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Podcast

by Chris Martenson

Executive Summary

  • Best practices in cost-accounting from the FIRE movement
  • The appeal of the 4% annual expense strategy
  • Life hacks in extreme frugality
  • The Peak Prosperity community shares its collective wisdom

If you have not yet read Part 1: Extreme Frugality, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

What if it were possible to uncouple from the ‘rat race’ and thereby regain a big portion of your time to use as you please?

I assume everyone would find that desirable.  Time would open up for one to volunteer, travel, get in shape, meditate, sleep or do whatever you desire.

There’s a well-established movement underway the goes by the acronym FIRE, which stands for Financial Independence Retire Early.  It’s not for everybody, and has a ton of pros and cons, and I’m not advocating that anybody blindly adopt FIRE as their framework, although some of you may already pursue it and that’s fine.

I am saying that the movement has put a lot of thoughtful time into managing the income and expense parts of life and it has a lot of very practical advice to follow if one wishes.

My role is to set the stage. I’ve spent a huge amount of time reading blogs, finding resources, and condensing the learnings to save you time.

And what I’ve learned is…

Live Frugally, Retire Comfortably
PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

Executive Summary

  • Best practices in cost-accounting from the FIRE movement
  • The appeal of the 4% annual expense strategy
  • Life hacks in extreme frugality
  • The Peak Prosperity community shares its collective wisdom

If you have not yet read Part 1: Extreme Frugality, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

What if it were possible to uncouple from the ‘rat race’ and thereby regain a big portion of your time to use as you please?

I assume everyone would find that desirable.  Time would open up for one to volunteer, travel, get in shape, meditate, sleep or do whatever you desire.

There’s a well-established movement underway the goes by the acronym FIRE, which stands for Financial Independence Retire Early.  It’s not for everybody, and has a ton of pros and cons, and I’m not advocating that anybody blindly adopt FIRE as their framework, although some of you may already pursue it and that’s fine.

I am saying that the movement has put a lot of thoughtful time into managing the income and expense parts of life and it has a lot of very practical advice to follow if one wishes.

My role is to set the stage. I’ve spent a huge amount of time reading blogs, finding resources, and condensing the learnings to save you time.

And what I’ve learned is…

by Chris Martenson

Fresh from releasing his exhaustive 340-page annual report titled In Gold We Trust, Ronald Stoerferle joins us to summarize his forecast for the yellow metal.

Stoerferle, an author of several books on Austrian economics and head of strategy and portfolio management at Incrementum AG, concludes that gold is poised to move explosively higher. He sees a new bull market beginning for the precious metal — one likely to quickly build momentum as the impending recession arrives and the world’s central banks revert to extreme easing policy measures.

Ronni Stoeferle: In Gold We Trust
by Chris Martenson

Fresh from releasing his exhaustive 340-page annual report titled In Gold We Trust, Ronald Stoerferle joins us to summarize his forecast for the yellow metal.

Stoerferle, an author of several books on Austrian economics and head of strategy and portfolio management at Incrementum AG, concludes that gold is poised to move explosively higher. He sees a new bull market beginning for the precious metal — one likely to quickly build momentum as the impending recession arrives and the world’s central banks revert to extreme easing policy measures.

by Chris Martenson

Executive Summary

  • The recent tanker attacks in the Gulf of Oman are both odd and murky
  • Assessing what happens next in and around the Strait of Hormuz
  • Recession watch!  Many more signs of weakening with which to contend
  • When the black swan(s) arrive the bubble(s) will burst
  • Getting the timing right is going to be tricky, of course

If you have not yet read Part 1: Waiting For The Black Swan, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

There are a huge number of warning signs that a recession is imminent, if not already here, and the price of oil is one of them (more on the others later).

Right now, with oil inventories climbing despite relatively low global oil output, oil is saying “economic weakness is here.”

Perhaps the biggest “sour note” in the ongoing stock bull parade is the dramatic inversion of the yield curve, which means shorter maturity government paper is yielding more than longer maturity paper.

For example, you can get a higher yield on 3-month paper than 5-year paper.    This key indicator has now been inverted for a full quarter, an historically accurate indicator of recession.

Another is the difference between 6-month and 3-month T-bills.  Again, outside of a recession, we’ve never seen a reading as low as it is right now.

The reason I track the possibility of a recession so closely is because I don’t think that the vast majority of people will be ready to consider alternatives to the status quo as long as everything ‘seems fine.’  Despite a worsening trade war, despite weakening global trade, despite the many geopolitical risks, US and other equity markets continue to rise and seem impervious to any and all bad news.

Which is why I don’t think this bubble ends with mom and pop retail investors catching on and ducking out.  It will ends when…

What Happens When War Meets Recession?
PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

Executive Summary

  • The recent tanker attacks in the Gulf of Oman are both odd and murky
  • Assessing what happens next in and around the Strait of Hormuz
  • Recession watch!  Many more signs of weakening with which to contend
  • When the black swan(s) arrive the bubble(s) will burst
  • Getting the timing right is going to be tricky, of course

If you have not yet read Part 1: Waiting For The Black Swan, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

There are a huge number of warning signs that a recession is imminent, if not already here, and the price of oil is one of them (more on the others later).

Right now, with oil inventories climbing despite relatively low global oil output, oil is saying “economic weakness is here.”

Perhaps the biggest “sour note” in the ongoing stock bull parade is the dramatic inversion of the yield curve, which means shorter maturity government paper is yielding more than longer maturity paper.

For example, you can get a higher yield on 3-month paper than 5-year paper.    This key indicator has now been inverted for a full quarter, an historically accurate indicator of recession.

Another is the difference between 6-month and 3-month T-bills.  Again, outside of a recession, we’ve never seen a reading as low as it is right now.

The reason I track the possibility of a recession so closely is because I don’t think that the vast majority of people will be ready to consider alternatives to the status quo as long as everything ‘seems fine.’  Despite a worsening trade war, despite weakening global trade, despite the many geopolitical risks, US and other equity markets continue to rise and seem impervious to any and all bad news.

Which is why I don’t think this bubble ends with mom and pop retail investors catching on and ducking out.  It will ends when…

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