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Image | Mixed Data; These Are Our Stories
Mixed Data; These Are Our Stories
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

There were two economic reports this week: Nonfarm Payrolls: +223k month over month (m/m) [prior +256k] (bullish) Durable Goods: New Orders -2.13% m/m, Shipments +0.19% m/m (bearish) My favorite section of payrolls that I use for detecting recession isn’t showing a clear signal of recession just yet; the FRED Series (LNS12032196) titled “working part-time for…
Mixed Data; These Are Our Stories
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

There were two economic reports this week: Nonfarm Payrolls: +223k month over month (m/m) [prior +256k] (bullish) Durable Goods: New Orders -2.13% m/m, Shipments +0.19% m/m (bearish) My favorite section of payrolls that I use for detecting recession isn’t showing a clear signal of recession just yet; the FRED Series (LNS12032196) titled “working part-time for…
Image | 2022 Year in Review: All Roads Lead to Ukraine
2022 Year in Review: All Roads Lead to Ukraine
by David Collum

Annually, friend-of-the-site David Collum writes a detailed “Year in Review” synopsis full of keen perspective and plenty of wit. He strikes again in his usually poignant and delightfully acerbic way. As with past years, he selected Peak Prosperity as the site where it is published in full. It is longer than our usual posts, but…
2022 Year in Review: All Roads Lead to Ukraine
 by David Collum

Annually, friend-of-the-site David Collum writes a detailed “Year in Review” synopsis full of keen perspective and plenty of wit. He strikes again in his usually poignant and delightfully acerbic way. As with past years, he selected Peak Prosperity as the site where it is published in full. It is longer than our usual posts, but…
Image | When Will It Start? It Already Has.
When Will It Start? It Already Has.
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

Fifth Generation Warfare (5GW) is where state actors use all of their exceptionally potent tools of persuasion to control the narrative and install new cognitive biases by hacking our wiring and leveraging our pre-existing beliefs, biases and judgments.  Sound like some dystopian SciFi movie?  It does, but it’s also the current reality. Welcome to the…
When Will It Start? It Already Has.
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

Fifth Generation Warfare (5GW) is where state actors use all of their exceptionally potent tools of persuasion to control the narrative and install new cognitive biases by hacking our wiring and leveraging our pre-existing beliefs, biases and judgments.  Sound like some dystopian SciFi movie?  It does, but it’s also the current reality. Welcome to the…
Image | Labor Force Shortfall; The Dunning-Kruger WEF
Labor Force Shortfall; The Dunning-Kruger WEF
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

There were a large number of economic reports this week, headed by Payrolls, which were released on Friday, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time: Nonfarm Payrolls: headline +261k, expected +200k; new high, positive. Personal Income: +0.70% month/month (m/m) (prior +0.40 m/m); new high, positive. Auto/Light Truck Sales: +9.17%  m/m; positive and recovering from a sharp dip….
Labor Force Shortfall; The Dunning-Kruger WEF
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

There were a large number of economic reports this week, headed by Payrolls, which were released on Friday, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time: Nonfarm Payrolls: headline +261k, expected +200k; new high, positive. Personal Income: +0.70% month/month (m/m) (prior +0.40 m/m); new high, positive. Auto/Light Truck Sales: +9.17%  m/m; positive and recovering from a sharp dip….
Image | The Awful Sins Of Those We Call Leaders
The Awful Sins Of Those We Call Leaders
 PREVIEW
by Ivor

The defense of child porn, deadly medical advice and more…all controlled by individuals who don’t care about you. And yet, we elect them, invest in them, and use their products. Chris has a problem with that.  
The Awful Sins Of Those We Call Leaders
 PREVIEW by Ivor

The defense of child porn, deadly medical advice and more…all controlled by individuals who don’t care about you. And yet, we elect them, invest in them, and use their products. Chris has a problem with that.  
Image | Why The Windfall Oil Tax Will Backfire
Why The Windfall Oil Tax Will Backfire
by Chris Martenson

