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by Chris Martenson

A new Martenson Report is ready for subscribers.  In it, I describe the worst and best case scenarios that I see possible in the next few years, highlight China’s concerns, examine the global trade deficit, and conclude that the bottom is not in.

Link to report

You should be cautious in allowing the opinions of experts everywhere – including me – to override your own common sense. Be careful to separate facts from opinions from beliefs. In desperate times, it is normal for the already-murky boundaries between these three elements to blur even further.

While I am agnostic over whether the stock market will bounce upwards for a while or resume on a path towards new lows, I am nearly 100% certain that we’re not done wringing the former excesses and malinvestments out of the system.

New Martenson Report: Where do we go from here?
by Chris Martenson

A new Martenson Report is ready for subscribers.  In it, I describe the worst and best case scenarios that I see possible in the next few years, highlight China’s concerns, examine the global trade deficit, and conclude that the bottom is not in.

Link to report

You should be cautious in allowing the opinions of experts everywhere – including me – to override your own common sense. Be careful to separate facts from opinions from beliefs. In desperate times, it is normal for the already-murky boundaries between these three elements to blur even further.

While I am agnostic over whether the stock market will bounce upwards for a while or resume on a path towards new lows, I am nearly 100% certain that we’re not done wringing the former excesses and malinvestments out of the system.

by Chris Martenson

As I’ve been writing about in the Martenson Reports over time, including the last one, one of the next shoes to drop is going to be a pension disaster. This too will be more easily measured in trillions than billions.

I am expecting a public pension wreck based on “management” so flawed as to cross over into gross negligence or worse.

March 3 (Bloomberg) — The Chicago Transit Authority retirement plan had a $1.5 billion hole in its stash of assets in 2007. At the height of a four-year bull market, it didn’t have enough cash on hand to pay its retirees through 2013, meaning it was underfunded to the tune of 62 percent.

The CTA, which manages the second-largest public transit system in the U.S., had to hope for a huge contribution from the Illinois state legislature. That wasn’t going to happen.

Then the authority found an answer.

“We’ve identified the problem and a solution,” said CTA Chairman Carole Brown on April 16, 2007. The agency decided to raise money from a bond sale.

So far so good, eh? I mean especially if you don’t think about it too hard. After all, the only way a scheme to borrow money to plug a fiscal hole can work is if you are earning more from investing that cash that you are paying out in interest. Makes sense right?

Your investment gains have to exceed your interest costs or the scheme becomes a sure-fire money loser.

Well, here’s the punch line:

The Looming Pension Disaster
by Chris Martenson

As I’ve been writing about in the Martenson Reports over time, including the last one, one of the next shoes to drop is going to be a pension disaster. This too will be more easily measured in trillions than billions.

I am expecting a public pension wreck based on “management” so flawed as to cross over into gross negligence or worse.

March 3 (Bloomberg) — The Chicago Transit Authority retirement plan had a $1.5 billion hole in its stash of assets in 2007. At the height of a four-year bull market, it didn’t have enough cash on hand to pay its retirees through 2013, meaning it was underfunded to the tune of 62 percent.

The CTA, which manages the second-largest public transit system in the U.S., had to hope for a huge contribution from the Illinois state legislature. That wasn’t going to happen.

Then the authority found an answer.

“We’ve identified the problem and a solution,” said CTA Chairman Carole Brown on April 16, 2007. The agency decided to raise money from a bond sale.

So far so good, eh? I mean especially if you don’t think about it too hard. After all, the only way a scheme to borrow money to plug a fiscal hole can work is if you are earning more from investing that cash that you are paying out in interest. Makes sense right?

Your investment gains have to exceed your interest costs or the scheme becomes a sure-fire money loser.

Well, here’s the punch line:

by Chris Martenson

This new Martenson Report is ready for subscribers.

In it, I make the case the the recent action in the stock prices of banks, insurance companies and GE (really a financial company when you get right down to it) speak of a predicament that may be "Too Big to Save".

Too Big to Save

Snippet from the summary:

The summary of all these charts and observations is that pretty much the entire financial universe continues to crumble. This raises the prospect that, collectively, all these companies are "too big to save," no matter what the intentions and hopes of the new administration or this nation. I see several trillions of dollars needed to merely stabilize the situation. But to return it to its former glory? Sorry, not this year, not next year, and maybe not ever.

You need to consider your situation if the financial system suffers further erosion, as the options before our government are few, shrinking, and growing less and less palatable by the day.

Best,
Chris

Too Big to Save – New Martenson Report Ready
by Chris Martenson

This new Martenson Report is ready for subscribers.

In it, I make the case the the recent action in the stock prices of banks, insurance companies and GE (really a financial company when you get right down to it) speak of a predicament that may be "Too Big to Save".

Too Big to Save

Snippet from the summary:

The summary of all these charts and observations is that pretty much the entire financial universe continues to crumble. This raises the prospect that, collectively, all these companies are "too big to save," no matter what the intentions and hopes of the new administration or this nation. I see several trillions of dollars needed to merely stabilize the situation. But to return it to its former glory? Sorry, not this year, not next year, and maybe not ever.

