Peak Prosperity's rates are going up on January 30 for the first time in 17 years. All Peak Insiders enrolled before the increase will enjoy the same, low 2008 pricing for as long as they maintain their membership.
Cash
Executive Summary
- Planning determinants for:
- Precious Metals
- Bullion: physical
- Bullion: stored & tradable
- Miners
- Stocks & bonds
- Remaining long
- Strategies for shorting
- Real Estate
- Debt Management
- Income Security
- Local Investing
- Personal Preparations
- Community Preparations
- Precious Metals
If you have not yet read The Good News In All The Bad Data, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
Though we strongly advise in Part 1 to move to cash, it's essential to remember that this is largely a transitional maneuver. The goal is to keep your powder dry during the coming deflationary storm, and then deploy it in as intelligently and timely a manner as possible when your dollars can buy quality assets at excellent discounts. In this Part 2, we walk you through the principal components for building your investing action plan for both in advance of, and when, that time arrives.
Also, we understand that for reasons of options and attitude, simply moving your portfolio 100% into cash is unpalatable or unrealistic for a number of people. Some of you will want to, perhaps even need to, have a percentage of your capital remain in the financial markets for the foreseeable future. So we discuss both long and short strategies for you to evaluate and pick whichever best suits your personal situation.
It's important to understand that the solution set contained below is a superset for your consideration and not a one-size-fits-all recipe (i.e. do NOT take it as personal investment advice!). As strongly urged in Part 1, its best use is as a structured guide for you and your financial adviser to use together in discussing and developing an investment plan customized to your goals, needs and risk tolerance.
Suffice it to say, everything discussed in this report (even the % cash component mentioned in Part 1) should be reviewed with your financial adviser before taking any action. Am I being excessively repetitive here in order to drive this point home? Good…
Precious Metals
One of the biggest mysteries that continues to perplex Chris and me is: Why is central bank liquidity creating price bubbles in every asset class EXCEPT the one you would expect it to most?
Here we have everything from Facebook stock to Las Vegas houses to junk bonds to Beats headphones catching bids at insane prices. As Chris discussed last week with economist Steen Jakobsen, the data for stocks over the past year shows that the worse the balance sheet, the better a company's stock performance has been.
Why is everything down to pure crap being lifted by the giant pool of money sloshing around the planet, but prices for gold and silver — arguably the highest-grade assets to own — are so badly languishing?
I won't rehash all of our speculations for why, as there are dozens of recent articles on this site speculating on the topic. But as this year's mega-report on gold drives home, the actual fundamentals for owning precious metals not only remain intact, but they are expanding materially each year.
Well, the good news here is that the precious metals market is the one place you don't have to wait for the "buy at pennies on the dollar" experience. It's here now.
Prices are not only far below what the fundamentals justify, but…
How To Position Yourself Now
PREVIEW by Adam TaggartExecutive Summary
- Planning determinants for:
- Precious Metals
- Bullion: physical
- Bullion: stored & tradable
- Miners
- Stocks & bonds
- Remaining long
- Strategies for shorting
- Real Estate
- Debt Management
- Income Security
- Local Investing
- Personal Preparations
- Community Preparations
- Precious Metals
If you have not yet read The Good News In All The Bad Data, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
Though we strongly advise in Part 1 to move to cash, it's essential to remember that this is largely a transitional maneuver. The goal is to keep your powder dry during the coming deflationary storm, and then deploy it in as intelligently and timely a manner as possible when your dollars can buy quality assets at excellent discounts. In this Part 2, we walk you through the principal components for building your investing action plan for both in advance of, and when, that time arrives.
Also, we understand that for reasons of options and attitude, simply moving your portfolio 100% into cash is unpalatable or unrealistic for a number of people. Some of you will want to, perhaps even need to, have a percentage of your capital remain in the financial markets for the foreseeable future. So we discuss both long and short strategies for you to evaluate and pick whichever best suits your personal situation.
It's important to understand that the solution set contained below is a superset for your consideration and not a one-size-fits-all recipe (i.e. do NOT take it as personal investment advice!). As strongly urged in Part 1, its best use is as a structured guide for you and your financial adviser to use together in discussing and developing an investment plan customized to your goals, needs and risk tolerance.
Suffice it to say, everything discussed in this report (even the % cash component mentioned in Part 1) should be reviewed with your financial adviser before taking any action. Am I being excessively repetitive here in order to drive this point home? Good…
Precious Metals
One of the biggest mysteries that continues to perplex Chris and me is: Why is central bank liquidity creating price bubbles in every asset class EXCEPT the one you would expect it to most?
