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by suziegruber

Abraham Maslow detailed a hierarchy of human needs as drivers of human motivation, postulating that we first attend to our physiological needs for air, food, and water, followed by our need for safety. Only when those needs are met do we then attend to higher level needs, such as creativity and achievement. Recognizing that energy descent will require significant changes in standard of living for most of us, we immediately want to secure the basics and find ways to make supplies of those basics resilient. 

 

 

Like many people, when I first learned about Peak Oil about six years ago, I began with physical preparation for a lower energy future. It makes total sense that many of us do this when recognizing danger ahead. The What Should I Do? guide here really supports us in learning about physical preparation. Chris says, “We are more resilient when we have multiple sources and systems to supply a needed item, rather than being dependent on a single source.” However, as Chris and many others have pointed out, all of our physical preparations are “necessary but insufficient,” because we simply don’t know what exactly will happen and we are totally dependent on natural resources for everything we consume every day.

So what else can we do? I believe we need to focus a significant part of our crisis preparation on developing inner resilience in addition to cultivating external, physical resilience. 

Cultivating Inner Resilience in the Face of Crisis
by suziegruber

Abraham Maslow detailed a hierarchy of human needs as drivers of human motivation, postulating that we first attend to our physiological needs for air, food, and water, followed by our need for safety. Only when those needs are met do we then attend to higher level needs, such as creativity and achievement. Recognizing that energy descent will require significant changes in standard of living for most of us, we immediately want to secure the basics and find ways to make supplies of those basics resilient. 

 

 

Like many people, when I first learned about Peak Oil about six years ago, I began with physical preparation for a lower energy future. It makes total sense that many of us do this when recognizing danger ahead. The What Should I Do? guide here really supports us in learning about physical preparation. Chris says, “We are more resilient when we have multiple sources and systems to supply a needed item, rather than being dependent on a single source.” However, as Chris and many others have pointed out, all of our physical preparations are “necessary but insufficient,” because we simply don’t know what exactly will happen and we are totally dependent on natural resources for everything we consume every day.

So what else can we do? I believe we need to focus a significant part of our crisis preparation on developing inner resilience in addition to cultivating external, physical resilience. 

by Chris Martenson

Guide to Navigating the Coming Crisis

Wednesday, February 9, 2011

Executive Summary

  • Here we provide a detailed summary of the complete analytical framework that has delivered double digit investment gains (2004-2010)
  • Why this ‘recovery’ is false
  • Why the Fed is stuck between a rock and hard place
  • Why the US Treasury market is vulnerable
  • Asia is the most likely trigger

Part I

If you have not yet read Part I, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

Part II – Guide to Navigating the Coming Crisis

Illuminating the future is our job, and we take it seriously.

The unfolding Egyptian situation provides a perfect analogy for what I see coming to the developed world. During times of massive change, it is most important to have a clear-eyed view, few limiting beliefs, and a reliable framework to help you decode rapidly emerging events.

What we do here at Martenson Central is deliver both up-to-the-minute information-scouting services and a framework through which those events and information can be interpreted. 

Knowing what is likely to happen and having a solid framework for understanding those events provides emotional relief, removes uncertainty, and allows for crisper and more effective decisionmaking that can make you safer and even wealthier. These benefits are not speculation on our part; they are directly drawn from comments and feedback we’ve received from our members over the past several years.

The Crash Course is the foundation of that framework, which illuminates the main predicament as an inherent conflict between the currently evolved types of economic and monetary systems and looming resource scarcity, especially of oil.

Guide to Navigating the Coming Crisis
PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

Guide to Navigating the Coming Crisis

Wednesday, February 9, 2011

Executive Summary

  • Here we provide a detailed summary of the complete analytical framework that has delivered double digit investment gains (2004-2010)
  • Why this ‘recovery’ is false
  • Why the Fed is stuck between a rock and hard place
  • Why the US Treasury market is vulnerable
  • Asia is the most likely trigger

Part I

If you have not yet read Part I, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

Part II – Guide to Navigating the Coming Crisis

Illuminating the future is our job, and we take it seriously.

The unfolding Egyptian situation provides a perfect analogy for what I see coming to the developed world. During times of massive change, it is most important to have a clear-eyed view, few limiting beliefs, and a reliable framework to help you decode rapidly emerging events.

What we do here at Martenson Central is deliver both up-to-the-minute information-scouting services and a framework through which those events and information can be interpreted. 

Knowing what is likely to happen and having a solid framework for understanding those events provides emotional relief, removes uncertainty, and allows for crisper and more effective decisionmaking that can make you safer and even wealthier. These benefits are not speculation on our part; they are directly drawn from comments and feedback we’ve received from our members over the past several years.

