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Chris Martenson

Image | Off The Cuff: Signs Of A Roll-Over
Off The Cuff: Signs Of A Roll-Over
 PREVIEW

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and John Rubino discuss:

  • A Lack Of Logic
    • Markets today no longer trade on sense
  • Signs Of A Roll-Over
    • It increasingly looks like we're past the market peak
  • Black Swans Are Landing
    • Volkswagen, Glencore & Deutche Bank
  • What Separates The Rich From The Poor?
    • The Fed

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.

Off The Cuff: Signs Of A Roll-Over
 PREVIEW

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and John Rubino discuss:

  • A Lack Of Logic
    • Markets today no longer trade on sense
  • Signs Of A Roll-Over
    • It increasingly looks like we're past the market peak
  • Black Swans Are Landing
    • Volkswagen, Glencore & Deutche Bank
  • What Separates The Rich From The Poor?
    • The Fed

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.

Image | Off The Cuff: The Betrayal Of Capital
Off The Cuff: The Betrayal Of Capital
 PREVIEW

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Charles Hugh Smith discuss:

  • Growing Weakness At The Periphery
    • A reminder that collapse happens from the outside in
  • The Betrayal Of Capital
    • We are watching the predictable result of too much mal-investment
  • Natural Limits Will Be The Ones That Matter
    • The ones that can't be addressed by printing up more money
  • TINA: There Is No Alternative
    • Those in charge of the system have run out of Plan Bs

Recorded last week, here's the latest Off The Cuff discussion recorded between Chris and Charles Hugh Smith.

Both note the deflationary forces that are fast-eroding the stability of periphery countries around the globe. As long repeated here at Peak Prosperity, we're of the opinion that collapse happens from "the outside in". Once the smaller dominoes start falling, watch the pace at which the next-largest drop, as it can tell you how quickly the core ("safest") counties will start being affected.

A theme delved into in this discussion is the…

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.

Off The Cuff: The Betrayal Of Capital
 PREVIEW

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Charles Hugh Smith discuss:

  • Growing Weakness At The Periphery
    • A reminder that collapse happens from the outside in
  • The Betrayal Of Capital
    • We are watching the predictable result of too much mal-investment
  • Natural Limits Will Be The Ones That Matter
    • The ones that can't be addressed by printing up more money
  • TINA: There Is No Alternative
    • Those in charge of the system have run out of Plan Bs

Recorded last week, here's the latest Off The Cuff discussion recorded between Chris and Charles Hugh Smith.

Both note the deflationary forces that are fast-eroding the stability of periphery countries around the globe. As long repeated here at Peak Prosperity, we're of the opinion that collapse happens from "the outside in". Once the smaller dominoes start falling, watch the pace at which the next-largest drop, as it can tell you how quickly the core ("safest") counties will start being affected.

A theme delved into in this discussion is the…

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.

Image | From Deflation To Hyperinflation
From Deflation To Hyperinflation
 PREVIEW

Executive Summary

  • China is rolling over
  • Contagion will eventually take down the core economies, including the US
  • We are witnessing a full-blown collapse of the commodity complex
  • Deflation will win the day over the next year, but then get ready for helicopter money hyperinflation

If you have not yet read Part 1: Deflation Warning: The Next Wave available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

The Chinese GDP Lie

Right off the top, China is not growing anywhere near the 7% it claims.  That’s just a politically useful lie that the Chinese tell to the world as much as they tell to themselves.

Fortunately, hardly anyone is falling for that particular fib any longer.  Let’s start with the completely obvious manufacturing slump that has hit China:

Chinese Factory Gauge Slumps to Lowest Level Since March 2009

Sept 22, 2015

A private Chinese manufacturing gauge fell to the lowest in 6 1/2 years, underscoring challenges facing the economy as its old growth engines splutter.

A global sell off in riskier assets gained pace after the preliminary Purchasing Managers’ Index from Caixin Media and Markit Economics dropped to 47.0 in September. That missed the median estimate of 47.5 in a Bloomberg survey and fell from the final reading of 47.3 in the previous month. Readings have remained below 50 since March, indicating contraction.

Premier Li Keqiang’s growth target of about 7 percent for this year is being challenged by a slowdown in manufacturing and exports even as services and consumption show resilience.

