Fed Pauses, 10-Year Breaks Out, & The Vax Damage Trade
As the “markets guy”, my job is to ask: “So what’s the trade?” Consider banks. Given how shaky the banks are right now given the 500 bp move in yields that has caused all those “unrealized losses,” then add to that these banks most likely force-vaxxed their employees. How do we think that might play out? But this won’t just hit the banks. It will hit a wide range of corporates and ultimately confidence in government.