The Crash Course is the foundation of that framework, which illuminates the main predicament as an inherent conflict between the currently evolved types of economic and monetary systems and looming resource scarcity, especially of oil.

by Adam Taggart

"Straight Talk" features thinking from notable minds that the PeakProsperity.com audience has indicated it wants to learn more about.  Readers submit the questions they want addressed and our guests take their best crack at answering. The comments and opinions expressed by our guests are their own.

This week's Straight Talk contributor is Charles Hugh Smith, who has been an independent journalist for 22 years. His weblog, www.oftwominds.com, is a daily compendium of observations and analysis on the global economy and financial markets, as well as notable political, social, and cultural trends. Charles has authored a number of books across several genres, including the recent Survival+: Structuring Prosperity for Yourself and the Nation.


1. Of the many forces at play that you write about within the economy, society, and politics, which ones do you see as the most defining for the future? How do you expect things to unfold?

CHS:  Clearly, demographics and Peak Oil are forces which cannot be massaged away by policy tweaks or financial engineering. I think the exhaustion of Global Neoliberal Capitalism and State Capitalism is apparent, as is the bankruptcy of the two ideologies that more or less define our politics. The reliance on expansion of credit and State power is a dynamic with only unhappy endings.

 

Straight Talk with Charles Hugh Smith: Why The Status Quo Is Unsustainable
by Adam Taggart

"Straight Talk" features thinking from notable minds that the PeakProsperity.com audience has indicated it wants to learn more about.  Readers submit the questions they want addressed and our guests take their best crack at answering. The comments and opinions expressed by our guests are their own.

This week's Straight Talk contributor is Charles Hugh Smith, who has been an independent journalist for 22 years. His weblog, www.oftwominds.com, is a daily compendium of observations and analysis on the global economy and financial markets, as well as notable political, social, and cultural trends. Charles has authored a number of books across several genres, including the recent Survival+: Structuring Prosperity for Yourself and the Nation.


1. Of the many forces at play that you write about within the economy, society, and politics, which ones do you see as the most defining for the future? How do you expect things to unfold?

CHS:  Clearly, demographics and Peak Oil are forces which cannot be massaged away by policy tweaks or financial engineering. I think the exhaustion of Global Neoliberal Capitalism and State Capitalism is apparent, as is the bankruptcy of the two ideologies that more or less define our politics. The reliance on expansion of credit and State power is a dynamic with only unhappy endings.

 

by Adam Taggart

"Straight Talk" features thinking from notable minds who the PeakProsperity.com audience has indicated that it wants to learn more about. Readers submit the questions they want addressed and our guests take their best crack at answering. The comments and opinions expressed by our guests are their own.

This week's Straight Talk contributor is James Howard Kunstler, author and social critic. His better-known works include The Long Emergency, in which he argues that declining oil production will result in the decline of modern industrialized society and compel Americans to return to smaller-scale, localized, semi-agrarian communities; World Made By Hand, and its sequel, The Witch of Hebron, all published by The Atlantic Monthly Press. He writes a weekly blog is also a leading proponent of the movement known as "New Urbanism." 


1. When will the average US citizen wake up to the perils of Peak Oil?

JHK:  When a crisis comparable to the 1973 OPEC embargo — with lines at the filling stations and hefty price-hikes —  whaps them upside the head.

Straight Talk with James Howard Kunstler: “The World is Going to Get Rounder and Bigger Again”
by Adam Taggart

"Straight Talk" features thinking from notable minds who the PeakProsperity.com audience has indicated that it wants to learn more about. Readers submit the questions they want addressed and our guests take their best crack at answering. The comments and opinions expressed by our guests are their own.

This week's Straight Talk contributor is James Howard Kunstler, author and social critic. His better-known works include The Long Emergency, in which he argues that declining oil production will result in the decline of modern industrialized society and compel Americans to return to smaller-scale, localized, semi-agrarian communities; World Made By Hand, and its sequel, The Witch of Hebron, all published by The Atlantic Monthly Press. He writes a weekly blog is also a leading proponent of the movement known as "New Urbanism." 


1. When will the average US citizen wake up to the perils of Peak Oil?

JHK:  When a crisis comparable to the 1973 OPEC embargo — with lines at the filling stations and hefty price-hikes —  whaps them upside the head.

by Chris Martenson
Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Executive Summary

  • Perception will drive the market shift.
  • Awareness of Peak Oil is still low but spreading rapidly.
  • The military is mobilizing, but civilian government is AWOL.
  • The Post-Peak transition will be more chaotic than it need be.
  • We have time to prepare (but not much).
  • Taking informed action now is critical.

