The Spanish Influenza of 1918-1919 had three main waves of infections, as shown by the chart below, Note that it was the second wave, which peaked five months after the first, that was — by far — the most deadly :
At this point, we have no way of knowing for certain whether there will be a 2nd wave for covid-19. Or, if so, how much more/less of a health threat it will pose compared to wave #1.
But given this uncertainty and the high potential downside risks involved, the obvious prudent choice is to start preparing for a serious wave 2 to arrive in later 2020 or early 2021.
Most countries have brought new covid cases down to a fraction of what they were in April/May. And even in countries like the US that are seeing a resurgence of cases in many states, supply chains and the general way of life are working much closer to “normal” than they were weeks back during the height of the pandemic panic.
So, while inventory shelves are full again, more and more merchants are reopening, and stimulus checks continue to arrive in the mail, use the stability available to you now to get your covid-19 Wave 2 preparations in place. As we all saw at the onset of Wave 1, many key items (masks, hand sterilizers, meat, etc) immediately go out of stock once the general public suddenly decides it wants them.
Months Too Early Far Better Than A Day Too Late
A growing chorus of readers have been asking Chris and me for a covid-19 Wave 2 prep guide that builds upon the recommendations made in our earlier reports like How We’re Personally Preparing Against The Coronavirus and The Home Lockdown Survival Guide. Now that we’ve been through Wave 1, what new preparations would we emphasize?
Given the high degree of reader interest as well as our strong belief that the time to prepare for adversity is well before it arrives, we’ve compiled the below updates.
A surprising amount of what we published back in February and March remains just as important now as it did then, and we include all of that guidance below (updated where necessary) in order for this report to serve as your family’s all-in-one guide to Wave 2 preparations. We encourage you to share email/print copies with those you care about in order to get