Insider
by
Chris Martenson
Executive Summary
- The US/Russia proxy war in Syria is fast escalating to dangerous levels
- Much of the unrest today was imminently avoidable and sadly ignored
- The US neo-con model is making more enemies both outside and inside America
- The risks of full-blown war breaking out
- What to do to prepare in advance
If you have not yet read Part 1: Making The World A More Dangerous Place available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
Look, we’ve given these warnings before and unless you happen to live in one of the unfortunate countries that is being bombed or overtly or covertly supplied with the weapons of war by the west, they seem to not have amounted to much.
Such is the nature of reading tea leaves. Instead of thinking of them as binary outcomes – things that either happened or didn’t happen – think of them as ‘probability fields.’ Like the chance of rolling a three with a 6-sided die vs. the chance of rolling a three with a 20-sided die. The ‘probability field’ of the 6-sided die is a lot higher.
The probabilities and forces that push us closer to and further from war are ever changing and highly complex. They shift with events and decisions, most of which we are unaware of because they are either not reported on or reported with heavy distortion of the truth.
So reading the tea leaves is the best we can do.
Our advice for any war breaking out anywhere in the Middle East, or especially between Russia (or China) and the West would be to have all of your preparations done a year before that moment.
Anything that disrupts global maritime trade, even for a very short while will rock the financial systems of the world. Anything that calls into question the desire or ability of a country to repay its foreign debts (and wars are great excuses to stiff your creditors if they happen to be attacking you) will rock the financial world.
Heck, anything that…
How Things May Well Get Ugly Quickly
PREVIEW by Chris MartensonExecutive Summary
- The US/Russia proxy war in Syria is fast escalating to dangerous levels
- Much of the unrest today was imminently avoidable and sadly ignored
- The US neo-con model is making more enemies both outside and inside America
- The risks of full-blown war breaking out
- What to do to prepare in advance
If you have not yet read Part 1: Making The World A More Dangerous Place available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
Look, we’ve given these warnings before and unless you happen to live in one of the unfortunate countries that is being bombed or overtly or covertly supplied with the weapons of war by the west, they seem to not have amounted to much.
Such is the nature of reading tea leaves. Instead of thinking of them as binary outcomes – things that either happened or didn’t happen – think of them as ‘probability fields.’ Like the chance of rolling a three with a 6-sided die vs. the chance of rolling a three with a 20-sided die. The ‘probability field’ of the 6-sided die is a lot higher.
The probabilities and forces that push us closer to and further from war are ever changing and highly complex. They shift with events and decisions, most of which we are unaware of because they are either not reported on or reported with heavy distortion of the truth.
So reading the tea leaves is the best we can do.
Our advice for any war breaking out anywhere in the Middle East, or especially between Russia (or China) and the West would be to have all of your preparations done a year before that moment.
Anything that disrupts global maritime trade, even for a very short while will rock the financial systems of the world. Anything that calls into question the desire or ability of a country to repay its foreign debts (and wars are great excuses to stiff your creditors if they happen to be attacking you) will rock the financial world.
Heck, anything that…
by
Brian Pretti
Executive Summary
- New bear market + re-enter recession = 30-40% drop in stock prices
- What are the chart of the best technical indicators telling us?
- Confusion reigns during the transition from bull market to bear
- Why volatility will reign & capital protection should be prioritized
If you have not yet read Part 1: Has The Market Trend Shifted From Bull To Bear? available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
It’s The Global Economy, Stupid!
I believe another key question for equity investors right now is whether the recent noticeable slowing in global economic trajectory ultimately results in recession. Why is this important? According to the playbook of historical experience, stock market corrections that occur in non-recessionary environments tend to be shorter and less violent than corrections that take place within the context of actual economic recession. Corrections in non-recessionary environments have been on average contained to the 10-20% range. Corrective stock price periods associated with recession have been worse, many associated with 30-40% price declines known as “bear market” environments.
We can see exactly this in the following graph. We are looking at the Dow Jones Global Index. This is a composite of the top 350 companies on planet Earth. If the fortunes of these companies do not represent and reflect the rhythm of the global economy, I do not know what does. The blue bars marked in the chart are the periods covering last two US recessions. US recessions that were accompanied by downturns in major developed economies globally. As I’ve stated many a time, economies globally are….
Why The Next Drop Will Likely Be 30-40%
PREVIEW by Brian PrettiExecutive Summary
- New bear market + re-enter recession = 30-40% drop in stock prices
- What are the chart of the best technical indicators telling us?
- Confusion reigns during the transition from bull market to bear
- Why volatility will reign & capital protection should be prioritized
If you have not yet read Part 1: Has The Market Trend Shifted From Bull To Bear? available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
It’s The Global Economy, Stupid!
I believe another key question for equity investors right now is whether the recent noticeable slowing in global economic trajectory ultimately results in recession. Why is this important? According to the playbook of historical experience, stock market corrections that occur in non-recessionary environments tend to be shorter and less violent than corrections that take place within the context of actual economic recession. Corrections in non-recessionary environments have been on average contained to the 10-20% range. Corrective stock price periods associated with recession have been worse, many associated with 30-40% price declines known as “bear market” environments.
We can see exactly this in the following graph. We are looking at the Dow Jones Global Index. This is a composite of the top 350 companies on planet Earth. If the fortunes of these companies do not represent and reflect the rhythm of the global economy, I do not know what does. The blue bars marked in the chart are the periods covering last two US recessions. US recessions that were accompanied by downturns in major developed economies globally. As I’ve stated many a time, economies globally are….
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