markets
by
Chris Martenson
It's make or break time in the markets cautions Sven Henrick, technical analyst and lead market strategist for Northman Trader.
His weekly flurry of trendline charts warn that the major indexes have been compressing in rising wedges that increasingly point to a binary outcome: either a massive new leg up that will result in the market making new all time highs, or a bad breadown that could waterfall into a 2008-style correction.
His reams of data increasingly suggest that today's global elevated asset prices are in no way justified by the fundamentals of the underlying world economies. And that someday — perhaps quite soon — a reckoning long overdue will occur.
Sven Henrich: It's Make Or Break Time For The Markets
by Chris MartensonIt's make or break time in the markets cautions Sven Henrick, technical analyst and lead market strategist for Northman Trader.
His weekly flurry of trendline charts warn that the major indexes have been compressing in rising wedges that increasingly point to a binary outcome: either a massive new leg up that will result in the market making new all time highs, or a bad breadown that could waterfall into a 2008-style correction.
His reams of data increasingly suggest that today's global elevated asset prices are in no way justified by the fundamentals of the underlying world economies. And that someday — perhaps quite soon — a reckoning long overdue will occur.
by
Chris Martenson
Stocks provide a return to today’s investors via two mechanisms: dividends and capital gains.
Dividends provide and income stream which can be quantiatively values. Capital gains result from speculation — an expectation that future dividends will be higher than the market currently expects.
But what’s the value of a company that continuously pays no dividends and does not appear as if it ever will in the foreseeable future?
Former financier and current statistician Tan Liu, author of the recent book The Ponzi Factor: The Simple Truth About Investment Profits explains how many of today’s perpetually dividend-less companies traded on the public market are operating as ponzi schemes by definition.
Tan Liu: Why Many Of Today’s Most-Owned Stocks Are Ponzi Schemes
by Chris MartensonStocks provide a return to today’s investors via two mechanisms: dividends and capital gains.
Dividends provide and income stream which can be quantiatively values. Capital gains result from speculation — an expectation that future dividends will be higher than the market currently expects.
But what’s the value of a company that continuously pays no dividends and does not appear as if it ever will in the foreseeable future?
Former financier and current statistician Tan Liu, author of the recent book The Ponzi Factor: The Simple Truth About Investment Profits explains how many of today’s perpetually dividend-less companies traded on the public market are operating as ponzi schemes by definition.
by
Chris Martenson
So, did the nauseating last few months of 2018 signal the end of the secular bull market? Or is the rebound that kicked-off 2019 a sign that the uptrend is still intact? Or it is just a dead-cat bounce?
Lance Roberts, chief investment strategist and chief editor of Real Investment Advice, returns to the podcast with fresh data that suggests the bear market that emerged late last year is still in play.
Of greater concern to him, though, is where things are headed from here.
Lance Roberts: The Case For A 50% Market Correction
by Chris MartensonSo, did the nauseating last few months of 2018 signal the end of the secular bull market? Or is the rebound that kicked-off 2019 a sign that the uptrend is still intact? Or it is just a dead-cat bounce?
Lance Roberts, chief investment strategist and chief editor of Real Investment Advice, returns to the podcast with fresh data that suggests the bear market that emerged late last year is still in play.
Of greater concern to him, though, is where things are headed from here.
by
Chris Martenson
One of the most perplexing mysteries to us is that right as the Federal Reserve embarked on QE3 — which was a huge, enormous, $85 billion a month experiment — commodities began a multiyear decline within two weeks of that announcement. Concurrently, the world’s central banks plunged the world into steeply negative real interest rates, a condition that has almost always resulted in booming commodity prices — but not this time. Today, the ratio between commodity prices and equities is at one of, if not the most, extreme points in history.
To explain that gap, we talk this week with Brien Lundin, publisher of Gold Newsletter and producer of the New Orleans Investment Conference (where Chris and Adam are speaking on Oct 25-28):
Brien Lundin: If They Don’t Want You To Own It, You Probably Should
by Chris MartensonOne of the most perplexing mysteries to us is that right as the Federal Reserve embarked on QE3 — which was a huge, enormous, $85 billion a month experiment — commodities began a multiyear decline within two weeks of that announcement. Concurrently, the world’s central banks plunged the world into steeply negative real interest rates, a condition that has almost always resulted in booming commodity prices — but not this time. Today, the ratio between commodity prices and equities is at one of, if not the most, extreme points in history.
To explain that gap, we talk this week with Brien Lundin, publisher of Gold Newsletter and producer of the New Orleans Investment Conference (where Chris and Adam are speaking on Oct 25-28):
by
Chris Martenson
Any sense of prosperity in today's economy is based on a falsehood, claims Steve St. Angelo, proprietor of the SRSrocco Report website.
Like we here at PeakProsperity.com, Steve is a student of energy. He shares our worldview that net energy per capita has been in steady decline, and a result, future growth will be limited. Also like us, he notes that the "growth" seen over the past several decades hasn't been due to surplus net energy (which makes being able to do more possible). Instead, it has been fueled by debt — which essentially steals prosperity from the future and consumes it today.
Any third-grader with a crayon can quickly tell you that kind of scam can't last forever. And it can't. Once the can can't be kicked any further and the next economic and/or financial crisis is upon us, Steve sees today's over-inflated asset prices quickly dropping by a gut-wrenching 50-75%.
Steve St. Angelo: Prepare For Asset Price Declines Of 50-75%
by Chris MartensonAny sense of prosperity in today's economy is based on a falsehood, claims Steve St. Angelo, proprietor of the SRSrocco Report website.
Like we here at PeakProsperity.com, Steve is a student of energy. He shares our worldview that net energy per capita has been in steady decline, and a result, future growth will be limited. Also like us, he notes that the "growth" seen over the past several decades hasn't been due to surplus net energy (which makes being able to do more possible). Instead, it has been fueled by debt — which essentially steals prosperity from the future and consumes it today.
Any third-grader with a crayon can quickly tell you that kind of scam can't last forever. And it can't. Once the can can't be kicked any further and the next economic and/or financial crisis is upon us, Steve sees today's over-inflated asset prices quickly dropping by a gut-wrenching 50-75%.
by
Chris Martenson
Sheelah Kolhatkar, former hedge fund analyst and staff writer at the New Yorker, thinks hedge funds have enjoyed enormous unfair advantages for far too long.
In her recent book Black Edge: Inside Information, Dirty Money, and the Quest to Bring Down the Most Wanted Man on Wall Street, she details out how many hedge funds use financial engineering and accounting tricks — legal and illegal — to fill their coffers at investor expense. And then they use those ill-gotten gains to influence politics.
Sheelah Kolhatkar: Hedge Funds Are The Robber Barons Of Our Time
by Chris MartensonSheelah Kolhatkar, former hedge fund analyst and staff writer at the New Yorker, thinks hedge funds have enjoyed enormous unfair advantages for far too long.
In her recent book Black Edge: Inside Information, Dirty Money, and the Quest to Bring Down the Most Wanted Man on Wall Street, she details out how many hedge funds use financial engineering and accounting tricks — legal and illegal — to fill their coffers at investor expense. And then they use those ill-gotten gains to influence politics.
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