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Image | Recession Indicators; General Winter Arrives
Recession Indicators; General Winter Arrives
by davefairtex

There were three big economic reports this week: Retail Sales (RSXFS): +1.26% m/m Industrial Production (INDPRO): -0.11% m/m Producer Prices (PPIACO): -1.3% m/m Mostly, producer prices = energy, which is down from peak. Retail sales were strong, except for clothing which was flat. Industrial production was basically flat also. I have a pair of models…
Recession Indicators; General Winter Arrives
 by davefairtex

There were three big economic reports this week: Retail Sales (RSXFS): +1.26% m/m Industrial Production (INDPRO): -0.11% m/m Producer Prices (PPIACO): -1.3% m/m Mostly, producer prices = energy, which is down from peak. Retail sales were strong, except for clothing which was flat. Industrial production was basically flat also. I have a pair of models…
Image | Election Fraud, Part 2: The November Nightmare Scenario
Election Fraud, Part 2: The November Nightmare Scenario
 PREVIEW
by Ivor

We’ve all heard of the “October Surprise,” that last minute “revelation” designed to convince you to not vote for a political  candidate. Now, we need to think about the “November Nightmare”. Chris explains.
Election Fraud, Part 2: The November Nightmare Scenario
 PREVIEW by Ivor

We’ve all heard of the “October Surprise,” that last minute “revelation” designed to convince you to not vote for a political  candidate. Now, we need to think about the “November Nightmare”. Chris explains.
Image | Bubbles Are Brutal
Bubbles Are Brutal
by Chris Martenson

Asset bubbles are brutal.

The most difficult time to remain centered and focused is during their last stages as everyone around you is going nuts. Logic has been tossed out the window, sentiment is manic, and every narrative – the stories we hear and use to make sense of our world – is thoroughly ungrounded.
Bubbles Are Brutal
 by Chris Martenson

Asset bubbles are brutal.

The most difficult time to remain centered and focused is during their last stages as everyone around you is going nuts. Logic has been tossed out the window, sentiment is manic, and every narrative – the stories we hear and use to make sense of our world – is thoroughly ungrounded.
Image | The Phantom Mania
The Phantom Mania
by Adam Taggart

Well, stocks are back at all-time highs. Ignited by the Fed’s “Not-QE” program and endless Trump administration teases of an “imminent” China deal, the S&P 500 has been propelled above its upward Bollinger band — a hyperextension only seen one other time since 2007.

Every week since Not-QE was announced has seen the S&P close green (this week finally ending the streak, barely). We’re officially in a melt-up, where both good news and bad news are accepted as valid reasons to push stocks even higher.

But what’s notable about this melt-up is that it’s missing a compelling narrative. Every past asset price mania required a feel-good mantra that convinced the masses “This time is different!”.

But today? What’s the radically better future being promised? Where’s the party train headed to?
The Phantom Mania
 by Adam Taggart

Well, stocks are back at all-time highs. Ignited by the Fed’s “Not-QE” program and endless Trump administration teases of an “imminent” China deal, the S&P 500 has been propelled above its upward Bollinger band — a hyperextension only seen one other time since 2007.

Every week since Not-QE was announced has seen the S&P close green (this week finally ending the streak, barely). We’re officially in a melt-up, where both good news and bad news are accepted as valid reasons to push stocks even higher.

But what’s notable about this melt-up is that it’s missing a compelling narrative. Every past asset price mania required a feel-good mantra that convinced the masses “This time is different!”.

But today? What’s the radically better future being promised? Where’s the party train headed to?
Image | Did Everything Just Change?
Did Everything Just Change?
by Adam Taggart

With this week’s twin announcements of new QE and a partial China trade agreement, the bulls are suddenly having the time of their lives.

So, does this mean happy days have returned? Have we been rescued from the mountain data warning of an economic slowdown and lower asset prices? Does the Fed — and now China, too — have our back again?

Is it time for investors to become optimistic once more?
Did Everything Just Change?
 by Adam Taggart

With this week’s twin announcements of new QE and a partial China trade agreement, the bulls are suddenly having the time of their lives.

So, does this mean happy days have returned? Have we been rescued from the mountain data warning of an economic slowdown and lower asset prices? Does the Fed — and now China, too — have our back again?