Here we have everything from Facebook stock to Las Vegas houses to junk bonds to Beats headphones catching bids at insane prices. As Chris discussed last week with economist Steen Jakobsen, the data for stocks over the past year shows that the worse the balance sheet, the better a company's stock performance has been.
Why is everything down to pure crap being lifted by the giant pool of money sloshing around the planet, but prices for gold and silver — arguably the highest-grade assets to own — are so badly languishing?
I won't rehash all of our speculations for why, as there are dozens of recent articles on this site speculating on the topic. But as this year's mega-report on gold drives home, the actual fundamentals for owning precious metals not only remain intact, but they are expanding materially each year.
Well, the good news here is that the precious metals market is the one place you don't have to wait for the "buy at pennies on the dollar" experience. It's here now.
Prices are not only far below what the fundamentals justify, but…
Every year, friend-of-the-site David Collum writes a detailed "Year in Review" synopsis full of keen perspective and plenty of wit. This year's is no exception. Moreover, he has graciously selected PeakProsperity.com as the site where it will be published in full. It's quite longer than our usual posts, but worth the time to read in full.
2013 Year in Review
by David CollumEvery year, friend-of-the-site David Collum writes a detailed "Year in Review" synopsis full of keen perspective and plenty of wit. This year's is no exception. Moreover, he has graciously selected PeakProsperity.com as the site where it will be published in full. It's quite longer than our usual posts, but worth the time to read in full.
Executive Summary
- Why the next stock market decline could be in excess of 50%
- What historic indicators of coming decline are telling us
- The case for holding cash now
- If the market does roll over substantially in early 2014, how long may the decline last?
If you have not yet read The Case for a Crash, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
In Part I, we attempted to answer the question, Which forecast is more likely to be accurate: that the Bull market in stocks will continue for years to come, or the market will swan-dive in yet another multi-year crash?
We concluded that there was little historical evidence to support the claim that the S&P 500 will extend higher for an additional three to five years.
Here in Part II, we’ll look for clues about the possible amplitude and timing of the decline that the five-year cycle of the “new normal” suggests is likely.
(A reminder on gold: I detailed a forecast on gold earlier this year based on price action around key support/resistance levels, and nothing in recent price action has caused me to amend that forecast. I have also noted that gold does not correlate well with either stocks or the U.S. dollar; i.e., its dynamics are largely independent of stocks and the USD. To the degree that gold is viewed as a “risk-off” safe-haven asset, it should do well if “risk-on” assets such as stocks crater.)
Forecasting the Amplitude of the Next Decline
A number of technical analysts have noted this megaphone pattern in the stock market, a pattern formed by alternating higher highs and lower lows. This is one basis of forecasts for the SPX to drop to the 500-600 level in the next downdraft, potentially retracing the entire Bull advance from 1995.
While this megaphone may not play out, it establishes a potential target for a crushing drop from current highs…
The Case for Cash
PREVIEW by charleshughsmithExecutive Summary
- Why the next stock market decline could be in excess of 50%
- What historic indicators of coming decline are telling us
- The case for holding cash now
- If the market does roll over substantially in early 2014, how long may the decline last?
If you have not yet read The Case for a Crash, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
In Part I, we attempted to answer the question, Which forecast is more likely to be accurate: that the Bull market in stocks will continue for years to come, or the market will swan-dive in yet another multi-year crash?
We concluded that there was little historical evidence to support the claim that the S&P 500 will extend higher for an additional three to five years.
Here in Part II, we’ll look for clues about the possible amplitude and timing of the decline that the five-year cycle of the “new normal” suggests is likely.
(A reminder on gold: I detailed a forecast on gold earlier this year based on price action around key support/resistance levels, and nothing in recent price action has caused me to amend that forecast. I have also noted that gold does not correlate well with either stocks or the U.S. dollar; i.e., its dynamics are largely independent of stocks and the USD. To the degree that gold is viewed as a “risk-off” safe-haven asset, it should do well if “risk-on” assets such as stocks crater.)
Forecasting the Amplitude of the Next Decline
A number of technical analysts have noted this megaphone pattern in the stock market, a pattern formed by alternating higher highs and lower lows. This is one basis of forecasts for the SPX to drop to the 500-600 level in the next downdraft, potentially retracing the entire Bull advance from 1995.
