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by Chris Martenson

Why Commodities are the New Safe Haven

Wednesday, September 7, 2011

Executive Summary

  • Prices have already risen dramatically with the money supply.
  • An increase in money velocity will ratchet up the trajectory in prices dramatically.
  • Are we likely to see more or less moneyprinting from the Fed?
  • Why commodities, beyond the precious metals, are becoming the next safe haven.

Part I – Commodities Seem Set to Rocket Higher

If you have not yet read Part I, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

Part II – Why Commodities are the New Safe Haven

Condition #3: Preference To Hold Money Persists

What does one do with Money of Zero Maturity (MZM)? Well, you can save it in a money market fund, keep it at your bank, or you can spend it. The rate at which it is being spent, relative to the economy, is measured in terms of its velocity. 

The faster people are spending the same money chasing a relatively fixed amount of goods and services, the higher the rate of inflation goes. The mental image you should have here is someone in Germany in the 1920’s being paid with a wheelbarrow full of cash that they push as quickly as they can to the nearest store (literal veloicty of money, as it were).

Right now, the velocity of MZM is near its historic lows (only recently set in 2009), keeping inflationary pressures relatively low — for the time being.

Why Commodities are the New Safe Haven
PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

Why Commodities are the New Safe Haven

Wednesday, September 7, 2011

Executive Summary

  • Prices have already risen dramatically with the money supply.
  • An increase in money velocity will ratchet up the trajectory in prices dramatically.
  • Are we likely to see more or less moneyprinting from the Fed?
  • Why commodities, beyond the precious metals, are becoming the next safe haven.

Part I – Commodities Seem Set to Rocket Higher

If you have not yet read Part I, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

Part II – Why Commodities are the New Safe Haven

Condition #3: Preference To Hold Money Persists

What does one do with Money of Zero Maturity (MZM)? Well, you can save it in a money market fund, keep it at your bank, or you can spend it. The rate at which it is being spent, relative to the economy, is measured in terms of its velocity. 

The faster people are spending the same money chasing a relatively fixed amount of goods and services, the higher the rate of inflation goes. The mental image you should have here is someone in Germany in the 1920’s being paid with a wheelbarrow full of cash that they push as quickly as they can to the nearest store (literal veloicty of money, as it were).

Right now, the velocity of MZM is near its historic lows (only recently set in 2009), keeping inflationary pressures relatively low — for the time being.

by Chris Martenson

One of the key tenets around here at PeakProsperity.com is that you need to trust yourself. The ‘advice’ we receive from Wall Street and its financially captive press about what we should do with our money is really not advice; it’s marketing.

Wall Street makes money by selling stocks and bonds to whomever: pensions, retirees, moms, pops, young workers, endowments…it doesn’t really matter. The name of the game is for you to buy and then hold onto those purchases.

So when the markets hit the skids, you see endless ‘articles’ offering this very (un)helpful ‘advice’:

With the recent headlines and stock market volatility, you may be wondering if we are seeing a repeat of the market activity of 2008. This is one of the hardest parts of being a long-term investor. It’s easy to stay the course when markets are rising. It’s harder to stay the course during declines and view them as potential investing opportunities. But that’s what being a long-term investor is all about.

Remember: Stay invested – A diversified portfolio of quality investments is a sensible strategy during volatile markets.

(Source – AG Edwards client letter) 

Actions Speak Louder Than Words
PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

One of the key tenets around here at PeakProsperity.com is that you need to trust yourself. The ‘advice’ we receive from Wall Street and its financially captive press about what we should do with our money is really not advice; it’s marketing.

Wall Street makes money by selling stocks and bonds to whomever: pensions, retirees, moms, pops, young workers, endowments…it doesn’t really matter. The name of the game is for you to buy and then hold onto those purchases.

So when the markets hit the skids, you see endless ‘articles’ offering this very (un)helpful ‘advice’:

With the recent headlines and stock market volatility, you may be wondering if we are seeing a repeat of the market activity of 2008. This is one of the hardest parts of being a long-term investor. It’s easy to stay the course when markets are rising. It’s harder to stay the course during declines and view them as potential investing opportunities. But that’s what being a long-term investor is all about.

Remember: Stay invested – A diversified portfolio of quality investments is a sensible strategy during volatile markets.

(Source – AG Edwards client letter) 

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