IMF
James Rickards, financier and author of the excellent cautionary best-seller Currency Wars, has recently released a follow-on book: The Death of Money: The Coming Collapse of the International Monetary System. In it, Jim details how history provides plenty of precedent for the collapse that has begun amidst the major world currencies.
The historical progression is predictable enough that Jim is comfortable claiming that the next economic crisis we face will be bigger than the ability of the Federal Reserve (and the other world central banks) to contain it. And that such a calamity will happen within the next five years:
Jim Rickards: The Coming Crisis is Bigger Than The Fed
by Adam TaggartJames Rickards, financier and author of the excellent cautionary best-seller Currency Wars, has recently released a follow-on book: The Death of Money: The Coming Collapse of the International Monetary System. In it, Jim details how history provides plenty of precedent for the collapse that has begun amidst the major world currencies.
The historical progression is predictable enough that Jim is comfortable claiming that the next economic crisis we face will be bigger than the ability of the Federal Reserve (and the other world central banks) to contain it. And that such a calamity will happen within the next five years:
Jim Rickards, author of the best-seller Currency Wars, sees the world's central banks embroiled in a "race to debase" their currencies in order to restore – at any cost – growth to their weakened economies.
In the midst of the fight, the U.S. Federal Reserve wields oversized power due to the dollar's unique position as the global reserve currency. As a result, actions by the Fed create huge percussive ripples across the battlefield, often influencing events in ways little understood by the players – and especially by the Fed itself.
In Rickards' words, the policymakers at the Fed "think they are dialing a thermostat up and down, but they're actually playing with a nuclear reactor – and they could melt the whole thing down":
Jim Rickards: We’re Witnessing One of the Greatest Failed Experiments in Economic History
by Adam TaggartJim Rickards, author of the best-seller Currency Wars, sees the world's central banks embroiled in a "race to debase" their currencies in order to restore – at any cost – growth to their weakened economies.
In the midst of the fight, the U.S. Federal Reserve wields oversized power due to the dollar's unique position as the global reserve currency. As a result, actions by the Fed create huge percussive ripples across the battlefield, often influencing events in ways little understood by the players – and especially by the Fed itself.
In Rickards' words, the policymakers at the Fed "think they are dialing a thermostat up and down, but they're actually playing with a nuclear reactor – and they could melt the whole thing down":
Executive Summary
- Why the U.S. and the IMF won't act soon enough to avoid a German exit
- Why Finland will bolt from the Eurozone the moment Germany does (and how many others may soon follow?)
- What a German exit (and a new mark) would really mean
- When will Germany likely announce its departure from the Eurozone?
If you have not yet read Part I, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
In Part I, we covered the background to what now appears to be inevitable: Germany has to leave the Eurozone. She, along with the Netherlands and Finland, simply cannot afford to bail out the rest of the Eurozone, so she is standing in the way of a resolution to the crisis. It is therefore only a matter of time before the political classes have to face this reality.
Time is running out, and the longer Germany delays, the worse her position will be. The yields on Spanish and Italian debt will inevitably head towards and through the 7% "point-of-no-return" threshold and beyond, and Germany will get all the blame. Germany will be seen as a thorn in the side of the ECB, restricting its scope for monetary action and obstructing a solution, partly because of the Bundesbank’s stubborn conservatism and partly because Germany’s Constitutional Court frowns on monetising government debt. She will be unfairly condemned by everyone.
Let’s look at some back-of-the-envelope figures…
The Implications of a German Exit from the Eurozone
PREVIEW by Alasdair MacleodExecutive Summary
- Why the U.S. and the IMF won't act soon enough to avoid a German exit
- Why Finland will bolt from the Eurozone the moment Germany does (and how many others may soon follow?)
- What a German exit (and a new mark) would really mean
- When will Germany likely announce its departure from the Eurozone?
If you have not yet read Part I, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.
In Part I, we covered the background to what now appears to be inevitable: Germany has to leave the Eurozone. She, along with the Netherlands and Finland, simply cannot afford to bail out the rest of the Eurozone, so she is standing in the way of a resolution to the crisis. It is therefore only a matter of time before the political classes have to face this reality.
Time is running out, and the longer Germany delays, the worse her position will be. The yields on Spanish and Italian debt will inevitably head towards and through the 7% "point-of-no-return" threshold and beyond, and Germany will get all the blame. Germany will be seen as a thorn in the side of the ECB, restricting its scope for monetary action and obstructing a solution, partly because of the Bundesbank’s stubborn conservatism and partly because Germany’s Constitutional Court frowns on monetising government debt. She will be unfairly condemned by everyone.
Let’s look at some back-of-the-envelope figures…
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