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Image | No fed pivot, gold doing well, and the farmer’s victory in France
No fed pivot, gold doing well, and the farmer’s victory in France
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

No Pivot For You, little people! Also, the game is in it’s final innings….this week there was more evidence showing that the shots have killed more than a million Americans.  This is now becoming public knowledge…things will progress more quickly from here on out.
No fed pivot, gold doing well, and the farmer’s victory in France
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

No Pivot For You, little people! Also, the game is in it’s final innings….this week there was more evidence showing that the shots have killed more than a million Americans.  This is now becoming public knowledge…things will progress more quickly from here on out.
Image | Payrolls, Bidens Under The Bus, The Gold reversal, and “Them” and Their Long Spoons
Payrolls, Bidens Under The Bus, The Gold reversal, and “Them” and Their Long Spoons
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

Rates probably bottomed on Friday. Both Bidens (H + the Big Guy) as well Ukraine/Zelensky are being thrown, quite visibly, right under the bus by at least half of the Uniparty, as well as by the MSM. “They” are acting panicky and disorganized and the more I learn about “them” the more grateful I am that I’m not part of the Bilderberg “in-crowd.” 
Payrolls, Bidens Under The Bus, The Gold reversal, and “Them” and Their Long Spoons
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

Rates probably bottomed on Friday. Both Bidens (H + the Big Guy) as well Ukraine/Zelensky are being thrown, quite visibly, right under the bus by at least half of the Uniparty, as well as by the MSM. “They” are acting panicky and disorganized and the more I learn about “them” the more grateful I am that I’m not part of the Bilderberg “in-crowd.” 
Image | Wealth transfers & gold hits new highs as the narrative breaks down
Wealth transfers & gold hits new highs as the narrative breaks down
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

Gold made or is near a new all time weekly closing high in multiple currencies. This is why I watch prices.  Information does leak out, regardless of all the manipulation and propaganda.  You just have to know what prices to watch. 

Wealth transfers & gold hits new highs as the narrative breaks down
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

Gold made or is near a new all time weekly closing high in multiple currencies. This is why I watch prices.  Information does leak out, regardless of all the manipulation and propaganda.  You just have to know what prices to watch. 

Image | More Hints of Economic Decline; June 1 Default Deadline Approaches
More Hints of Economic Decline; June 1 Default Deadline Approaches
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

Two economic reports, and a Balance Sheet: Producer Price Index (PPIACO): +0.08% m/m, -3.08% y/y.  Deflationary. Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL): +0.37% m/m, +4.72% y/y.  Inflationary. Fed Balance Sheet (WALCL): -0.01% w/w, -5.16% y/y.  Neutral. I believe that the drop in PPI y/y is explained by oil’s $45 plunge over the past 12 months.  Check out…
More Hints of Economic Decline; June 1 Default Deadline Approaches
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

Two economic reports, and a Balance Sheet: Producer Price Index (PPIACO): +0.08% m/m, -3.08% y/y.  Deflationary. Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL): +0.37% m/m, +4.72% y/y.  Inflationary. Fed Balance Sheet (WALCL): -0.01% w/w, -5.16% y/y.  Neutral. I believe that the drop in PPI y/y is explained by oil’s $45 plunge over the past 12 months.  Check out…
Image | 2022 Year in Review: All Roads Lead to Ukraine
2022 Year in Review: All Roads Lead to Ukraine
by David Collum

Annually, friend-of-the-site David Collum writes a detailed “Year in Review” synopsis full of keen perspective and plenty of wit. He strikes again in his usually poignant and delightfully acerbic way. As with past years, he selected Peak Prosperity as the site where it is published in full. It is longer than our usual posts, but…
2022 Year in Review: All Roads Lead to Ukraine
 by David Collum

Annually, friend-of-the-site David Collum writes a detailed “Year in Review” synopsis full of keen perspective and plenty of wit. He strikes again in his usually poignant and delightfully acerbic way. As with past years, he selected Peak Prosperity as the site where it is published in full. It is longer than our usual posts, but…
Image | Oil Makes a 12-Month Low; Guidance from Col. Hackworth
Oil Makes a 12-Month Low; Guidance from Col. Hackworth
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

There were a pair of economic reports this week: The Producer Price Index by Commodity (PPIACO): -0.72% month over month (m/m), +9.07% year over year (y/y). Producer price inflation is falling – it is less than half of what it was at the peak (23%) in October, 2021. Durable Goods: Orders +1.06% m/m, New Orders:…
Oil Makes a 12-Month Low; Guidance from Col. Hackworth
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

There were a pair of economic reports this week: The Producer Price Index by Commodity (PPIACO): -0.72% month over month (m/m), +9.07% year over year (y/y). Producer price inflation is falling – it is less than half of what it was at the peak (23%) in October, 2021. Durable Goods: Orders +1.06% m/m, New Orders:…
Image | Good News for Metals; A Mafia Operation
Good News for Metals; A Mafia Operation
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

The buck fell 0.91 [-0.85%] to 105.92 on the week; most of the damage happened on Monday and Tuesday. While the buck remains (barely) above the 200 MA, this week marks a new 4-month closing low. Is the dollar rally over? I’ll show you a monthly of the buck this week – it might provide…
Good News for Metals; A Mafia Operation
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

The buck fell 0.91 [-0.85%] to 105.92 on the week; most of the damage happened on Monday and Tuesday. While the buck remains (barely) above the 200 MA, this week marks a new 4-month closing low. Is the dollar rally over? I’ll show you a monthly of the buck this week – it might provide…
Image | Recession Indicators; General Winter Arrives
Recession Indicators; General Winter Arrives
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

There were three big economic reports this week: Retail Sales (RSXFS): +1.26% m/m Industrial Production (INDPRO): -0.11% m/m Producer Prices (PPIACO): -1.3% m/m Mostly, producer prices = energy, which is down from peak. Retail sales were strong, except for clothing which was flat. Industrial production was basically flat also. I have a pair of models…
Recession Indicators; General Winter Arrives
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

There were three big economic reports this week: Retail Sales (RSXFS): +1.26% m/m Industrial Production (INDPRO): -0.11% m/m Producer Prices (PPIACO): -1.3% m/m Mostly, producer prices = energy, which is down from peak. Retail sales were strong, except for clothing which was flat. Industrial production was basically flat also. I have a pair of models…
Image | Surprisingly Strong Payrolls; The Kids Are Not OK
Surprisingly Strong Payrolls; The Kids Are Not OK
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

Payrolls looked “surprisingly strong” on Friday, with the headline number at +263,000, with +250,000 expected. That wasn’t a big difference, but markets sold off hard immediately following this release – except for oil and gasoline, which had great days, apparently unaffected by payrolls one way or the other. Wolf Richter, who is usually on top…
Surprisingly Strong Payrolls; The Kids Are Not OK
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

Payrolls looked “surprisingly strong” on Friday, with the headline number at +263,000, with +250,000 expected. That wasn’t a big difference, but markets sold off hard immediately following this release – except for oil and gasoline, which had great days, apparently unaffected by payrolls one way or the other. Wolf Richter, who is usually on top…
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