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It was recently announced that the Fed planned to re-open lines with other central banks, allowing them to swap for dollars. We’ve been down this path before. I want to review what happened last time, because if that pattern repeats, we are about to begin a brand-new stage of financial system stress and stock market losses.
To begin, you should review this article I wrote on September 25, 2009, which describes currency swaps and does a post-mortem on the relationship between dollar swap volumes and strength in the US dollar index. The correlation was pretty tight.
Here’s the primary image from that article with some of the text that followed it:
Currency Swaps Spell Trouble?
PREVIEW by Chris MartensonIt was recently announced that the Fed planned to re-open lines with other central banks, allowing them to swap for dollars. We’ve been down this path before. I want to review what happened last time, because if that pattern repeats, we are about to begin a brand-new stage of financial system stress and stock market losses.
To begin, you should review this article I wrote on September 25, 2009, which describes currency swaps and does a post-mortem on the relationship between dollar swap volumes and strength in the US dollar index. The correlation was pretty tight.
Here’s the primary image from that article with some of the text that followed it:
Recently I’ve argued that Deflation is Not on the Menu by pointing out that the immediate and devastating political and economic pain associated with deflation will spur decision-makers to do anything and everything within their power to stoke inflation.
And then, when discussing the Greek situation, I noted that there are only three possible actions for EU leadership to take:
- Let Greece fail
- Let French and German banks fail
- Fire up the QE particle accelerator, buy up all those dodgy Greek (and Spanish and Portuguese and…) bonds, and stuff them onto the ECB balance sheet like the Fed did with MBS paper
Providing no surprise to me at all, they chose option #3 this weekend and fired up the magic money machine to the tune of nearly a cool trillion:
A Cure Worse Than The Disease
PREVIEW by Chris MartensonRecently I’ve argued that Deflation is Not on the Menu by pointing out that the immediate and devastating political and economic pain associated with deflation will spur decision-makers to do anything and everything within their power to stoke inflation.
And then, when discussing the Greek situation, I noted that there are only three possible actions for EU leadership to take:
- Let Greece fail
- Let French and German banks fail
- Fire up the QE particle accelerator, buy up all those dodgy Greek (and Spanish and Portuguese and…) bonds, and stuff them onto the ECB balance sheet like the Fed did with MBS paper
Providing no surprise to me at all, they chose option #3 this weekend and fired up the magic money machine to the tune of nearly a cool trillion:
As I write this, the Dow is down 170 points and the S&P 500 is down 23. The dollar is up 0.89 (a big move), and (here’s the surprising note in this symphony) gold is up $8.
The explanation being trotted out by the media for this big move is the fact that S&P (the rating company) downgraded Greece and Portugal’s debt.
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — U.S. stocks caved on Tuesday after Standard & Poor’s cut its rating on Greece. “If followed by Moody’s, Greek bonds will no longer be able to be used as collateral in borrowing from the European Central Bank,” said Peter Boockvar, equity strategist at Miller Tabak. The Dow Jones Industrial Average
(Source)
I rather doubt this explanation.
Major Market Move – 4/27/10
PREVIEW by Chris MartensonAs I write this, the Dow is down 170 points and the S&P 500 is down 23. The dollar is up 0.89 (a big move), and (here’s the surprising note in this symphony) gold is up $8.
The explanation being trotted out by the media for this big move is the fact that S&P (the rating company) downgraded Greece and Portugal’s debt.
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — U.S. stocks caved on Tuesday after Standard & Poor’s cut its rating on Greece. “If followed by Moody’s, Greek bonds will no longer be able to be used as collateral in borrowing from the European Central Bank,” said Peter Boockvar, equity strategist at Miller Tabak. The Dow Jones Industrial Average
(Source)
I rather doubt this explanation.
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