Part I

If you have not yet read Part I of this report, please click here to read it first.

Part II

It’s All About Perception

On my plane ride back from DC, I happened to sit next to an insurance professional who was chatty.  After hearing about his washed-out business trip to the Cayman Islands, I told him about my work and the ASPO conference I’d just been to.  He’d never heard of Peak Oil before.

When I encounter someone who has not heard of Peak Oil, I experience the same sense of disorientation as if they said they had never heard of 9-11.  The only difference between the two is that Peak Oil might have much larger and even more devastating effects.

The good news is that this reminds me that we are further away from the tipping point of awareness than I sometimes think, (hopefully) providing us with an extra year or two or preparation time.  The bad news is that when the tipping point arrives, it will do so all at once, and probably with more disruption than if people had been allowed to more slowly internalize the implications and reality of vastly higher oil prices.

As we explored in the previous report, it’s not the fundamentals that will finally lead to the shift, it’s perception.  Right now, on a fundamental basis, there is every indication that a liquid fuel crisis is imminent.  Perhaps the data is wrong and will be corrected, or perhaps a massive discovery will change the game, but right now our best information is that depletion and demand are going to swamp supply in the near future.

Future Chaos: There Is No “Plan B”
PREVIEW by Chris Martenson
Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Executive Summary

  • Perception will drive the market shift.
  • Awareness of Peak Oil is still low but spreading rapidly.
  • The military is mobilizing, but civilian government is AWOL.
  • The Post-Peak transition will be more chaotic than it need be.
  • We have time to prepare (but not much).
  • Taking informed action now is critical.

Part I

If you have not yet read Part I of this report, please click here to read it first.

Part II

It’s All About Perception

On my plane ride back from DC, I happened to sit next to an insurance professional who was chatty.  After hearing about his washed-out business trip to the Cayman Islands, I told him about my work and the ASPO conference I’d just been to.  He’d never heard of Peak Oil before.

When I encounter someone who has not heard of Peak Oil, I experience the same sense of disorientation as if they said they had never heard of 9-11.  The only difference between the two is that Peak Oil might have much larger and even more devastating effects.

The good news is that this reminds me that we are further away from the tipping point of awareness than I sometimes think, (hopefully) providing us with an extra year or two or preparation time.  The bad news is that when the tipping point arrives, it will do so all at once, and probably with more disruption than if people had been allowed to more slowly internalize the implications and reality of vastly higher oil prices.

As we explored in the previous report, it’s not the fundamentals that will finally lead to the shift, it’s perception.  Right now, on a fundamental basis, there is every indication that a liquid fuel crisis is imminent.  Perhaps the data is wrong and will be corrected, or perhaps a massive discovery will change the game, but right now our best information is that depletion and demand are going to swamp supply in the near future.

by Chris Martenson
Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Executive Summary

  • Why prepare?
  • Where to begin?
  • Action is liberating
  • Do what is necessary, knowing it is insufficient
  • Put on your own “oxygen mask” first
  • Seek personal and community resilience
  • Any measure of self-sufficiency is valuable
  • Start with small steps
  • Food, water, shelter, and warmth 

In a recent report entitled It’s Time to Prepare, I walked through the financial preparations that one might take to add greater resilience to one’s holdings and where they are located. 

But there is more to preparation that just financial savvy. I have been asked repeatedly to provide some guidance on personal preparation. In this report, I will begin the process of sharing my thoughts and experiences about this subject.

There are some basic things that would like to see every person considering for themselves and their family in order to minimize the impact of future disruptions. While I cannot be sure of when, or even if, these disruptions will happen, I am certain of two things:  you can prepare for these changes relatively cheaply, and you will feel better for having done so.

Personal Preparation – Where To Begin
PREVIEW by Chris Martenson
Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Executive Summary

  • Why prepare?
  • Where to begin?
  • Action is liberating
  • Do what is necessary, knowing it is insufficient
  • Put on your own “oxygen mask” first
  • Seek personal and community resilience
  • Any measure of self-sufficiency is valuable
  • Start with small steps
  • Food, water, shelter, and warmth 

In a recent report entitled It’s Time to Prepare, I walked through the financial preparations that one might take to add greater resilience to one’s holdings and where they are located. 

But there is more to preparation that just financial savvy. I have been asked repeatedly to provide some guidance on personal preparation. In this report, I will begin the process of sharing my thoughts and experiences about this subject.

There are some basic things that would like to see every person considering for themselves and their family in order to minimize the impact of future disruptions. While I cannot be sure of when, or even if, these disruptions will happen, I am certain of two things:  you can prepare for these changes relatively cheaply, and you will feel better for having done so.

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