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manipulation

by Adam Taggart

Executive Summary

  • Large players (and likely price manipulators) now have incentive for precious metals prices to rise
  • Investor demand for bullion remains at record highs
  • Competition for bullion from the East continues to heat up
  • Central banks buy more bullion as Comex inventories deplete
  • The key signs to know when it will be time to sell your gold & silver

If you have not yet read Part I: Is Gold at a Turning Point? available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

Manipulation

Much has been written across the Web (including here at PeakProsperity.com) about whether or not the precious metals markets are manipulated in price by big players (major multi-national banks such as JP Morgan). Without delving into the many arguments on both the pro and con sides, Chris and I are of the opinion that sufficient data exists to convince a reasonable observer that price manipulation in the PM markets is indeed real, or, at the very least, highly probable. (For those remaining doubters out there, have a look at the evidence here, here, and here, and let us know if you have a rational, non-manipulative explanation.)

One of the most glaring signs of likely manipulation has been the massive short positions that a small number of large banks (JP Morgan being the most prominent among them) have held for many years, particularly in the silver market [measure positions as % of world silver production]. And not only were these unlimited positions allowed, but this cabal of banks was allowed to naked-sell PMs short (i.e., sell metal without actually owning it first). On the other side of the coin, the long side, position limits were enforced, and there was no similar ability to buy more metal than one could pay for. This imbalance of rules certainly provides the mechanism by which PM prices could be artificially jockeyed more easily to the downside. In this context, a decline from the high $40s to the low $20s looks more understandable.

Well, a very important part of this story has just shifted. The CFTC (Commodities Futures Trading Commission) publishes a monthly report illustrating the positions taken in Comex Futures Contracts

After nearly ten years of being net short in Comex gold futures, U.S. banks have been recently decreasing those short positions, and for the first time since 2004 (with the exception of a single month in 2008) they have flipped to become net long gold in May (see bottom chart below)…

The New Game-Changers for Gold & Silver
PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

Executive Summary

  • Large players (and likely price manipulators) now have incentive for precious metals prices to rise
  • Investor demand for bullion remains at record highs
  • Competition for bullion from the East continues to heat up
  • Central banks buy more bullion as Comex inventories deplete
  • The key signs to know when it will be time to sell your gold & silver

If you have not yet read Part I: Is Gold at a Turning Point? available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

Manipulation

Much has been written across the Web (including here at PeakProsperity.com) about whether or not the precious metals markets are manipulated in price by big players (major multi-national banks such as JP Morgan). Without delving into the many arguments on both the pro and con sides, Chris and I are of the opinion that sufficient data exists to convince a reasonable observer that price manipulation in the PM markets is indeed real, or, at the very least, highly probable. (For those remaining doubters out there, have a look at the evidence here, here, and here, and let us know if you have a rational, non-manipulative explanation.)

One of the most glaring signs of likely manipulation has been the massive short positions that a small number of large banks (JP Morgan being the most prominent among them) have held for many years, particularly in the silver market [measure positions as % of world silver production]. And not only were these unlimited positions allowed, but this cabal of banks was allowed to naked-sell PMs short (i.e., sell metal without actually owning it first). On the other side of the coin, the long side, position limits were enforced, and there was no similar ability to buy more metal than one could pay for. This imbalance of rules certainly provides the mechanism by which PM prices could be artificially jockeyed more easily to the downside. In this context, a decline from the high $40s to the low $20s looks more understandable.

Well, a very important part of this story has just shifted. The CFTC (Commodities Futures Trading Commission) publishes a monthly report illustrating the positions taken in Comex Futures Contracts

After nearly ten years of being net short in Comex gold futures, U.S. banks have been recently decreasing those short positions, and for the first time since 2004 (with the exception of a single month in 2008) they have flipped to become net long gold in May (see bottom chart below)…

by Chris Martenson

Executive Summary

  • Be early out the door before the Ponzi scheme collapses. How? Exchange paper investments for hard assets.
  • Build your financial base with diversified cash holdings and precious metals
  • Monitor the four key indicators most likely to presage a market collapse
  • Use time to your best advantage

If you have not yet read Part I: What to Do When Every Market Is Manipulated, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

One lesson here is that the system is now out of control – and sometimes lacking the necessary safeguards and trust required to have confidence that one’s wealth will not simply evaporate or be stolen with the tap of a keyboard at some dark point in the future.

Confidence happens to be one of the most important assets of a Ponzi system, and it is being steadily eroded by the cumulative failures of the Fed, the SEC, the European Central Bank (ECB), the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, and every other government body that have recently tossed caution, rules and precedent to the wind in their efforts to preserve the status quo. I think this is an extraordinary mistake.

Unfortunately, as the brokerage accidents MF Global and Peregrine Financial taught us, knowing which type of firm you have your money with (e.g., prime broker vs. broker vs. fiduciary trust), as well as being confident in your specific firm's financial health and management practices are prudent financial practices. The financial advisory firms that we recommend to people know all about these differences and will be happy to explain them to you in detail. They are also exceptionally good at managing risk in these uncertain times.

We always advocate investing in yourself and your homestead as the first course of action. This quiet summer has been a real snooze-fest for those tracking the markets with the VIX volatility gauge plumbing multi-year lows. That’s the good news. Hopefully you’ve used this time to put in a garden or fine-tune your green thumb, practice one or more new skills, and/or install energy systems. This quiet period will not last…the news out of Europe should make that abundantly clear.

Protecting Your Wealth
PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

Executive Summary

  • Be early out the door before the Ponzi scheme collapses. How? Exchange paper investments for hard assets.
  • Build your financial base with diversified cash holdings and precious metals
  • Monitor the four key indicators most likely to presage a market collapse
  • Use time to your best advantage

If you have not yet read Part I: What to Do When Every Market Is Manipulated, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

One lesson here is that the system is now out of control – and sometimes lacking the necessary safeguards and trust required to have confidence that one’s wealth will not simply evaporate or be stolen with the tap of a keyboard at some dark point in the future.

Confidence happens to be one of the most important assets of a Ponzi system, and it is being steadily eroded by the cumulative failures of the Fed, the SEC, the European Central Bank (ECB), the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, and every other government body that have recently tossed caution, rules and precedent to the wind in their efforts to preserve the status quo. I think this is an extraordinary mistake.

Unfortunately, as the brokerage accidents MF Global and Peregrine Financial taught us, knowing which type of firm you have your money with (e.g., prime broker vs. broker vs. fiduciary trust), as well as being confident in your specific firm's financial health and management practices are prudent financial practices. The financial advisory firms that we recommend to people know all about these differences and will be happy to explain them to you in detail. They are also exceptionally good at managing risk in these uncertain times.

We always advocate investing in yourself and your homestead as the first course of action. This quiet summer has been a real snooze-fest for those tracking the markets with the VIX volatility gauge plumbing multi-year lows. That’s the good news. Hopefully you’ve used this time to put in a garden or fine-tune your green thumb, practice one or more new skills, and/or install energy systems. This quiet period will not last…the news out of Europe should make that abundantly clear.

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