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Economy
by
Chris Martenson
Executive Summary
- Understanding the details of the Ka-POOM! theory
- The end game: hyperinflation
- Transitioning to tangible (vs paper) assets
- The critical importance of timing as things switch from deflation to runaway inflation
If you have not yet read Part 1: When This All Blows Up, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
Ka-POOM!
Now it’s time to revisit the Ka-POOM theory which posits that bubbles will be blown, then they will deflate (or threaten to, more precisely), and that will then be met with more money printing. Our view is that this cycle will continue until the entire system is utterly ruined, the underlying currencies destroyed.
What the 2008 financial crisis made clear is that when natural market forces work to purge the oversupply of poor-quality debt from the system. The bad mortgages (think subprime), the bad sovereign debts (think Greece), and the loan portfolios of over-extended financial institutions (think Citibank) represented ‘poor quality debt.’ When the market (finally) figured out that those debts would never be repaid at face value, or perhaps at all, turmoil erupted.
During times like these a vicious sequence begins: the market demands higher interest rates for the increased risks it sees. This makes debts harder to service, ultimately triggering defaults, which only compounds the difficulties as interest costs and defaults spiral ever upwards until the system is purged. Think of it as nature’s way of removing bad credit from the world, the way a lion chases the lamest antelope first.
Because in our fiat currency system ‘all money is loaned into existence’ (see chapters 7 and 8 of The Crash Course on-line video series), during periods of high debt default, the money supply shrinks. Money is created when a loan is made and, conversely, money disappears when a debt defaults (or is paid back). This is the textbook definition of deflation—a common symptom of which is falling prices the cause of which is that there’s just less money (and/or credit) available to chase goods and services.
As a reminder, money is a claim on real wealth and debt is a claim on future money. All that happens when we borrow more and more is that we push our problems of paying for what we want out into the future. Which means that…
The Ka-POOM! Survival Guide
PREVIEW by Chris MartensonExecutive Summary
- Understanding the details of the Ka-POOM! theory
- The end game: hyperinflation
- Transitioning to tangible (vs paper) assets
- The critical importance of timing as things switch from deflation to runaway inflation
If you have not yet read Part 1: When This All Blows Up, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
Ka-POOM!
Now it’s time to revisit the Ka-POOM theory which posits that bubbles will be blown, then they will deflate (or threaten to, more precisely), and that will then be met with more money printing. Our view is that this cycle will continue until the entire system is utterly ruined, the underlying currencies destroyed.
What the 2008 financial crisis made clear is that when natural market forces work to purge the oversupply of poor-quality debt from the system. The bad mortgages (think subprime), the bad sovereign debts (think Greece), and the loan portfolios of over-extended financial institutions (think Citibank) represented ‘poor quality debt.’ When the market (finally) figured out that those debts would never be repaid at face value, or perhaps at all, turmoil erupted.
During times like these a vicious sequence begins: the market demands higher interest rates for the increased risks it sees. This makes debts harder to service, ultimately triggering defaults, which only compounds the difficulties as interest costs and defaults spiral ever upwards until the system is purged. Think of it as nature’s way of removing bad credit from the world, the way a lion chases the lamest antelope first.
Because in our fiat currency system ‘all money is loaned into existence’ (see chapters 7 and 8 of The Crash Course on-line video series), during periods of high debt default, the money supply shrinks. Money is created when a loan is made and, conversely, money disappears when a debt defaults (or is paid back). This is the textbook definition of deflation—a common symptom of which is falling prices the cause of which is that there’s just less money (and/or credit) available to chase goods and services.
As a reminder, money is a claim on real wealth and debt is a claim on future money. All that happens when we borrow more and more is that we push our problems of paying for what we want out into the future. Which means that…
by
Chris Martenson
This report marks the end of a series of three big trains of thought. The first explained how we’re living through the Mother Of All Financial Bubbles. The next detailed the Great Wealth Transfer that is now underway, siphoning our wealth into the pockets of an elite few.
This concluding report predicts how these deleterious and unsustainable trends will inevitably ‘resolve’ (which is a pleasant way of saying ‘blow up’.)
When This All Blows Up…
by Chris MartensonThis report marks the end of a series of three big trains of thought. The first explained how we’re living through the Mother Of All Financial Bubbles. The next detailed the Great Wealth Transfer that is now underway, siphoning our wealth into the pockets of an elite few.
This concluding report predicts how these deleterious and unsustainable trends will inevitably ‘resolve’ (which is a pleasant way of saying ‘blow up’.)
by
Chris Martenson
Executive Summary
- There are too many claims on real wealth
- Our currency has a destiny with the dustbin
- When money dies, real wealth remains
- How to ensure you're on the winning side of the Great Wealth Transfer
If you have not yet read Part 1: The Coming Great Wealth Transfer, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
Financial Repression is really just a stalling tactic designed to slowly take your purchasing power and help bail out an over-indebted system. It works best when there’s wage inflation to help soften the blows; but there hasn’t been any of that in a long time, so the average household is just being crushed — a situation easily confirmed in the observed elevated suicide rates, record opioid addiction levels and overdose rates, and ultra-low levels of job satisfaction.
