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Image | Fed Raises Rates +25 bp; The Safety System Works
Fed Raises Rates +25 bp; The Safety System Works
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

We had a market two-fer this week: first, Powell Press Conference Wednesday, followed two days later by Payrolls Friday. First, Powell Wednesday. The Fed raised rates by the expected 25 basis points (bp) (+0.25%). I reduce an hour of press conference down to five bullet points: We need substantially more evidence that inflation is on…
Fed Raises Rates +25 bp; The Safety System Works
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

We had a market two-fer this week: first, Powell Press Conference Wednesday, followed two days later by Payrolls Friday. First, Powell Wednesday. The Fed raised rates by the expected 25 basis points (bp) (+0.25%). I reduce an hour of press conference down to five bullet points: We need substantially more evidence that inflation is on…
Image | A Gold Divergence; Post Vaccine-War Impact Incoming
A Gold Divergence; Post Vaccine-War Impact Incoming
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

We had four economic reports this week: Personal Income (PI): +0.22% month over month (m/m) [+0.26% month over m/m prior]; Slowing, negative. Durable goods, New Orders (DGORDER): +5.33%  m/m, Shipments +0.50% m/m. Positive. Median New Home Sales Prices (MSPNHSUS): -16.9k m/m, New Home Supply: -0.2 [to 9 months]. Negative (for housing). GDP: +1.56% quarter over…
A Gold Divergence; Post Vaccine-War Impact Incoming
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

We had four economic reports this week: Personal Income (PI): +0.22% month over month (m/m) [+0.26% month over m/m prior]; Slowing, negative. Durable goods, New Orders (DGORDER): +5.33%  m/m, Shipments +0.50% m/m. Positive. Median New Home Sales Prices (MSPNHSUS): -16.9k m/m, New Home Supply: -0.2 [to 9 months]. Negative (for housing). GDP: +1.56% quarter over…
Image | Preparedness Basics for the Elderly or Disabled
Preparedness Basics for the Elderly or Disabled
 PREVIEW
by Samantha Biggers

More people than ever are living alone or with another older person. If you are older or disabled and live independently, you can do plenty of things to make it through short to moderately long emergencies. If you have an elderly relative living independently, you can help them organize and prepare using this article’s guidance….
Preparedness Basics for the Elderly or Disabled
 PREVIEW by Samantha Biggers

More people than ever are living alone or with another older person. If you are older or disabled and live independently, you can do plenty of things to make it through short to moderately long emergencies. If you have an elderly relative living independently, you can help them organize and prepare using this article’s guidance….
Image | Narrative Keepers in a Panic!
Narrative Keepers in a Panic!
by Chris Martenson

The Damar Hamlin case sent the keepers of the narrative into a panic. They pulled out all the stops as they tried, unsuccessfully, to install a bogus narrative that something called “commotio cordis” was the reason Damar collapsed during a live televised national NFL game. A more proper differential would not prematurely exclude the possibility…
Narrative Keepers in a Panic!
 by Chris Martenson

The Damar Hamlin case sent the keepers of the narrative into a panic. They pulled out all the stops as they tried, unsuccessfully, to install a bogus narrative that something called “commotio cordis” was the reason Damar collapsed during a live televised national NFL game. A more proper differential would not prematurely exclude the possibility…
Image | Mixed Data; These Are Our Stories
Mixed Data; These Are Our Stories
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

There were two economic reports this week: Nonfarm Payrolls: +223k month over month (m/m) [prior +256k] (bullish) Durable Goods: New Orders -2.13% m/m, Shipments +0.19% m/m (bearish) My favorite section of payrolls that I use for detecting recession isn’t showing a clear signal of recession just yet; the FRED Series (LNS12032196) titled “working part-time for…
Mixed Data; These Are Our Stories
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

There were two economic reports this week: Nonfarm Payrolls: +223k month over month (m/m) [prior +256k] (bullish) Durable Goods: New Orders -2.13% m/m, Shipments +0.19% m/m (bearish) My favorite section of payrolls that I use for detecting recession isn’t showing a clear signal of recession just yet; the FRED Series (LNS12032196) titled “working part-time for…
Image | 2022 Year In Review
2022 Year In Review
by Chris Martenson

2022 was a year of incredible events and developments. Too many to pick from, but let’s give it go. Among the key themes for me were: How committed the mainstream press and health authorities were to ignoring the fact that Omicron basically ended what little reason there was for calling Covid a pandemic. Censorship and…
2022 Year In Review
 by Chris Martenson

2022 was a year of incredible events and developments. Too many to pick from, but let’s give it go. Among the key themes for me were: How committed the mainstream press and health authorities were to ignoring the fact that Omicron basically ended what little reason there was for calling Covid a pandemic. Censorship and…
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I’ve been doing a lot of thinking about the needs and sustainability of our family. We have six young children, our oldest just turned 12 and our youngest just turned 3 months old. I love the considerations that the article had above and thought I would add a few things that I have considered for our situation. My...
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