

Sometimes I wonder if I'm ever going to run out of new things to say about the state of the world, especially economics.  The more obvious our predicaments become to me, the less appetite there seems to be ‘out there’ to discuss them.

What more can be said about a system that is so obviously corrupt and destined to fail, and piles up more and more evidence that this is the case, and yet refuses to engage in the most minimal of introspection? 

Well, lots as it turns out. 

You see, we're finally getting to beginning of the end.  Our long national — and global — experiment with using flawed economic models is now running smack dab into reality.

The edifice of central planning omnipotence is crumbling and when it finally breaks down in earnest, the financial markets will implode, the central banks will be overrun and discredited, and investors will discover that overly-long parties come with massive hangovers.

There will be hell to pay.

For reasons we have discussed previously, and extensively,  GDP growth has not been a feature of the world stage for over a decade, and is unlikely to return both because of debt levels that are far too high to support rapid growth and because any return of rapid growth will run smack into higher oil prices.

So…how’s that story working out?  Not so hot.  It’s been sub-par on a global scale for more than a decade. And the same is true for the US.

And here’s where we are today…

 

Positioning Yourself For The Crash
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

Executive Summary

  • Why economic growth is not going to ride to the rescue
  • The alarming warning signs the auto, fine art, retail & housing industries are flashing now
  • The actions you should be taking now to protect yourself from (and position for) the coming crash

If you have not yet read Part 1: Why This Market Needs To Crash  available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

Sometimes I wonder if I'm ever going to run out of new things to say about the state of the world, especially economics.  The more obvious our predicaments become to me, the less appetite there seems to be ‘out there’ to discuss them.

What more can be said about a system that is so obviously corrupt and destined to fail, and piles up more and more evidence that this is the case, and yet refuses to engage in the most minimal of introspection? 

Well, lots as it turns out. 

You see, we're finally getting to beginning of the end.  Our long national — and global — experiment with using flawed economic models is now running smack dab into reality.

The edifice of central planning omnipotence is crumbling and when it finally breaks down in earnest, the financial markets will implode, the central banks will be overrun and discredited, and investors will discover that overly-long parties come with massive hangovers.

There will be hell to pay.

For reasons we have discussed previously, and extensively,  GDP growth has not been a feature of the world stage for over a decade, and is unlikely to return both because of debt levels that are far too high to support rapid growth and because any return of rapid growth will run smack into higher oil prices.

So…how’s that story working out?  Not so hot.  It’s been sub-par on a global scale for more than a decade. And the same is true for the US.

And here’s where we are today…

 

Image | Off The Cuff: Weariness Everywhere In The Markets
Off The Cuff: Weariness Everywhere In The Markets
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Charles Hugh Smith discuss: Weariness Everywhere In The Markets The post-election price support is evaporating Confused Leaders Chris recaps his latest meetings at the U.N. Boomer Guilt Divisions between the older haves & younger have-nots are growing Banks & Government A partnership of evil Charles returns…
Off The Cuff: Weariness Everywhere In The Markets
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Charles Hugh Smith discuss: Weariness Everywhere In The Markets The post-election price support is evaporating Confused Leaders Chris recaps his latest meetings at the U.N. Boomer Guilt Divisions between the older haves & younger have-nots are growing Banks & Government A partnership of evil Charles returns…
Image | Robb Wolf: Wired To Eat
Robb Wolf: Wired To Eat
by Chris Martenson

As human animals, our genetic programming pushes us to optimize caloric intake with the minimal amount of effort expended. The food industry knows this, and has for decades been developing "foods" scientifically engineered to appeal to that evolutionary drive. That result? An explosion in obesity, chronic health conditions like diabetes, and a society shamed by itself.

Robb Wolf's guidance revolves around working with, not against, our primal wiring. Eating more, but of the fuel our body truly needs, is much better than merely eating less of the processed gunk sold to us in most aisles of the grocery store.
Robb Wolf: Wired To Eat
 by Chris Martenson

As human animals, our genetic programming pushes us to optimize caloric intake with the minimal amount of effort expended. The food industry knows this, and has for decades been developing "foods" scientifically engineered to appeal to that evolutionary drive. That result? An explosion in obesity, chronic health conditions like diabetes, and a society shamed by itself.

Robb Wolf's guidance revolves around working with, not against, our primal wiring. Eating more, but of the fuel our body truly needs, is much better than merely eating less of the processed gunk sold to us in most aisles of the grocery store.
Image | Banks Are Evil
Banks Are Evil
by Chris Martenson

I don’t talk to my classmates from business school anymore, many of whom went to work in the financial industry.

