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Image | Warning: Stocks Likely to Crater from Here
Warning: Stocks Likely to Crater from Here
by Chris Martenson

I don't relish the job of constantly pointing out the risks to the equity markets. But since few on Wall Street seem willing (or able) to do this, I'm "making the call" for a market correction, as enough variables have aligned to indicate a high likelihood of stocks heading downwards from here.

I've only given one other such warning about equities before, and that was in March of 2008, when I warned of the possibility of a 40% to 60% decline in stock prices by Fall. I am making a similar call today, with the understanding that I am usually a bit early to the game with my views.
Warning: Stocks Likely to Crater from Here
 by Chris Martenson

I don't relish the job of constantly pointing out the risks to the equity markets. But since few on Wall Street seem willing (or able) to do this, I'm "making the call" for a market correction, as enough variables have aligned to indicate a high likelihood of stocks heading downwards from here.

I've only given one other such warning about equities before, and that was in March of 2008, when I warned of the possibility of a 40% to 60% decline in stock prices by Fall. I am making a similar call today, with the understanding that I am usually a bit early to the game with my views.
Image | How the Market Failure Will Happen
How the Market Failure Will Happen
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

Executive Summary The central-planning Status Quo will fight to the bitter end in order to keep stock and housing prices elevated HFT algorithms dramatically increase the odds of immediate "air pockets" in stock prices Persistently high gasoline prices are choking economic growth A parade of economic headwinds (weakening GDP growth, higher taxes, the impact of Obamacare,…
How the Market Failure Will Happen
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

Executive Summary The central-planning Status Quo will fight to the bitter end in order to keep stock and housing prices elevated HFT algorithms dramatically increase the odds of immediate "air pockets" in stock prices Persistently high gasoline prices are choking economic growth A parade of economic headwinds (weakening GDP growth, higher taxes, the impact of Obamacare,…
Image | Off the Cuff: Things are Getting Interesting
Off the Cuff: Things are Getting Interesting
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

In this week's Off the Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish discuss:

  • The FOMC Freak-out
    • Why markets dove after the Fed minutes were released
  • Stocks Slip, PMs get Slaughtered
    • Why the markets look very treacherous from here
  • The Sinister Sequestration
    • What will likely result if it happens
Off the Cuff: Things are Getting Interesting
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

In this week's Off the Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish discuss:

  • The FOMC Freak-out
    • Why markets dove after the Fed minutes were released
  • Stocks Slip, PMs get Slaughtered
    • Why the markets look very treacherous from here
  • The Sinister Sequestration
    • What will likely result if it happens
Image | The Arrival of Japan’s Sunset
The Arrival of Japan’s Sunset
by Gregor Macdonald

For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for nature cannot be fooled. ~ Richard Feynman

Waiting for Japan's economy to make a strong recovery has been an ongoing game since 1990. Shall we play that game one more time?
The Arrival of Japan’s Sunset
 by Gregor Macdonald

For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for nature cannot be fooled. ~ Richard Feynman

Waiting for Japan's economy to make a strong recovery has been an ongoing game since 1990. Shall we play that game one more time?
Image | The Real Reason the Economy Is Broken (and Will Stay That Way)
The Real Reason the Economy Is Broken (and Will Stay That Way)
by Chris Martenson

We are far enough and deep enough into the most heroic monetary and fiscal efforts ever undertaken to finally ask, why aren't these measures working?

Or at least we should be.  Oddly, many in DC, on Wall Street, and the Federal Reserve continue to steadfastly refuse to include anything in their approaches and frameworks other than "more of the same."

So we are treated to an endless parade of news items that seek to convince us that a bottom is in and that we've 'turned the corner' – often on the flimsy basis that in the past things have always gotten better by now.
The Real Reason the Economy Is Broken (and Will Stay That Way)
 by Chris Martenson

We are far enough and deep enough into the most heroic monetary and fiscal efforts ever undertaken to finally ask, why aren't these measures working?

Or at least we should be.  Oddly, many in DC, on Wall Street, and the Federal Reserve continue to steadfastly refuse to include anything in their approaches and frameworks other than "more of the same."

So we are treated to an endless parade of news items that seek to convince us that a bottom is in and that we've 'turned the corner' – often on the flimsy basis that in the past things have always gotten better by now.
Image | Time to Choose
Time to Choose
by Adam Taggart

Whether you’re aware of it or not, a great battle is being waged around us.

It is a war of two opposing narratives: the future of our economy and our standard of living.

The dominant story, championed by flotillas of press releases and parading talking heads, tells an inspiring tale of recovery and return to growth. 

The other side, less visible but with a full armament of high-caliber data, tells a very different story. One of growing instability, downside risk, and inequality.

As different as they are in substance, they both share one fundamental prediction – and this is why you should care: This battle is about to break. And when it does, one side will turn out to be much more ‘right’ than the other. The time for action has arrived. To position yourself in the direction of the break you think is most likely to happen.