Is it time for investors to become optimistic once more?
Image | Realistically, What’s Left To Power Asset Prices Higher?
Realistically, What’s Left To Power Asset Prices Higher?
by Adam Taggart

Here we are again. The markets are within a few percentage points of their all-time highs, but just can’t seem to muster the momentum to break out above them.

We saw similar conditions back in March/April and then again in July. Both times, the S&P dropped sharply after failing to remain above 3,000.

Both situations presented profitable opportunities to short stocks.
Realistically, What’s Left To Power Asset Prices Higher?
 by Adam Taggart

Here we are again. The markets are within a few percentage points of their all-time highs, but just can’t seem to muster the momentum to break out above them.

We saw similar conditions back in March/April and then again in July. Both times, the S&P dropped sharply after failing to remain above 3,000.

Both situations presented profitable opportunities to short stocks.
Image | The Hard Truth About Assets
The Hard Truth About Assets
by Chris Martenson

If you prefer to listen to this article, read by its author Chris Martenson, click the player here below: | Download | ___________________________________________________________________________________ In this post, you’ll learn why hard assets will be more important than ever as the global economy undergoes drastic shifts. Enrolled members also have access to Part 2, Defending Against The Global…
The Hard Truth About Assets
 by Chris Martenson

If you prefer to listen to this article, read by its author Chris Martenson, click the player here below: | Download | ___________________________________________________________________________________ In this post, you’ll learn why hard assets will be more important than ever as the global economy undergoes drastic shifts. Enrolled members also have access to Part 2, Defending Against The Global…
Image | Off The Cuff: The Party’s Over
Off The Cuff: The Party’s Over
 PREVIEW
by Adam Taggart

In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish Shedlock discuss:

  • Next Up: A Currency War With China?
  • Recession Warning
  • A War With Iran, Too?
  • More Cracks In Europe

The self-delusional “Everything is awesome and getting better!” narrative that has pushed markets ever higher for the past years is suddenly unravelling. The current China tariffs will undo any remaining salubrious impact of the Trump tax cuts, a global recession appears underway, and — seriously — are we about to go to war with Iran??

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com’s other premium content.

Off The Cuff: The Party’s Over
 PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish Shedlock discuss:

  • Next Up: A Currency War With China?
  • Recession Warning
  • A War With Iran, Too?
  • More Cracks In Europe

The self-delusional “Everything is awesome and getting better!” narrative that has pushed markets ever higher for the past years is suddenly unravelling. The current China tariffs will undo any remaining salubrious impact of the Trump tax cuts, a global recession appears underway, and — seriously — are we about to go to war with Iran??

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com’s other premium content.

Image | The Trade Deal Has Collapsed
The Trade Deal Has Collapsed
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

Count me as surprised, but it seems like the China trade deal is collapsing.  Surprised because both sides, China and the US, have much to lose in this battle.

While there’s certainly some temporary local benefit to various pockets and sectors of the economy, the fact remains that the world economy is still exhibiting signs of slowing down and anything that puts additional weight on the economy right now could be the stone that sinks the barge.
The Trade Deal Has Collapsed
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

Count me as surprised, but it seems like the China trade deal is collapsing.  Surprised because both sides, China and the US, have much to lose in this battle.

While there’s certainly some temporary local benefit to various pockets and sectors of the economy, the fact remains that the world economy is still exhibiting signs of slowing down and anything that puts additional weight on the economy right now could be the stone that sinks the barge.
Image | The Bull(y) Rally
The Bull(y) Rally
by Adam Taggart

“A bully is always a coward.”

~ Thomas Chandler Haliburton

The current market rally is like a playground bully; shoving to the ground anyone in its path.

But like all bullies, the braggadocio belies an underlying cowardice.

Those in charge of the status quo must be absolutely terrified to resort to the unnatural lengths they are going to right now to keep the current rally intact.
The Bull(y) Rally
 by Adam Taggart

“A bully is always a coward.”

~ Thomas Chandler Haliburton

The current market rally is like a playground bully; shoving to the ground anyone in its path.

But like all bullies, the braggadocio belies an underlying cowardice.

Those in charge of the status quo must be absolutely terrified to resort to the unnatural lengths they are going to right now to keep the current rally intact.
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