Steen Jakobsen
Executive Summary
- Controlled markets can't be controlled forever
- Confidence is beginning to fail, even at the top
- The leading indicators to monitor closely
- The reason to get excited about gold & silver again
If you have not yet read Part 1: Who’s Going To Eat The Losses? available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
As we recently covered in this week's special webinar, the geopolitical tensions across the world, alone, should have created some sort of ‘risk off’ response in the equity markets. With China, Russia and North Korea all increasingly at odds with the US for a wide variety of reasons, it’s very hard to make a case that Everything is Awesome!
Instead, it’s very easy to make the case that the world is on the brink of a period of destructive trade wars, if not actual 'hot' wars.
Again, that alone should be introducing some uncertainty, some ‘risk off’ behaviors by which we mean some sort of a selloff in equities. But that’s just not the case.
In fact, the current stock ramp-up is the second longest without even a 3% sell-off in all of US equity history.
It's my firm belief that these calm markets do not represent the collective wisdom of millions of independent traders and investors. They are instead the result of both direct and indirect support of said markets by monetary authorities and their proxies. That is, the central banks and the big banks they actually represent and look out for.
But this lack of volatility will have a very painful cost some day. No different than in a political crisis where an oppressed people finally rise up, the suppression of market volatility will spill over and…
How To Deal With Our Dangerous Markets And Failing Future
PREVIEW by Chris MartensonExecutive Summary
- Controlled markets can't be controlled forever
- Confidence is beginning to fail, even at the top
- The leading indicators to monitor closely
- The reason to get excited about gold & silver again
If you have not yet read Part 1: Who’s Going To Eat The Losses? available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
As we recently covered in this week's special webinar, the geopolitical tensions across the world, alone, should have created some sort of ‘risk off’ response in the equity markets. With China, Russia and North Korea all increasingly at odds with the US for a wide variety of reasons, it’s very hard to make a case that Everything is Awesome!
Instead, it’s very easy to make the case that the world is on the brink of a period of destructive trade wars, if not actual 'hot' wars.
Again, that alone should be introducing some uncertainty, some ‘risk off’ behaviors by which we mean some sort of a selloff in equities. But that’s just not the case.
In fact, the current stock ramp-up is the second longest without even a 3% sell-off in all of US equity history.
It's my firm belief that these calm markets do not represent the collective wisdom of millions of independent traders and investors. They are instead the result of both direct and indirect support of said markets by monetary authorities and their proxies. That is, the central banks and the big banks they actually represent and look out for.
But this lack of volatility will have a very painful cost some day. No different than in a political crisis where an oppressed people finally rise up, the suppression of market volatility will spill over and…
Executive Summary
- The case of the missing credit impulse
- The credit impulse is the worst its been in recent history
- How the situation is deteriorating fast
- Why a credit impulse-driven recession is nigh
If you have not yet read Part 1: The Pin To Pop This Mother Of All Bubbles? available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
The Case Of The Missing Credit Impulse
An enormous oversight of nearly every major economist is the role of debt in both fostering current growth but also stealing from future growth.
It seems like such a simple concept, and it’s one I covered in great detail back in 2008 in the original Crash Course, but it remains a mysterious oversight of most here in 2017. The concept is easy enough; if I borrow money to increase my spending here today, it probably makes sense to take note of that if you're an economist responsible for tracking spending.
My debt-funded spending today is my lack of spending in the future when I pay down the debt.
Professor Steve Keen has this topic nailed beautifully. In it, he explains how even simply keeping a massive pile of previously accumulated debt at the same level as last year is a net negative on economic growth. A very simple and a very profound concept that still is not a part of conventional thinking.
Now here where things get interesting. And frightening. If we look at…
Everything You Need To Know About The Credit Impulse
PREVIEW by Chris MartensonExecutive Summary
- The case of the missing credit impulse
- The credit impulse is the worst its been in recent history
- How the situation is deteriorating fast
- Why a credit impulse-driven recession is nigh
If you have not yet read Part 1: The Pin To Pop This Mother Of All Bubbles? available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
The Case Of The Missing Credit Impulse
An enormous oversight of nearly every major economist is the role of debt in both fostering current growth but also stealing from future growth.
It seems like such a simple concept, and it’s one I covered in great detail back in 2008 in the original Crash Course, but it remains a mysterious oversight of most here in 2017. The concept is easy enough; if I borrow money to increase my spending here today, it probably makes sense to take note of that if you're an economist responsible for tracking spending.
My debt-funded spending today is my lack of spending in the future when I pay down the debt.
Professor Steve Keen has this topic nailed beautifully. In it, he explains how even simply keeping a massive pile of previously accumulated debt at the same level as last year is a net negative on economic growth. A very simple and a very profound concept that still is not a part of conventional thinking.
Now here where things get interesting. And frightening. If we look at…
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