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John Hussman

Image | Living On Borrowed Time
Living On Borrowed Time
by Adam Taggart

A full decade and some $14 Trillion in newly-printed money later, plus the cheapest interest rates in recorded history, and yet the central banks have not been able to restore growth to the global economy. The experiment has failed.

What good is Dow 30,000 if 75% of us can’t afford a house or scrape together $400 in an emergency?

Living On Borrowed Time
 by Adam Taggart

A full decade and some $14 Trillion in newly-printed money later, plus the cheapest interest rates in recorded history, and yet the central banks have not been able to restore growth to the global economy. The experiment has failed.

What good is Dow 30,000 if 75% of us can’t afford a house or scrape together $400 in an emergency?

Image | How to Prepare for Natural Disasters
How to Prepare for Natural Disasters
by JW

A nice infographic to review and study on the various steps and basic materials to have on hand to be preparred for a natural disaster or emergency.

height=

https://aerindustries.com/blog/2017/10/30/how-to-prepare-for-natural-disasters/

How to Prepare for Natural Disasters
 by JW

A nice infographic to review and study on the various steps and basic materials to have on hand to be preparred for a natural disaster or emergency.

height=

https://aerindustries.com/blog/2017/10/30/how-to-prepare-for-natural-disasters/

Image | The Waiting Is The Hardest Part
The Waiting Is The Hardest Part
by Adam Taggart

The stock market is now 70% higher than it was as the previous bubble peak immediately preceding the 2008 Great Financial Crisis.

Reflect for a moment how painful the crash from Sept 2008-March 2009 was. How much more painful will a crash from today's much dizzier heights be?
The Waiting Is The Hardest Part
 by Adam Taggart

The stock market is now 70% higher than it was as the previous bubble peak immediately preceding the 2008 Great Financial Crisis.

Reflect for a moment how painful the crash from Sept 2008-March 2009 was. How much more painful will a crash from today's much dizzier heights be?
Image | Van Halen, M&Ms, And The Next Market Downturn
Van Halen, M&Ms, And The Next Market Downturn
by Adam Taggart

Believe it or not, the rock band Van Halen found a brilliant way to teach how having good indicators is key to achieving success.

This is extremely true for the world of investing, where you’re deploying capital based upon an expected future return. How do you determine when it’s a good time to enter into an investment? Once in it, how do monitor the conditions supporting your rationale for holding it — are those changing? And if so, are they getting better or worse? When should you exit the position?

For all of these questions, the better the indicators you use, the more accurate and informed your decision-making will be. And the better your returns as an investor will be.
Van Halen, M&Ms, And The Next Market Downturn
 by Adam Taggart

Believe it or not, the rock band Van Halen found a brilliant way to teach how having good indicators is key to achieving success.

This is extremely true for the world of investing, where you’re deploying capital based upon an expected future return. How do you determine when it’s a good time to enter into an investment? Once in it, how do monitor the conditions supporting your rationale for holding it — are those changing? And if so, are they getting better or worse? When should you exit the position?

For all of these questions, the better the indicators you use, the more accurate and informed your decision-making will be. And the better your returns as an investor will be.
Image | A Murderous Complacency
A Murderous Complacency
by Adam Taggart

Running PeakProsperity.com requires me to read and process a lot of data on a daily basis. As it's hard to digest it all in real-time, I keep a running list of charts, tables and articles that catch my attention, to return to when I have the time to give them my full attention.

Lately, that list has been getting quite long. And it's largely full of indicators that concern me, signals that the long era of "extend and pretend" in today's markets may finally be at its terminus.

Like crows circling overhead, everyday brings with it new worrisome statistics that portend an ill change ahead. Indeed, these signs are increasing so quickly now that it's hard not to feel like Tippi Hedren in Hitchcock's classic The Birds.
A Murderous Complacency
 by Adam Taggart

Running PeakProsperity.com requires me to read and process a lot of data on a daily basis. As it's hard to digest it all in real-time, I keep a running list of charts, tables and articles that catch my attention, to return to when I have the time to give them my full attention.

Lately, that list has been getting quite long. And it's largely full of indicators that concern me, signals that the long era of "extend and pretend" in today's markets may finally be at its terminus.

Like crows circling overhead, everyday brings with it new worrisome statistics that portend an ill change ahead. Indeed, these signs are increasing so quickly now that it's hard not to feel like Tippi Hedren in Hitchcock's classic The Birds.
Image | John Hussman: The Stock Market Is Overvalued By 100%
John Hussman: The Stock Market Is Overvalued By 100%
by Adam Taggart

John Hussman is highly respected for his prodigious use of data and adherence to what it tells him about the state of the financial markets. His regular weekly market commentary is widely regarded as one of the best-researched, best-articulated publications available to money managers.

John's public appearances are rare, so we're especially grateful he made time to speak with us yesterday about the precarious state in which he sees global markets. Based on historical norms and averages, he calculates that the ZIRP and QE policies of the Fed and other world central banks have led to an overvaluation in the stock market where prices are 2 times higher than they should be.

