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Economy

Image | More Hints of Economic Decline; June 1 Default Deadline Approaches
More Hints of Economic Decline; June 1 Default Deadline Approaches
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

Two economic reports, and a Balance Sheet: Producer Price Index (PPIACO): +0.08% m/m, -3.08% y/y.  Deflationary. Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL): +0.37% m/m, +4.72% y/y.  Inflationary. Fed Balance Sheet (WALCL): -0.01% w/w, -5.16% y/y.  Neutral. I believe that the drop in PPI y/y is explained by oil’s $45 plunge over the past 12 months.  Check out…
More Hints of Economic Decline; June 1 Default Deadline Approaches
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

Two economic reports, and a Balance Sheet: Producer Price Index (PPIACO): +0.08% m/m, -3.08% y/y.  Deflationary. Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL): +0.37% m/m, +4.72% y/y.  Inflationary. Fed Balance Sheet (WALCL): -0.01% w/w, -5.16% y/y.  Neutral. I believe that the drop in PPI y/y is explained by oil’s $45 plunge over the past 12 months.  Check out…
Image | heavy trucks, silver, and endorphins
heavy trucks, silver, and endorphins
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

Four economic reports this week: Auto/Light Truck Sales: -6.2% m/m, heavy truck sales: -11.9% m/m. Durable Goods: new orders -4.5 m/m, prior +5.1% m/m, shipments -0.1% m/m. ISM Services Index: 55.1 (flat = 50.0). PMI Manufacturing Index: 47.3 (flat = 50.0). So ISM Services remains hot, there’s a contraction in manufacturing, durable goods could be…
heavy trucks, silver, and endorphins
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

Four economic reports this week: Auto/Light Truck Sales: -6.2% m/m, heavy truck sales: -11.9% m/m. Durable Goods: new orders -4.5 m/m, prior +5.1% m/m, shipments -0.1% m/m. ISM Services Index: 55.1 (flat = 50.0). PMI Manufacturing Index: 47.3 (flat = 50.0). So ISM Services remains hot, there’s a contraction in manufacturing, durable goods could be…
Image | Major Recession On The Way
Major Recession On The Way
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

There’s a massive recession on the way that will strike in 2023, of that I am about as certain as I can possibly be. Normally, I keep my options open, and of course, I stand ready to be surprised if a recession doesn’t materialize, but the chances of being wrong here are so low as…
Major Recession On The Way
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

There’s a massive recession on the way that will strike in 2023, of that I am about as certain as I can possibly be. Normally, I keep my options open, and of course, I stand ready to be surprised if a recession doesn’t materialize, but the chances of being wrong here are so low as…
Image | The Vital Connection Between Oil and The Economy Revealed in Two Simple Charts
The Vital Connection Between Oil and The Economy Revealed in Two Simple Charts
by Chris Martenson

There’s a huge, glaring defect at the core of our financial and economic system, and it’s sitting in plain sight. Surprisingly, few people are aware of it, and I can reveal it in just two simple charts. One of the growth in debt, the other in the relationship between economic growth and oil consumption. It’s…
The Vital Connection Between Oil and The Economy Revealed in Two Simple Charts
 by Chris Martenson

There’s a huge, glaring defect at the core of our financial and economic system, and it’s sitting in plain sight. Surprisingly, few people are aware of it, and I can reveal it in just two simple charts. One of the growth in debt, the other in the relationship between economic growth and oil consumption. It’s…
Image | Oil Makes a 12-Month Low; Guidance from Col. Hackworth
Oil Makes a 12-Month Low; Guidance from Col. Hackworth
by davefairtex

There were a pair of economic reports this week: The Producer Price Index by Commodity (PPIACO): -0.72% month over month (m/m), +9.07% year over year (y/y). Producer price inflation is falling – it is less than half of what it was at the peak (23%) in October, 2021. Durable Goods: Orders +1.06% m/m, New Orders:…
Oil Makes a 12-Month Low; Guidance from Col. Hackworth
 by davefairtex

There were a pair of economic reports this week: The Producer Price Index by Commodity (PPIACO): -0.72% month over month (m/m), +9.07% year over year (y/y). Producer price inflation is falling – it is less than half of what it was at the peak (23%) in October, 2021. Durable Goods: Orders +1.06% m/m, New Orders:…
Image | No Energy, No Economy
No Energy, No Economy
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

One does not simply take a massively complex system like oil refining and jerk it about with sanctions and supply cuts without creating massive whiplash effects. But this is what Europe has done with Russian oil and gas and the knock-on effects are going to be exceptionally painful and long-lasting. For their part Saudi Arabia…
No Energy, No Economy
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

One does not simply take a massively complex system like oil refining and jerk it about with sanctions and supply cuts without creating massive whiplash effects. But this is what Europe has done with Russian oil and gas and the knock-on effects are going to be exceptionally painful and long-lasting. For their part Saudi Arabia…
Image | The Planned Crisis Continues To Unfold
The Planned Crisis Continues To Unfold
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

Today, we’re going back over The Great Reset. I initially produced this video back in November of 2020 and it’s worth revisiting today. Why? Because it’s hard to get our hearts and minds around the level of ignorance or depravity, or both, that the WEF/Davos crowd are exhibiting. They really are either as dense or…
The Planned Crisis Continues To Unfold
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

Today, we’re going back over The Great Reset. I initially produced this video back in November of 2020 and it’s worth revisiting today. Why? Because it’s hard to get our hearts and minds around the level of ignorance or depravity, or both, that the WEF/Davos crowd are exhibiting. They really are either as dense or…
Image | Your “Adjustment Reaction” Will Be Your Fate
Your “Adjustment Reaction” Will Be Your Fate
by Ivor

An “Adjustment Reaction” is the very normal, usual, and human set of responses to a threat or new risk.  We all have one and we all go through them.  It’s just that some go through them much faster than others.  Perhaps that’s you.  Perhaps it’s not.  Either way, you should be aware of the process…
Your “Adjustment Reaction” Will Be Your Fate
 by Ivor

An “Adjustment Reaction” is the very normal, usual, and human set of responses to a threat or new risk.  We all have one and we all go through them.  It’s just that some go through them much faster than others.  Perhaps that’s you.  Perhaps it’s not.  Either way, you should be aware of the process…
Image | My Personal Early Warning System
My Personal Early Warning System
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

If you want to know, before other people, when something is about to change or break, you have to know where to look. In this video, I explain the “outside in” method of looking at the periphery for clues about when things might break down either sooner or harder. This method applies to individual organisms,…
My Personal Early Warning System
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

If you want to know, before other people, when something is about to change or break, you have to know where to look. In this video, I explain the “outside in” method of looking at the periphery for clues about when things might break down either sooner or harder. This method applies to individual organisms,…
Image | Energy Crisis Upon Us
Energy Crisis Upon Us
by Chris Martenson

The Russian invasion of Ukraine – and the West’s response to it – have increased the chances of a major economic dislocation, possibly a financial collapse. Why? Because of the often severely under-appreciated role of energy in making everything else possible. In this episode – one of the more important ones I’ve ever made –…
Energy Crisis Upon Us
 by Chris Martenson

The Russian invasion of Ukraine – and the West’s response to it – have increased the chances of a major economic dislocation, possibly a financial collapse. Why? Because of the often severely under-appreciated role of energy in making everything else possible. In this episode – one of the more important ones I’ve ever made –…
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