(Source)

The way a PMI reading works is anything over 50 indicates expansions and anything under 50 indicates contraction.  Anybody care to explain to me how China can be sporting sub-50 readings every month since March — that’s five full months — and still be claiming to be aiming for a 7% annual growth target?  You know, because China is…

From Deflation To Hyperinflation
 PREVIEW

Executive Summary

  • China is rolling over
  • Contagion will eventually take down the core economies, including the US
  • We are witnessing a full-blown collapse of the commodity complex
  • Deflation will win the day over the next year, but then get ready for helicopter money hyperinflation

If you have not yet read Part 1: Deflation Warning: The Next Wave available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

The Chinese GDP Lie

Right off the top, China is not growing anywhere near the 7% it claims.  That’s just a politically useful lie that the Chinese tell to the world as much as they tell to themselves.

Fortunately, hardly anyone is falling for that particular fib any longer.  Let’s start with the completely obvious manufacturing slump that has hit China:

Chinese Factory Gauge Slumps to Lowest Level Since March 2009

Sept 22, 2015

A private Chinese manufacturing gauge fell to the lowest in 6 1/2 years, underscoring challenges facing the economy as its old growth engines splutter.

A global sell off in riskier assets gained pace after the preliminary Purchasing Managers’ Index from Caixin Media and Markit Economics dropped to 47.0 in September. That missed the median estimate of 47.5 in a Bloomberg survey and fell from the final reading of 47.3 in the previous month. Readings have remained below 50 since March, indicating contraction.

Premier Li Keqiang’s growth target of about 7 percent for this year is being challenged by a slowdown in manufacturing and exports even as services and consumption show resilience.

(Source)

The way a PMI reading works is anything over 50 indicates expansions and anything under 50 indicates contraction.  Anybody care to explain to me how China can be sporting sub-50 readings every month since March — that’s five full months — and still be claiming to be aiming for a 7% annual growth target?  You know, because China is…

Image | Deflation Warning – The Next Wave
Deflation Warning – The Next Wave

The signs of deflation are now flashing all over the globe and we think that the possibility of an associated financial crisis is now quite high over the next few months. As we’ve been saying for a while, our preferred model for how things are going to unfold follows the Ka-Poom! Theory as put out…
Deflation Warning – The Next Wave

The signs of deflation are now flashing all over the globe and we think that the possibility of an associated financial crisis is now quite high over the next few months. As we’ve been saying for a while, our preferred model for how things are going to unfold follows the Ka-Poom! Theory as put out…
Image | Charles Eisenstein: What Is Wealth?
Charles Eisenstein: What Is Wealth?

Recently, author and "de-growth activist" Charles Eisenstein stopped by the Martenson homestead while traveling on business. Taking advantage of the opportunity, Chris sat him down to record an impromptu discussion on the nature of wealth.

As should come as little surprise to Peak Prosperity readers, financial wealth ("money") is just one component — and given society's current over-fixation with it, its pursuit oftentimes limits our ability to be truly wealthy.
Charles Eisenstein: What Is Wealth?

Recently, author and "de-growth activist" Charles Eisenstein stopped by the Martenson homestead while traveling on business. Taking advantage of the opportunity, Chris sat him down to record an impromptu discussion on the nature of wealth.

As should come as little surprise to Peak Prosperity readers, financial wealth ("money") is just one component — and given society's current over-fixation with it, its pursuit oftentimes limits our ability to be truly wealthy.
Image | Buy Gold While You Still Can!
Buy Gold While You Still Can!

This report centers on preponderance of fascinating data revealing the extent of the West’s massive dis-hoarding of physical gold, for the first time, begins to allow us to start estimating the range of end-dates for the flow to the East.

Here’s the punchline: there’s an enormous and growing disconnect between the cash and physical markets for gold. This is exactly what we would expect to precede a major market-shaking event based on a physical gold shortage.
Buy Gold While You Still Can!

This report centers on preponderance of fascinating data revealing the extent of the West’s massive dis-hoarding of physical gold, for the first time, begins to allow us to start estimating the range of end-dates for the flow to the East.

