by
David Collum
Podcast
by
David Collum
by
Chris Martenson
Longtime PeakProsperity.com readers know that the Hard Assets Alliance is this website's officially-endorsed gold & silver bullion dealer (the list of reasons why can be read here).
Given the painful slog over recent years for precious metals investors, we thought it was high time to bring them back on the program to offer an update on the fundamental reasons for continuing to own bullion.
This week, Chris sits down with HAA executive Ed D'Agostino to discuss the role of gold (and silver) in an investment portfolio during the age of bitcoin and endless central bank liquidity.
Hard Assets Alliance: The Role Of Gold (And Silver)
by Chris MartensonLongtime PeakProsperity.com readers know that the Hard Assets Alliance is this website's officially-endorsed gold & silver bullion dealer (the list of reasons why can be read here).
Given the painful slog over recent years for precious metals investors, we thought it was high time to bring them back on the program to offer an update on the fundamental reasons for continuing to own bullion.
This week, Chris sits down with HAA executive Ed D'Agostino to discuss the role of gold (and silver) in an investment portfolio during the age of bitcoin and endless central bank liquidity.
by
Chris Martenson
Executive Summary
- Why America Will NOT Soon Become A Net Exporter Of Oil
- The Gross Global Mis-Pricing Of Risk
- The New Fed Looks Even Worse Than The Old
- What You Should Do To Prepare
If you have not yet read Part 1: The Great Oil Swindle, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
The "America Will Soon Be A Net Exporter Of Oil" Big Fat Lie
This brings us to the part where the oil myth has gone entirely off the rails. Using the fraudulent oil recovery (EUR) estimates in play, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has built that into an outlook that might not only be wrong, but decisively and destructively wrong.
The IEA came out with a bombshell report recently that dramatically claims the US will not only become a net oil exporter in 2025 and remain as such for decades afterward, but that it will be able to increase its production by another incremental 8 million barrels per day above current levels:
US will become a net oil exporter within 10 years, says IEA
Nov 13, 2017
The shale revolution in north America means the US is destined to become a net oil exporter within 10 years, for the first time since the 1950s.
The International Energy Agency said it expected that American oil production between 2010 and 2025 would grow at a rate unparalleled by any country in history, with far-reaching consequences for the US and the world.
The last time the US exported more oil than it imported was 1953, and a ban on oil exports was lifted only in 2015.
Technological developments in drilling and fracking since the turn of this century have unlocked huge reserves of gas and oil trapped in shale rock, and redrawn the energy landscape.
(Source)
Well, I can assure you that if the IEA is using EUR’s that are off by 100%, then its projections are not only laughably wrong, but extremely dangerous.
Based on this sort of deeply-flawed analysis, anybody making plans off of this, which might include politicians, regulators, companies, or individuals deciding on whether or not to buy that F350 truck with a 15+ year lifespan, is relying on some very bad information.
And more than that, it's critical for us to understand how oil is about to violently…
The Massive Coming Oil Shock
PREVIEW by Chris MartensonExecutive Summary
- Why America Will NOT Soon Become A Net Exporter Of Oil
- The Gross Global Mis-Pricing Of Risk
- The New Fed Looks Even Worse Than The Old
- What You Should Do To Prepare
If you have not yet read Part 1: The Great Oil Swindle, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
The "America Will Soon Be A Net Exporter Of Oil" Big Fat Lie
This brings us to the part where the oil myth has gone entirely off the rails. Using the fraudulent oil recovery (EUR) estimates in play, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has built that into an outlook that might not only be wrong, but decisively and destructively wrong.
The IEA came out with a bombshell report recently that dramatically claims the US will not only become a net oil exporter in 2025 and remain as such for decades afterward, but that it will be able to increase its production by another incremental 8 million barrels per day above current levels:
US will become a net oil exporter within 10 years, says IEA
Nov 13, 2017
The shale revolution in north America means the US is destined to become a net oil exporter within 10 years, for the first time since the 1950s.
The International Energy Agency said it expected that American oil production between 2010 and 2025 would grow at a rate unparalleled by any country in history, with far-reaching consequences for the US and the world.