John Hussman: The Stock Market Is Overvalued By 100%
 by Adam Taggart

John Hussman is highly respected for his prodigious use of data and adherence to what it tells him about the state of the financial markets. His regular weekly market commentary is widely regarded as one of the best-researched, best-articulated publications available to money managers.

John's public appearances are rare, so we're especially grateful he made time to speak with us yesterday about the precarious state in which he sees global markets. Based on historical norms and averages, he calculates that the ZIRP and QE policies of the Fed and other world central banks have led to an overvaluation in the stock market where prices are 2 times higher than they should be.

Image | John Hussman Podcast – Part 2
John Hussman Podcast – Part 2
 PREVIEW
by Adam Taggart

The second part of our interview with John Hussman is available here for Peak Prosperity's enrolled members.

If you've not yet listened to Part 1, click here to do so.

In Part 2 of the interview, John provides more specificity around his valuation methodology, and how he sees things playing out from here in the financial markets. 

To access Part 2 of this podcast, simply click the yellow button to enroll.

 

John Hussman Podcast – Part 2
 PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

The second part of our interview with John Hussman is available here for Peak Prosperity's enrolled members.

If you've not yet listened to Part 1, click here to do so.

In Part 2 of the interview, John provides more specificity around his valuation methodology, and how he sees things playing out from here in the financial markets. 

To access Part 2 of this podcast, simply click the yellow button to enroll.

 

Image | What The Bears Still Left Standing Think
What The Bears Still Left Standing Think
by Adam Taggart

The Wine Country Conference (WCC) is an annual gathering of speakers organized by Mike "Mish" Shedlock and his advisery firm, Sitka Pacific. This year's speakers included: John Hussman, Steen Jakobsen, Axel Merk, Mebane Faber, Chris, and of course, Mish himself. Our good friend Charles Hugh Smith attended, as well.
What The Bears Still Left Standing Think
 by Adam Taggart

The Wine Country Conference (WCC) is an annual gathering of speakers organized by Mike "Mish" Shedlock and his advisery firm, Sitka Pacific. This year's speakers included: John Hussman, Steen Jakobsen, Axel Merk, Mebane Faber, Chris, and of course, Mish himself. Our good friend Charles Hugh Smith attended, as well.
Image | The Time For Shorting the Market Is Approaching
The Time For Shorting the Market Is Approaching
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

Executive Summary

  • Why stocks may average 0% return (!) for the next decade
  • The depressing data in
    • Retail sales
    • Housing
    • Manufacturing
    • Consumer confidence
  • Why the time to short the market is looking near

If you have not yet read The Stock Market's Shaky Foundation, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

To be sure, there is one piece of fundamental information that has supported equity prices; and that’s corporate earnings.

Those have vaulted to new highs, despite the weak economic recovery, on the back of ultra-cheap borrowing (which reduces interest costs which are deducted from earnings), government deficit spending, and low household savings:

src=

While the parabolic rise in corporate earnings is quite impressive, they are also historically unprecedented and certainly unsustainable. 

When we look at the same chart seen above but on a percent change yr/yr basis we see that they have been slowing down remarkably and aren't that far above the zero mark…

The Time For Shorting the Market Is Approaching
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

Executive Summary

  • Why stocks may average 0% return (!) for the next decade
  • The depressing data in
    • Retail sales
    • Housing
    • Manufacturing
    • Consumer confidence
  • Why the time to short the market is looking near

If you have not yet read The Stock Market's Shaky Foundation, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

To be sure, there is one piece of fundamental information that has supported equity prices; and that’s corporate earnings.

Those have vaulted to new highs, despite the weak economic recovery, on the back of ultra-cheap borrowing (which reduces interest costs which are deducted from earnings), government deficit spending, and low household savings:

src=

While the parabolic rise in corporate earnings is quite impressive, they are also historically unprecedented and certainly unsustainable. 

When we look at the same chart seen above but on a percent change yr/yr basis we see that they have been slowing down remarkably and aren't that far above the zero mark…

Image | None of This Makes Any Sense
None of This Makes Any Sense
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

I have to confess, these are trying times for those of us trying to make sense of the markets from a fundamentals standpoint.  We are back in serious bubble territory, and during the heights of bubbles, all sorts of newly-minted rationalizations are bandied about as the new wisdom or a 'new normal'.

I am simply amazed that we are in yet another massive bubble, so soon after the last ones, and that so few remember the lessons from those events.
None of This Makes Any Sense
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

I have to confess, these are trying times for those of us trying to make sense of the markets from a fundamentals standpoint.  We are back in serious bubble territory, and during the heights of bubbles, all sorts of newly-minted rationalizations are bandied about as the new wisdom or a 'new normal'.

I am simply amazed that we are in yet another massive bubble, so soon after the last ones, and that so few remember the lessons from those events.
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