While this megaphone may not play out, it establishes a potential target for a crushing drop from current highs…
Executive Summary
- The current gold slam has *nothing* to do with the fundamentals for precious metals, which are very favorable right now
- How bad would deflation be?
- Evidence that deflation is arriving
- Why our current monetary system has become so compromised by the banks
- How to best protect your wealth from both deflation and the banks
If you have not yet read Part I: This Gold Slam is a Massive Wealth Transfer from Our Pockets to the Banks, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
About Those Wealth Transfers
The biggest news of the recent past is the flow of gold from West to East.
(Source)
With China importing 835 tonnes of gold in 2012 – that we know about (and they may well be doing more under the table for official purposes) – and also standing as the number one producer of gold, with ~360 tonnes of domestic production, none of which is exported, China is consuming at least 44% of total yearly world gold production.
Connect that with India importing between 200 and 300 tons per quarter (2011 imports were 967 tonnes, and 2012 was 864 tonnes), and this represents another 33% of total world mine output. Add in Russia buying more official gold, and you suddenly find that a commanding proportion of the newly mined gold in the world is headed East, where it used to stay largely in the West.
To be clear, I view gold as money and therefore wealth itself. Everything else that can be manufactured out of thin air is merely a claim on wealth. In these terms, the West is slowly but steadily bleeding control of wealth to the East, something I thought our leaders were both aware of and focused on.
Knowing the lower prices will only exacerbate this West-to-East flow, I therefore thought that the bullion banks and central banks would not have dared push that dynamic any further. But apparently – no, obviously – I was wrong, which pains me on several levels.
Add to this the various things going on in the world today, and I honestly thought we were in the most gold-favorable landscape of my life.
Consider:
- Negative real interest rates (powerfully gold- and commodity-friendly throughout history)
- North Korea threatening nuclear and conventional war
- Open confiscation of wealth in Europe from bank accounts
- Japan doubling their monetary base in a brazenly desperate bid to stoke inflation by attacking Japanese trust in their own currency
- Extremely unfavorable bond yields up and down the yield ladder
- Continued European stress and discord with the possibility of a Eurozone disintegration
Taken together, this level of system, sovereign, and institutional uncertainty is about as gold-friendly a situation one could concoct…
Protecting Your Wealth from Deflation
PREVIEW by Chris MartensonExecutive Summary
- The current gold slam has *nothing* to do with the fundamentals for precious metals, which are very favorable right now
- How bad would deflation be?
- Evidence that deflation is arriving
- Why our current monetary system has become so compromised by the banks
- How to best protect your wealth from both deflation and the banks
If you have not yet read Part I: This Gold Slam is a Massive Wealth Transfer from Our Pockets to the Banks, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
About Those Wealth Transfers
The biggest news of the recent past is the flow of gold from West to East.
(Source)
With China importing 835 tonnes of gold in 2012 – that we know about (and they may well be doing more under the table for official purposes) – and also standing as the number one producer of gold, with ~360 tonnes of domestic production, none of which is exported, China is consuming at least 44% of total yearly world gold production.
Connect that with India importing between 200 and 300 tons per quarter (2011 imports were 967 tonnes, and 2012 was 864 tonnes), and this represents another 33% of total world mine output. Add in Russia buying more official gold, and you suddenly find that a commanding proportion of the newly mined gold in the world is headed East, where it used to stay largely in the West.
To be clear, I view gold as money and therefore wealth itself. Everything else that can be manufactured out of thin air is merely a claim on wealth. In these terms, the West is slowly but steadily bleeding control of wealth to the East, something I thought our leaders were both aware of and focused on.
Knowing the lower prices will only exacerbate this West-to-East flow, I therefore thought that the bullion banks and central banks would not have dared push that dynamic any further. But apparently – no, obviously – I was wrong, which pains me on several levels.
Add to this the various things going on in the world today, and I honestly thought we were in the most gold-favorable landscape of my life.
Consider:
- Negative real interest rates (powerfully gold- and commodity-friendly throughout history)
- North Korea threatening nuclear and conventional war
- Open confiscation of wealth in Europe from bank accounts
- Japan doubling their monetary base in a brazenly desperate bid to stoke inflation by attacking Japanese trust in their own currency
- Extremely unfavorable bond yields up and down the yield ladder
- Continued European stress and discord with the possibility of a Eurozone disintegration
Taken together, this level of system, sovereign, and institutional uncertainty is about as gold-friendly a situation one could concoct…
Community
Peak Prosperity Community
Learn more