by davefairtex More Hints of Economic Decline; June 1 Default Deadline Approaches by davefairtex Two economic reports, and a Balance Sheet: Producer Price Index (PPIACO): +0.08% m/m, -3.08% y/y. Deflationary. Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL): +0.37% m/m, +4.72% y/y. Inflationary. Fed Balance Sheet (WALCL): -0.01% w/w, -5.16% y/y. Neutral. I believe that the drop in PPI y/y is explained by oil’s $45 plunge over the past 12 months. Check out […] Two economic reports, and a Balance Sheet: Producer Price Index (PPIACO): +0.08% m/m, -3.08% y/y. Deflationary. Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL): +0.37% m/m, +4.72% y/y. Inflationary. Fed Balance Sheet (WALCL): -0.01% w/w, -5.16% y/y. Neutral. I believe that the drop in PPI y/y is explained by oil’s $45 plunge over the past 12 months. Check out […]
by davefairtex heavy trucks, silver, and endorphins by davefairtex Four economic reports this week: Auto/Light Truck Sales: -6.2% m/m, heavy truck sales: -11.9% m/m. Durable Goods: new orders -4.5 m/m, prior +5.1% m/m, shipments -0.1% m/m. ISM Services Index: 55.1 (flat = 50.0). PMI Manufacturing Index: 47.3 (flat = 50.0). So ISM Services remains hot, there’s a contraction in manufacturing, durable goods could be […] Four economic reports this week: Auto/Light Truck Sales: -6.2% m/m, heavy truck sales: -11.9% m/m. Durable Goods: new orders -4.5 m/m, prior +5.1% m/m, shipments -0.1% m/m. ISM Services Index: 55.1 (flat = 50.0). PMI Manufacturing Index: 47.3 (flat = 50.0). So ISM Services remains hot, there’s a contraction in manufacturing, durable goods could be […]
by Chris Martenson Major Recession On The Way by Chris Martenson There’s a massive recession on the way that will strike in 2023, of that I am about as certain as I can possibly be. Normally, I keep my options open, and of course, I stand ready to be surprised if a recession doesn’t materialize, but the chances of being wrong here are so low as […] There’s a massive recession on the way that will strike in 2023, of that I am about as certain as I can possibly be. Normally, I keep my options open, and of course, I stand ready to be surprised if a recession doesn’t materialize, but the chances of being wrong here are so low as […]
by Chris Martenson The Vital Connection Between Oil and The Economy Revealed in Two Simple Charts by Chris Martenson There’s a huge, glaring defect at the core of our financial and economic system, and it’s sitting in plain sight. Surprisingly, few people are aware of it, and I can reveal it in just two simple charts. One of the growth in debt, the other in the relationship between economic growth and oil consumption. It’s […] There’s a huge, glaring defect at the core of our financial and economic system, and it’s sitting in plain sight. Surprisingly, few people are aware of it, and I can reveal it in just two simple charts. One of the growth in debt, the other in the relationship between economic growth and oil consumption. It’s […]
by davefairtex Oil Makes a 12-Month Low; Guidance from Col. Hackworth by davefairtex There were a pair of economic reports this week: The Producer Price Index by Commodity (PPIACO): -0.72% month over month (m/m), +9.07% year over year (y/y). Producer price inflation is falling – it is less than half of what it was at the peak (23%) in October, 2021. Durable Goods: Orders +1.06% m/m, New Orders: […] There were a pair of economic reports this week: The Producer Price Index by Commodity (PPIACO): -0.72% month over month (m/m), +9.07% year over year (y/y). Producer price inflation is falling – it is less than half of what it was at the peak (23%) in October, 2021. Durable Goods: Orders +1.06% m/m, New Orders: […]
by Chris Martenson No Energy, No Economy by Chris Martenson One does not simply take a massively complex system like oil refining and jerk it about with sanctions and supply cuts without creating massive whiplash effects. But this is what Europe has done with Russian oil and gas and the knock-on effects are going to be exceptionally painful and long-lasting. For their part Saudi Arabia […] One does not simply take a massively complex system like oil refining and jerk it about with sanctions and supply cuts without creating massive whiplash effects. But this is what Europe has done with Russian oil and gas and the knock-on effects are going to be exceptionally painful and long-lasting. For their part Saudi Arabia […]
by Chris Martenson The Planned Crisis Continues To Unfold by Chris Martenson Today, we’re going back over The Great Reset. I initially produced this video back in November of 2020 and it’s worth revisiting today. Why? Because it’s hard to get our hearts and minds around the level of ignorance or depravity, or both, that the WEF/Davos crowd are exhibiting. They really are either as dense or […] Today, we’re going back over The Great Reset. I initially produced this video back in November of 2020 and it’s worth revisiting today. Why? Because it’s hard to get our hearts and minds around the level of ignorance or depravity, or both, that the WEF/Davos crowd are exhibiting. They really are either as dense or […]
by Peak Team Your “Adjustment Reaction” Will Be Your Fate by Peak Team An “Adjustment Reaction” is the very normal, usual, and human set of responses to a threat or new risk. We all have one and we all go through them. It’s just that some go through them much faster than others. Perhaps that’s you. Perhaps it’s not. Either way, you should be aware of the process […] An “Adjustment Reaction” is the very normal, usual, and human set of responses to a threat or new risk. We all have one and we all go through them. It’s just that some go through them much faster than others. Perhaps that’s you. Perhaps it’s not. Either way, you should be aware of the process […]
by Chris Martenson My Personal Early Warning System by Chris Martenson If you want to know, before other people, when something is about to change or break, you have to know where to look. In this video, I explain the “outside in” method of looking at the periphery for clues about when things might break down either sooner or harder. This method applies to individual organisms, […] If you want to know, before other people, when something is about to change or break, you have to know where to look. In this video, I explain the “outside in” method of looking at the periphery for clues about when things might break down either sooner or harder. This method applies to individual organisms, […]
by Chris Martenson Energy Crisis Upon Us by Chris Martenson The Russian invasion of Ukraine – and the West’s response to it – have increased the chances of a major economic dislocation, possibly a financial collapse. Why? Because of the often severely under-appreciated role of energy in making everything else possible. In this episode – one of the more important ones I’ve ever made – […] The Russian invasion of Ukraine – and the West’s response to it – have increased the chances of a major economic dislocation, possibly a financial collapse. Why? Because of the often severely under-appreciated role of energy in making everything else possible. In this episode – one of the more important ones I’ve ever made – […]
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