It’s time to choose a side.
Time to Choose
 by Adam Taggart

Whether you’re aware of it or not, a great battle is being waged around us.

It is a war of two opposing narratives: the future of our economy and our standard of living.

The dominant story, championed by flotillas of press releases and parading talking heads, tells an inspiring tale of recovery and return to growth. 

The other side, less visible but with a full armament of high-caliber data, tells a very different story. One of growing instability, downside risk, and inequality.

As different as they are in substance, they both share one fundamental prediction – and this is why you should care: This battle is about to break. And when it does, one side will turn out to be much more ‘right’ than the other. The time for action has arrived. To position yourself in the direction of the break you think is most likely to happen.

It’s time to choose a side.
Image | Running on Fumes
Running on Fumes
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

The stock market blasted higher, with the Dow crossing the 14,000 mark because the jobs report came in well under expectations.  In today's world, one follows the other.

In yesterday's world, the one where logic and reason ruled the day, that first sentence would not have been written.  Economic weakness would not have been rewarded with a big surge in stocks.

But this all makes perfect sense in today's world, once you tilt your view to the "new normal" and get with the program.

I titled this piece 'running on fumes' because, in one very real sense, that's exactly what this current market is doing.  The fumes in this case happen to be thin-air money that the Fed is injecting into the financial markets to the tune of $85 billion per month, or roughly $4 billion per working day.

When an engine finally runs out of gas and turns to fumes, the last act of that engine is to run really hot – to race for a while – before finally quitting.
Running on Fumes
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

The stock market blasted higher, with the Dow crossing the 14,000 mark because the jobs report came in well under expectations.  In today's world, one follows the other.

In yesterday's world, the one where logic and reason ruled the day, that first sentence would not have been written.  Economic weakness would not have been rewarded with a big surge in stocks.

But this all makes perfect sense in today's world, once you tilt your view to the "new normal" and get with the program.

I titled this piece 'running on fumes' because, in one very real sense, that's exactly what this current market is doing.  The fumes in this case happen to be thin-air money that the Fed is injecting into the financial markets to the tune of $85 billion per month, or roughly $4 billion per working day.

When an engine finally runs out of gas and turns to fumes, the last act of that engine is to run really hot – to race for a while – before finally quitting.
Image | Ask the Adviser: Risk-Managed Investing
Ask the Adviser: Risk-Managed Investing
by Chris Martenson

If you have money in the financial system (stocks, bonds, retirement funds, etc.) and you share the same skepticism most of our readers have about the markets' future stability, how should you invest those funds?

Most of the folks who inquire about our endorsed financial advisers are far more interested in preserving the purchasing power of their wealth vs. aggressively trying to beat the market average each year. But how exactly does one do that?

In this week's podcast, Chris sits down again with Mike Preston and John Llodra to discuss risk-managed investing.

Ask the Adviser: Risk-Managed Investing
 by Chris Martenson

If you have money in the financial system (stocks, bonds, retirement funds, etc.) and you share the same skepticism most of our readers have about the markets' future stability, how should you invest those funds?

Most of the folks who inquire about our endorsed financial advisers are far more interested in preserving the purchasing power of their wealth vs. aggressively trying to beat the market average each year. But how exactly does one do that?

In this week's podcast, Chris sits down again with Mike Preston and John Llodra to discuss risk-managed investing.

Image | Off the Cuff: Irrational Exuberance
Off the Cuff: Irrational Exuberance
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

In this week's Off the Cuff with Mish & Chris podcast, Mish and Chris discuss:

  • Market Euphoria
    • ​Stocks explode higher for irrational reasons
  • The Fiscal Cliff Fake-out
    • ​No spending cuts, no curbs on the rich
  • ​Japan: The Ticking Time Bomb
    • ​The leading candidate for currency collapse

Well, it's now 2013, and the stock market is partying like it's 1999.
Off the Cuff: Irrational Exuberance
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

In this week's Off the Cuff with Mish & Chris podcast, Mish and Chris discuss:

  • Market Euphoria
    • ​Stocks explode higher for irrational reasons
  • The Fiscal Cliff Fake-out
    • ​No spending cuts, no curbs on the rich
  • ​Japan: The Ticking Time Bomb
    • ​The leading candidate for currency collapse

Well, it's now 2013, and the stock market is partying like it's 1999.
Image | David Collum: We’re Headed for a Showdown
David Collum: We’re Headed for a Showdown
by David Collum

In the Big Rock Candy Mountains,
The jails are made of tin.
And you can walk right out again,
As soon as you are in.

Fresh from releasing his exhaustive and excellent Year In Review last week, Dave Collum sits down with Chris to discuss the key developments of 2012 in detail.

David Collum: We’re Headed for a Showdown
 by David Collum

In the Big Rock Candy Mountains,
The jails are made of tin.
And you can walk right out again,
As soon as you are in.

Fresh from releasing his exhaustive and excellent Year In Review last week, Dave Collum sits down with Chris to discuss the key developments of 2012 in detail.

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