Here’s the punchline: there’s an enormous and growing disconnect between the cash and physical markets for gold. This is exactly what we would expect to precede a major market-shaking event based on a physical gold shortage.
Image | Why Gold Is Headed Higher & May Become Unavailable At Any Price
Why Gold Is Headed Higher & May Become Unavailable At Any Price
 PREVIEW

Executive Summary

  • The amount of gold in London's vaults dropped by 1/3 in the past year(!)
  • Activity at the COMEX is flashing warning signs
  • When to worry about physical defaults
  • Simple math will win out: the West is fast running out of its bullion

If you have not yet read Part 1: Buy Gold While You Still Can! available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

An interesting piece of detective work was done by Ronan Manly at Bullionstar.com where he noted that the LBMA reported pronounced drops in the amount of gold stored in London vaults, which includes both gold held at the Bank of England as well as non-official vaults within the LBMA system.

To summarize his report, here’s the amount of gold reportedly held in London:

  • April 2014 – 9,000 tonnes
  • Early 2015 – 7,500 tonnes
  • June 2015 – 6,250 tonnes

That means that 2,750 tonnes left London over the past 1+ year.

Does such a large number even make sense?

Well, sure, if we consider that just four countries cumulatively imported (or increased reserves) by ~4,500 tonnes since the beginning of 2014.

Confirming this is the handy chart below of gold flows as compared to…

Why Gold Is Headed Higher & May Become Unavailable At Any Price
 PREVIEW

Executive Summary

  • The amount of gold in London's vaults dropped by 1/3 in the past year(!)
  • Activity at the COMEX is flashing warning signs
  • When to worry about physical defaults
  • Simple math will win out: the West is fast running out of its bullion

If you have not yet read Part 1: Buy Gold While You Still Can! available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

An interesting piece of detective work was done by Ronan Manly at Bullionstar.com where he noted that the LBMA reported pronounced drops in the amount of gold stored in London vaults, which includes both gold held at the Bank of England as well as non-official vaults within the LBMA system.

To summarize his report, here’s the amount of gold reportedly held in London:

  • April 2014 – 9,000 tonnes
  • Early 2015 – 7,500 tonnes
  • June 2015 – 6,250 tonnes

That means that 2,750 tonnes left London over the past 1+ year.

Does such a large number even make sense?

Well, sure, if we consider that just four countries cumulatively imported (or increased reserves) by ~4,500 tonnes since the beginning of 2014.

Confirming this is the handy chart below of gold flows as compared to…

Image | Off The Cuff: Look Out Below!
Off The Cuff: Look Out Below!
 PREVIEW

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish Shedlock discuss:

  • The Periphery Is Collapsing Fast
    • Emerging market currencies are falling hard vs the US dollar
  • China Is Running Off The Rails
    • We're witnessing a bust in progress
  • Europe's Black Swan Has Landed
    • A migrant crisis no one saw coming this quickly
  • The US Is Sliding Back Into Recession
    • The data is bad and getting worse

 

 
Off The Cuff: Look Out Below!
 PREVIEW

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish Shedlock discuss:

  • The Periphery Is Collapsing Fast
    • Emerging market currencies are falling hard vs the US dollar
  • China Is Running Off The Rails
    • We're witnessing a bust in progress
  • Europe's Black Swan Has Landed
    • A migrant crisis no one saw coming this quickly
  • The US Is Sliding Back Into Recession
    • The data is bad and getting worse

 

 
Image | The War On Cash Intensifies
The War On Cash Intensifies
 PREVIEW

The central planners are setting the stage for the next round of officially sanctioned theft and this time they mean to assure that you have no way(s) of escaping.

They’re coming for your cash. This is a risk that Charles Hughes Smith explored for us back in June in a very well-received analysis.

Once a fringe idea, this concept is now being openly discussed and debated at the highest levels publicly. Which means it is being hotly discussed behind closed doors, and likely has been for a long time.

The War On Cash Intensifies
 PREVIEW

The central planners are setting the stage for the next round of officially sanctioned theft and this time they mean to assure that you have no way(s) of escaping.

They’re coming for your cash. This is a risk that Charles Hughes Smith explored for us back in June in a very well-received analysis.

Once a fringe idea, this concept is now being openly discussed and debated at the highest levels publicly. Which means it is being hotly discussed behind closed doors, and likely has been for a long time.

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