Those greedy oil companies! Time to tax them good and hard! The only problem with this view is it is so short-sighted and unsophisticated it will actually produce the exact opposite of what it (supposedly) intends. So, get ready for a future of lower oil supplies and higher prices along with related economic harms that…
Why The Windfall Oil Tax Will Backfire
 by Chris Martenson

Those greedy oil companies! Time to tax them good and hard! The only problem with this view is it is so short-sighted and unsophisticated it will actually produce the exact opposite of what it (supposedly) intends. So, get ready for a future of lower oil supplies and higher prices along with related economic harms that…
Image | Dollar Crushed; Apology for America
Dollar Crushed; Apology for America
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

The buck was crushed this week, plunging -4.61% to 106.16, moving lower four days out of five. The bulk of the losses came after the Consumer Price Index release around 8:30 a.m. Eastern on Thursday, which showed a slightly lower rate (+0.44% m/m) than expected, and then on Friday, there were hints from the Chines…
Dollar Crushed; Apology for America
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

The buck was crushed this week, plunging -4.61% to 106.16, moving lower four days out of five. The bulk of the losses came after the Consumer Price Index release around 8:30 a.m. Eastern on Thursday, which showed a slightly lower rate (+0.44% m/m) than expected, and then on Friday, there were hints from the Chines…
Image | Tech Issues; Fourth Turning Cycle Timing
Tech Issues; Fourth Turning Cycle Timing
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

This week, it was the European Central Bank’s turn to raise rates, this time by 75 basis points to yield a massive 1.5% for deposits.  Just kidding about the massive part. The ECB has a lot of rate-increasing to do to catch up with the Fed, but the currency moves this week seemed to hint…
Tech Issues; Fourth Turning Cycle Timing
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

This week, it was the European Central Bank’s turn to raise rates, this time by 75 basis points to yield a massive 1.5% for deposits.  Just kidding about the massive part. The ECB has a lot of rate-increasing to do to catch up with the Fed, but the currency moves this week seemed to hint…
Image | Can The Central Banks Rescue This Mess One Final Time?
Can The Central Banks Rescue This Mess One Final Time?
 PREVIEW
by Chris Martenson

In Part I of Episode 81, I laid out the constellation of techniques I use to parse through our overly complicated world. Here, I cover my thinking that the central banks are now facing a stark choice; either rescue the “markets” one more time at the expense of the massively higher inflation (and the quicker…
Can The Central Banks Rescue This Mess One Final Time?
 PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

In Part I of Episode 81, I laid out the constellation of techniques I use to parse through our overly complicated world. Here, I cover my thinking that the central banks are now facing a stark choice; either rescue the “markets” one more time at the expense of the massively higher inflation (and the quicker…
Image | The Halloween Peak Insider Live
The Halloween Peak Insider Live
 PREVIEW
by Ivor

It’s the spooky season…and we’re just talking about oil, the markets, Credit Suisse, Russia, the European energy crisis and the Bank of England. Forget Halloween…we’ve got zombie leaders (Pres. Biden, Justin Turdeau), witches (can we say that about Christine Lagarde, or Nancy Pelosi?), psycho killers (Fauci and the Pfizer executive team), vampires (central banks, WEF,…
The Halloween Peak Insider Live
 PREVIEW by Ivor

It’s the spooky season…and we’re just talking about oil, the markets, Credit Suisse, Russia, the European energy crisis and the Bank of England. Forget Halloween…we’ve got zombie leaders (Pres. Biden, Justin Turdeau), witches (can we say that about Christine Lagarde, or Nancy Pelosi?), psycho killers (Fauci and the Pfizer executive team), vampires (central banks, WEF,…
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 Prep Now for the Coming Winter Challenges
I’ve been doing a lot of thinking about the needs and sustainability of our family. We have six young children, our oldest just turned 12 and our youngest just turned 3 months old. I love the considerations that the article had above and thought I would add a few things that I have considered for our situation. My...
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