The main driver of the coming Wealth Transfer is rooted in the concept of too much money. And debt. They’re the same thing, as we have a debt-based money system. That is, our money is created through the issuance of debt. One begets the other. So we can track either (preferably both) to understand what’s really happening.
We do this here at Peak Prosperity because we very much want you to be on the right side of the Wealth Transfer. Our goal is to educate, so that you can make informed decisions about how to best position yourself. [Fun Fact: the root of ‘educate’ is the word ‘educe’ which means ‘to bring out.’ So for us, ‘educate’ does not mean to hand facts over for later recall, but rather it is a two-way process by which we can together bring out something that was hidden before and share that in common].
So, as we being to dig into the details here, take a moment to revisit our short Crash Course video chapters on money and money creation (at banks and The Fed). With that grounding, we can dive right into the role of money in an economy.
Remember, money and debt have no intrinsic value. They only have value because we all agree that they do. Money (and debt) has no intrinsic value beyond what we humans agree it has. Money is a social agreement.
A $20 bill has value because you and I agree that it does. Why we agree is because a $20 bill can do something for us. We can walk into a store and buy real things we need with it, therefore it has utility. If we couldn’t walk into a store and do anything with the money, then it would have no value at all.
For example, what do you think would happen if…
Winning The Great Wealth Transfer
PREVIEW by Chris MartensonExecutive Summary
- There are too many claims on real wealth
- Our currency has a destiny with the dustbin
- When money dies, real wealth remains
- How to ensure you're on the winning side of the Great Wealth Transfer
If you have not yet read Part 1: The Coming Great Wealth Transfer, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
Financial Repression is really just a stalling tactic designed to slowly take your purchasing power and help bail out an over-indebted system. It works best when there’s wage inflation to help soften the blows; but there hasn’t been any of that in a long time, so the average household is just being crushed — a situation easily confirmed in the observed elevated suicide rates, record opioid addiction levels and overdose rates, and ultra-low levels of job satisfaction.
The main driver of the coming Wealth Transfer is rooted in the concept of too much money. And debt. They’re the same thing, as we have a debt-based money system. That is, our money is created through the issuance of debt. One begets the other. So we can track either (preferably both) to understand what’s really happening.
We do this here at Peak Prosperity because we very much want you to be on the right side of the Wealth Transfer. Our goal is to educate, so that you can make informed decisions about how to best position yourself. [Fun Fact: the root of ‘educate’ is the word ‘educe’ which means ‘to bring out.’ So for us, ‘educate’ does not mean to hand facts over for later recall, but rather it is a two-way process by which we can together bring out something that was hidden before and share that in common].
So, as we being to dig into the details here, take a moment to revisit our short Crash Course video chapters on money and money creation (at banks and The Fed). With that grounding, we can dive right into the role of money in an economy.
Remember, money and debt have no intrinsic value. They only have value because we all agree that they do. Money (and debt) has no intrinsic value beyond what we humans agree it has. Money is a social agreement.
A $20 bill has value because you and I agree that it does. Why we agree is because a $20 bill can do something for us. We can walk into a store and buy real things we need with it, therefore it has utility. If we couldn’t walk into a store and do anything with the money, then it would have no value at all.
For example, what do you think would happen if…
by
Chris Martenson
It's impossible to predict with certainty how much more insane our financial markets will get before an inevitable correction, but my personal bet is “a lot!”
For my reasons why, take a few minutes to watch the chapter on bubbles below from The Crash Course. For those who haven't seen it before, the takeaway is this: bubbles pop only when greed in the market has been exhausted.
It’s Bubble Time!
by Chris MartensonIt's impossible to predict with certainty how much more insane our financial markets will get before an inevitable correction, but my personal bet is “a lot!”
For my reasons why, take a few minutes to watch the chapter on bubbles below from The Crash Course. For those who haven't seen it before, the takeaway is this: bubbles pop only when greed in the market has been exhausted.
by
Chris Martenson
Dr. Nafeez Ahmed is an award winning 15 year investigative journalist, noted international security scholar, best-selling author and film-maker. He authored The Guardian’s Earth Insight blog and has twice won the prestigious Project Censored Award for outstanding investigative journalism.
In his new book Failing States, Collapsing Systems, Nafeez points out, as we often do here at PeakProsperity.com, that everything in our modern society is connected to energy, and that our pursuit of ever more, ever higher growth is finally colliding with planetary limits. Scarcity and strife will be the dominant trends from here, unless we, as a species, start looking for different ways of living better-suited for a finite world.
Nafeez Ahmed: Our Systems Are Failing
by Chris MartensonDr. Nafeez Ahmed is an award winning 15 year investigative journalist, noted international security scholar, best-selling author and film-maker. He authored The Guardian’s Earth Insight blog and has twice won the prestigious Project Censored Award for outstanding investigative journalism.
In his new book Failing States, Collapsing Systems, Nafeez points out, as we often do here at PeakProsperity.com, that everything in our modern society is connected to energy, and that our pursuit of ever more, ever higher growth is finally colliding with planetary limits. Scarcity and strife will be the dominant trends from here, unless we, as a species, start looking for different ways of living better-suited for a finite world.
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