You need to consider your situation if the financial system suffers further erosion, as the options before our government are few, shrinking, and growing less and less palatable by the day.

Best,
Chris

by Chris Martenson

There’s another Martenson Report ready.  I meant to have it posted and sent on Friday, but a technical snafu intervened and I was out of contact at Rowe so there it sat in the outbox…

At any rate, here it is.

Banks on the Brink

In the last report, I cautioned that stocks and bonds were falling together, and that this was a bad sign. Like clockwork, and in a pattern I now just call "Monday," there was a sustained campaign of buying in the stock futures pits by "somebody" with very deep pockets at the beginning of the week of February 2, 2009. However, I make the claim below that such price supporting behavior, if that’s what it is, has an eventual date with failure and then move onto a list of banks that seem to be signaling that trouble is coming.

New Martenson Report for Subscribers – Feb 10, 2009
by Chris Martenson

There’s another Martenson Report ready.  I meant to have it posted and sent on Friday, but a technical snafu intervened and I was out of contact at Rowe so there it sat in the outbox…

At any rate, here it is.

Banks on the Brink

In the last report, I cautioned that stocks and bonds were falling together, and that this was a bad sign. Like clockwork, and in a pattern I now just call "Monday," there was a sustained campaign of buying in the stock futures pits by "somebody" with very deep pockets at the beginning of the week of February 2, 2009. However, I make the claim below that such price supporting behavior, if that’s what it is, has an eventual date with failure and then move onto a list of banks that seem to be signaling that trouble is coming.

by Chris Martenson

Welcome to the home of the Crash Course.

My name is Chris Martenson (about) and I spent four years of my life developing the Crash Course with the goal of helping you understand what is going on with the economy and why the next twenty years are going to be completely unlike the last twenty years.

I ask very little of you.  You can watch the Crash Course for free here.  While I survive on subscriptions, I am not trying to sell you anything. My most deeply held concern is that you watch the entire Crash Course.  It is the most important 3.5 hours you can possibly spend in this day and age. 

While you could watch it alone, it’s even better if you watch it with family, friends, and neighbors.  

I do ask that you not try and watch it all at once.  There is a lot of material in there, and while I did my level best to make it easily accessible, it’s still quite a bit.  Give yourself some breathing room and watch it in 3 or 4 viewings.

And I do not want you to make any immediate decisions or changes to your life as a result.

I ask that you read this short piece to understand why the Crash Course is presented in the way that it is and why I request that you give yourself time to sit with this material before coming to any conclusions about what you need to do, if anything.

And I have designed this site with the intention of saving you time in your important quest to understand what is going on.  The very best articles I have found are located here, the best books here, the best internet sources here.

While these are almost certainly incomplete as sources for a complete economic education, they are also compact and digestible.

Lastly, sometimes a physical DVD is better than an Internet link.  If you want to share this work with someone who may not necessarily open a URL and watch a 3.5 hour program, you could always hand them a DVD, which I am providing at barely the cost of production when ordered in quantity.  

Again, I care about my country, I care about the globe, and it is my mission to help you and yours make the best possible decisions to prepare for an uncertain future.

Best,
Chris Martenson

Welcome, Glenn Beck viewers!
by Chris Martenson

Welcome to the home of the Crash Course.

My name is Chris Martenson (about) and I spent four years of my life developing the Crash Course with the goal of helping you understand what is going on with the economy and why the next twenty years are going to be completely unlike the last twenty years.

I ask very little of you.  You can watch the Crash Course for free here.  While I survive on subscriptions, I am not trying to sell you anything. My most deeply held concern is that you watch the entire Crash Course.  It is the most important 3.5 hours you can possibly spend in this day and age. 

While you could watch it alone, it’s even better if you watch it with family, friends, and neighbors.  

I do ask that you not try and watch it all at once.  There is a lot of material in there, and while I did my level best to make it easily accessible, it’s still quite a bit.  Give yourself some breathing room and watch it in 3 or 4 viewings.

And I do not want you to make any immediate decisions or changes to your life as a result.

I ask that you read this short piece to understand why the Crash Course is presented in the way that it is and why I request that you give yourself time to sit with this material before coming to any conclusions about what you need to do, if anything.

And I have designed this site with the intention of saving you time in your important quest to understand what is going on.  The very best articles I have found are located here, the best books here, the best internet sources here.

While these are almost certainly incomplete as sources for a complete economic education, they are also compact and digestible.

Lastly, sometimes a physical DVD is better than an Internet link.  If you want to share this work with someone who may not necessarily open a URL and watch a 3.5 hour program, you could always hand them a DVD, which I am providing at barely the cost of production when ordered in quantity.  

Again, I care about my country, I care about the globe, and it is my mission to help you and yours make the best possible decisions to prepare for an uncertain future.

Best,
Chris Martenson

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