Why?

Because, through the lens we use here at PeakProsperity.com to look at the world, I’ve increasingly come to see the financial industry — with the big banks at its core — as the root cause of injustice in today’s society. I can no longer separate any personal affections I might have for my fellow alumni from the evil that their companies perpetrate.

And I’m choosing that word deliberately: Evil.
Banks Are Evil
 by Chris Martenson

I don’t talk to my classmates from business school anymore, many of whom went to work in the financial industry.

Why?

Because, through the lens we use here at PeakProsperity.com to look at the world, I’ve increasingly come to see the financial industry — with the big banks at its core — as the root cause of injustice in today’s society. I can no longer separate any personal affections I might have for my fellow alumni from the evil that their companies perpetrate.

And I’m choosing that word deliberately: Evil.
Image | Off The Cuff: Bewitched, Bothered & Bewildered
Off The Cuff: Bewitched, Bothered & Bewildered
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and James Howard Kunstler discuss: Rate Hike! The Fed just increased the interest rate by 0.25% Scam-o-rama The financial system is now a racketeering fraud The Net Energy Predicament The unseen cause of so many of the systemic breakdowns we're seeing The Deep State In Turmoil The…
Off The Cuff: Bewitched, Bothered & Bewildered
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and James Howard Kunstler discuss: Rate Hike! The Fed just increased the interest rate by 0.25% Scam-o-rama The financial system is now a racketeering fraud The Net Energy Predicament The unseen cause of so many of the systemic breakdowns we're seeing The Deep State In Turmoil The…
Image | How Rich Is Your Knowledge Capital?
How Rich Is Your Knowledge Capital?
by Adam Taggart

The best way to defend yourself against the risk of ‘losing it all’ is to have an important part of your wealth stored between your ears, where it can’t be taken from you.

If bad fortune should intervene and you lose your financial wealth, or you need to move away from your current community and start all over again, you’ll be able to build a future if you have valuable skills, knowledge and expertise to rely on.

This will be especially true if the future unfolds the way we expect, where declining energy yields and economic stagnation sentence us to doing less. In such a world, a much higher premium will be placed on those individuals who know how to create value. Who know how to get things done.
How Rich Is Your Knowledge Capital?
 by Adam Taggart

The best way to defend yourself against the risk of ‘losing it all’ is to have an important part of your wealth stored between your ears, where it can’t be taken from you.

If bad fortune should intervene and you lose your financial wealth, or you need to move away from your current community and start all over again, you’ll be able to build a future if you have valuable skills, knowledge and expertise to rely on.

This will be especially true if the future unfolds the way we expect, where declining energy yields and economic stagnation sentence us to doing less. In such a world, a much higher premium will be placed on those individuals who know how to create value. Who know how to get things done.
Image | Mark Morey: Cultural Capital (Part 2)
Mark Morey: Cultural Capital (Part 2)
by Chris Martenson

This is Part 2 of our podcast with social activist Mark Morey. (Part 1 can be heard here)

Much of society's ills can be resolved through changing our behavior. Native populations are a rich resource of wisdom in doing so, as they had to address many of these same problems centuries ago. The question is: Will we take the time to listen?

Mark Morey: Cultural Capital (Part 2)
 by Chris Martenson

This is Part 2 of our podcast with social activist Mark Morey. (Part 1 can be heard here)

Much of society's ills can be resolved through changing our behavior. Native populations are a rich resource of wisdom in doing so, as they had to address many of these same problems centuries ago. The question is: Will we take the time to listen?

Image | The Ka-POOM! Survival Guide
The Ka-POOM! Survival Guide
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

Executive Summary

  • Understanding the details of the Ka-POOM! theory
  • The end game: hyperinflation
  • Transitioning to tangible (vs paper) assets
  • The critical importance of timing as things switch from deflation to runaway inflation

If you have not yet read Part 1: When This All Blows Up,  available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

Ka-POOM!

Now it’s time to revisit the Ka-POOM theory which posits that bubbles will be blown, then they will deflate (or threaten to, more precisely), and that will then be met with more money printing.  Our view is that this cycle will continue until the entire system is utterly ruined, the underlying currencies destroyed.

What the 2008 financial crisis made clear is that when natural market forces work to purge the oversupply of poor-quality debt from the system. The bad mortgages (think subprime), the bad sovereign debts (think Greece), and the loan portfolios of over-extended financial institutions (think Citibank) represented ‘poor quality debt.’  When the market (finally) figured out that those debts would never be repaid at face value, or perhaps at all, turmoil erupted.

