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US Forces Allies to Choose Sides on AI, Armstrong Predicts EU Breakup and Collapse of Republican Gov’t

Today’s Digest covers Martin Armstrong’s forecasts, US AI coalition ultimatum, Ukraine drone attack, robotic phlebotomy, BMJ paper retraction, measles in vaccinated, gut-psychopathy links, grade fabrication, and Los Alamos death investigation.

The User's Profile Ivor August 17, 2026
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DISCLAIMER: The following content does not reflect the opinions of Peak Prosperity, but is rather a summarization of content that has caught the interest of members of the community.

Discussion is welcome in the comments section!

Geopolitics

Martin Armstrong’s models project Democrats will take the House but not the Senate in the 2026 midterms, followed by Republican gains above 70% in 2028. He also forecasts an EU breakup after 2029, the Ukraine war ending by 2030, and the collapse of republican government forms by 2032. Armstrong stated that China and the West are using proxies to deplete munitions stockpiles and does not expect a near-term stock crash.

Russia’s Defense Ministry reported intercepting 822 Ukrainian drones overnight, with roughly 600 aimed at Moscow. The strike hit a Wildberries warehouse in Podolsk. Since mid-July, 20 Wildberries warehouses have been struck. Ukrainian sources reported that strikes caused extensive damage, taking multiple large logistics hubs offline.

Artificial Intelligence

A draft State Department letter reviewed by Reuters states the United States will inform 35 countries that they cannot belong to both U.S. and Chinese AI coalitions. The letter warns that joining Beijing’s framework will end participation in Pax Silica. Kazakhstan, the only known member of both groups, reportedly prompted the action. Xi Jinping launched the World Artificial Intelligence Cooperation Organization in July. Critics described the U.S. approach as a loyalty test in a resource competition rather than genuine cooperation.

Meanwhile, a robotic phlebotomist named Aletta is drawing blood in European hospitals using AI-driven ultrasound to locate veins, insert the needle, draw blood, and apply a bandage. Reports indicate 98% of patients said they would use it again. Concerns have been raised about potential displacement of U.S. phlebotomy jobs estimated at 130,000-140,000 positions.

Health

The BMJ Public Health journal retracted a 2024 paper that reported over three million excess deaths across 47 Western countries from 2020 to 2022 using Our World in Data. An institutional probe at the Princess Máxima Center found no fabrication or falsification but stated the paper gave disproportionate attention to vaccines and lockdowns. Three independent Dutch experts wrote to the BMJ that the retraction was disproportionate and raised questions about political interference. Professor Ronald Meester of Vrije University Amsterdam stated there is no scientific reason for retraction. Lead author Dr. Saskia Mostert resigned after the decision. Defenders of the retraction noted that the paper was purely descriptive and risked misleading the public by implying unestablished links to vaccines.

In other vaccine news, Colorado surveillance data showed four of nine secondary measles cases in a recent outbreak occurred in individuals with two documented MMR doses, according to a CDC MMWR report. RT-PCR of urine specimens detected the virus in some vaccinated patients whose nasopharyngeal samples tested negative. Analysts noted the Edmonston vaccine strain has not been updated since 1954. Other analyses have affirmed the MMR vaccine’s approximately 97% effectiveness after two doses based on large studies and real-world data.

In gut-health news, a study published in Translational Psychiatry analyzed blood, saliva, and fecal samples from 200 adults who completed the Self-Report Psychopathy Scale-Short Form. Researchers at the University of Porto reported no clear link between individual microbial diversity and psychopathy scores. However, higher abundance of the gut genera Allisonella and Prevotella, along with the species Cloacibacillus evryensis, correlated with higher scores on callousness, manipulation, and impulsivity. Higher levels of oral Treponema vincentii showed a negative association. The authors proposed inflammation, altered emotional processing, and Gamma-Aminobutyric Acid production as possible mechanisms but noted the findings are correlational.

Education

Former Nashville Teacher of the Year Samira Hardcastle resigned after administrators changed a student’s grade following a parent request. Her resignation letter described the action as grade fabrication. Separately, Overton High math teacher Diana Wills was suspended after refusing in writing to convert failing grades to Ds and is suing the district. She stated, “Statistics are being skewed to protect the district, not our children.”

US Politics

Recent autopsy findings on Melissa Casias, the Los Alamos National Laboratory administrative assistant who went missing in June 2025, showed a gunshot entering the base of the skull and exiting the left temple. An anonymous law enforcement source described the angle as physically improbable for suicide. Her case is part of a reported cluster of eleven dead or missing personnel tied to nuclear and aerospace programs. President Trump ordered an FBI review.

Sources

Gut Microbes Tied to Psychopathic Traits in New Study

Scientists have found evidence to suggest that microbiota may even influence people’s experience of psychopathy, with researchers discovering links between levels of certain gut and oral microbes and psychopathic personality traits.

Source | Submitted by davefairtex

BMJ Retracts Excess Deaths Paper Over Politics, Not Errors

There is no scientific reason to retract. Retraction is bizarre in this case, there is nothing actually wrong with the paper. Hence the real reason must be political.

Source

US to 35 Allies: Join Our AI Bloc or China’s, Not Both

To be part of everything is to be part of nothing.

Source

Armstrong: 2026 Midterms Deadlocked, Dems Grab House for Impeachment Circus

By the Dems taking the House, you will see all kinds of investigations, there will be another impeachment of Trump, etc. They will be real obstructionists.

Source

Autopsy Challenges Suicide Claim in Los Alamos Worker’s Death

“There’s no way this was suicide, not from that angle… The kickback would have made the gun go straight up. That’s ridiculous. She was murdered.”

Source

Ukraine’s Drones Cripple Wildberries, Russia’s Amazon

Ukrainian long-range drones just obliterated the largest Wildberries logistics center in all of Russia.

Source

Colorado Measles Data: 44% of Cases in Vaccinated Raises MMR Efficacy Questions

The fact that 44.4% of secondary measles cases in the Colorado outbreak occurred in individuals who had received two documented doses of MMR vaccine contrasts with long-standing expectations.

Source

AI Blood Robot Aletta Stuns Europe, Threatens 130K U.S. Jobs

In the U.S. alone, roughly 130,000 phlebotomists make their living doing this exact job.

Source

Nashville Bureaucrats Override Teachers to Fabricate Grades

At MNPS, when a teacher and an administrator disagree about a grade, the administrator wins.

Source

In addition to sources submitted by community members, the following were also used in the creation of this report: @Vaccinologist, @StarboySAR, @Peteuk001, @AnarchoLibertyn, @DefenceU, and @RogueZebraTMR.

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