The last time the US exported more oil than it imported was 1953, and a ban on oil exports was lifted only in 2015.
Technological developments in drilling and fracking since the turn of this century have unlocked huge reserves of gas and oil trapped in shale rock, and redrawn the energy landscape.
(Source)
Well, I can assure you that if the IEA is using EUR’s that are off by 100%, then its projections are not only laughably wrong, but extremely dangerous.
Based on this sort of deeply-flawed analysis, anybody making plans off of this, which might include politicians, regulators, companies, or individuals deciding on whether or not to buy that F350 truck with a 15+ year lifespan, is relying on some very bad information.
And more than that, it's critical for us to understand how oil is about to violently…
by
charleshughsmith
Executive Summary
- The dangerous unintended risks and consequences of central bank policies
- Returns diminish as you move along the expansion S-curve
- Why the current practice of moderating extremes will fail
- What comes next & how to prepare for it
If you have not yet read Part 1: The Inescapable Reason Why the Financial System Will Fail, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
In Part 1, we covered the financial system’s dependence on credit, and the central bank’s conundrum: they can’t raise rates without stifling the credit-binge-dependent “recovery” and asset bubbles, but they also can’t keep pushing asset bubbles higher without increasing systemic risks, as valuations are already stretched to historic extremes.
So what happens next? Can central banks raise rates without popping the bubbles the system needs to remain solvent? Or can they keep yields near zero and keep pushing asset valuations higher for years or decades to come?
I hate to spoil the ending, but the short answer is: these are incompatible goals. The central banks cannot raise yields (i.e. normalize rates to historically average levels) and push asset valuations higher, nor can they eliminate the systemic risk generated by extreme valuations and leverage.
Unintended Risks and Consequences
Extreme financial policies generate unintended consequences as a result of being extreme: a moderate policy wouldn’t have the “whatever it takes” impact, but it also wouldn’t jam all the levers to maximum.
Once the levers are on maximum, the extremes generate instability and blowback, as those who benefit from the extremes are incentivized to go even deeper into speculative gambles in the mistaken belief that “the central banks have my back” while those who did not benefit express their dissatisfaction in the political arena, a dynamic that is often dismissed or derided as “populism.”
Central banks have suppressed measures of volatility in an effort to mask the rising risk that their policy extremes will trigger… [enroll now to continue reading]
So What Comes Next & How Can We Prepare For It?
PREVIEW by charleshughsmithExecutive Summary
- The dangerous unintended risks and consequences of central bank policies
- Returns diminish as you move along the expansion S-curve
- Why the current practice of moderating extremes will fail
- What comes next & how to prepare for it
If you have not yet read Part 1: The Inescapable Reason Why the Financial System Will Fail, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
In Part 1, we covered the financial system’s dependence on credit, and the central bank’s conundrum: they can’t raise rates without stifling the credit-binge-dependent “recovery” and asset bubbles, but they also can’t keep pushing asset bubbles higher without increasing systemic risks, as valuations are already stretched to historic extremes.
So what happens next? Can central banks raise rates without popping the bubbles the system needs to remain solvent? Or can they keep yields near zero and keep pushing asset valuations higher for years or decades to come?
I hate to spoil the ending, but the short answer is: these are incompatible goals. The central banks cannot raise yields (i.e. normalize rates to historically average levels) and push asset valuations higher, nor can they eliminate the systemic risk generated by extreme valuations and leverage.
Unintended Risks and Consequences
Extreme financial policies generate unintended consequences as a result of being extreme: a moderate policy wouldn’t have the “whatever it takes” impact, but it also wouldn’t jam all the levers to maximum.
Once the levers are on maximum, the extremes generate instability and blowback, as those who benefit from the extremes are incentivized to go even deeper into speculative gambles in the mistaken belief that “the central banks have my back” while those who did not benefit express their dissatisfaction in the political arena, a dynamic that is often dismissed or derided as “populism.”
Central banks have suppressed measures of volatility in an effort to mask the rising risk that their policy extremes will trigger… [enroll now to continue reading]
by
Adam Taggart
Total 6350 items