During times like these a vicious sequence begins: the market demands higher interest rates for the increased risks it sees. This makes debts harder to service, ultimately triggering defaults, which only compounds the difficulties as interest costs and defaults spiral ever upwards until the system is purged.  Think of it as nature’s way of removing bad credit from the world, the way a lion chases the lamest antelope first.

Because in our fiat currency system ‘all money is loaned into existence’ (see chapters 7 and 8 of The Crash Course on-line video series), during periods of high debt default, the money supply shrinks. Money is created when a loan is made and, conversely, money disappears when a debt defaults (or is paid back). This is the textbook definition of deflation—a common symptom of which is falling prices the cause of which is that there’s just less money (and/or credit) available to chase goods and services.

As a reminder, money is a claim on real wealth and debt is a claim on future money.  All that happens when we borrow more and more is that we push our problems of paying for what we want out into the future.  Which means that…

The Ka-POOM! Survival Guide
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

Executive Summary

  • Understanding the details of the Ka-POOM! theory
  • The end game: hyperinflation
  • Transitioning to tangible (vs paper) assets
  • The critical importance of timing as things switch from deflation to runaway inflation

If you have not yet read Part 1: When This All Blows Up,  available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

Ka-POOM!

Now it’s time to revisit the Ka-POOM theory which posits that bubbles will be blown, then they will deflate (or threaten to, more precisely), and that will then be met with more money printing.  Our view is that this cycle will continue until the entire system is utterly ruined, the underlying currencies destroyed.

What the 2008 financial crisis made clear is that when natural market forces work to purge the oversupply of poor-quality debt from the system. The bad mortgages (think subprime), the bad sovereign debts (think Greece), and the loan portfolios of over-extended financial institutions (think Citibank) represented ‘poor quality debt.’  When the market (finally) figured out that those debts would never be repaid at face value, or perhaps at all, turmoil erupted.

During times like these a vicious sequence begins: the market demands higher interest rates for the increased risks it sees. This makes debts harder to service, ultimately triggering defaults, which only compounds the difficulties as interest costs and defaults spiral ever upwards until the system is purged.  Think of it as nature’s way of removing bad credit from the world, the way a lion chases the lamest antelope first.

Because in our fiat currency system ‘all money is loaned into existence’ (see chapters 7 and 8 of The Crash Course on-line video series), during periods of high debt default, the money supply shrinks. Money is created when a loan is made and, conversely, money disappears when a debt defaults (or is paid back). This is the textbook definition of deflation—a common symptom of which is falling prices the cause of which is that there’s just less money (and/or credit) available to chase goods and services.

As a reminder, money is a claim on real wealth and debt is a claim on future money.  All that happens when we borrow more and more is that we push our problems of paying for what we want out into the future.  Which means that…

Image | When This All Blows Up…
When This All Blows Up…
by Chris Martenson

This report marks the end of a series of three big trains of thought. The first explained how we’re living through the Mother Of All Financial Bubbles. The next detailed the Great Wealth Transfer that is now underway, siphoning our wealth into the pockets of an elite few.

This concluding report predicts how these deleterious and unsustainable trends will inevitably ‘resolve’ (which is a pleasant way of saying ‘blow up’.)

When This All Blows Up…
 by Chris Martenson

This report marks the end of a series of three big trains of thought. The first explained how we’re living through the Mother Of All Financial Bubbles. The next detailed the Great Wealth Transfer that is now underway, siphoning our wealth into the pockets of an elite few.

This concluding report predicts how these deleterious and unsustainable trends will inevitably ‘resolve’ (which is a pleasant way of saying ‘blow up’.)

Image | Off The Cuff: Dubious Data
Off The Cuff: Dubious Data
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish Shedlock discuss: GDP Sluggish At 1.3% and falling Suspicious 'Rosy' Jobs Reports When no net employment growth for months Earnings The Same As 2011 Yet stocks 30% higher Fed Hike Likely? Probably. But they don't want to pop the bubble This week Chris and Mish…
Off The Cuff: Dubious Data
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish Shedlock discuss: GDP Sluggish At 1.3% and falling Suspicious 'Rosy' Jobs Reports When no net employment growth for months Earnings The Same As 2011 Yet stocks 30% higher Fed Hike Likely? Probably. But they don't want to pop the bubble This week Chris and Mish…
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