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Image | China’s Gold Rush: ETF Inflows and Tariff Tensions Drive Prices
China’s Gold Rush: ETF Inflows and Tariff Tensions Drive Prices
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

China’s gold ETF inflows surged, driven by tariff fears, but prices dipped as trade talks progressed. Will gold ease further if U.S.-China tensions cool?
China’s Gold Rush: ETF Inflows and Tariff Tensions Drive Prices
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

China’s gold ETF inflows surged, driven by tariff fears, but prices dipped as trade talks progressed. Will gold ease further if U.S.-China tensions cool?
Image | Home Sales Sinking, DOGE Plows On, and Gold’s Powerful Moves
Home Sales Sinking, DOGE Plows On, and Gold’s Powerful Moves
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

At first, I thought the panic rush of gold into the US had to do with “something in Europe” – money fleeing for some reason, like war.  Now, given the audit of Fort Knox coming up, I’m thinking maybe there’s another factor.  (…) I’m still waiting for the “recession” impulse to appear in earnest.   One…
Home Sales Sinking, DOGE Plows On, and Gold’s Powerful Moves
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

At first, I thought the panic rush of gold into the US had to do with “something in Europe” – money fleeing for some reason, like war.  Now, given the audit of Fort Knox coming up, I’m thinking maybe there’s another factor.  (…) I’m still waiting for the “recession” impulse to appear in earnest.   One…
Image | A New Gold High, and Junk Bonds Are My Coal Mine Canaries (Somebody Call the Vet!)
A New Gold High, and Junk Bonds Are My Coal Mine Canaries (Somebody Call the Vet!)
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

What will Ed Dowd’s upcoming deflationary event do to the prices of everything?  Do we really think silver will continue moving higher if everything else drops in price?  My position hasn’t changed – I’m 50% in cash.  I’m looking to buy the sale, so I’m definitely talking my position – this is not financial advice. …
A New Gold High, and Junk Bonds Are My Coal Mine Canaries (Somebody Call the Vet!)
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

What will Ed Dowd’s upcoming deflationary event do to the prices of everything?  Do we really think silver will continue moving higher if everything else drops in price?  My position hasn’t changed – I’m 50% in cash.  I’m looking to buy the sale, so I’m definitely talking my position – this is not financial advice. …
Image | Economic Turds, the Gold-Dollar Correction, and the Avoided Timeline
Economic Turds, the Gold-Dollar Correction, and the Avoided Timeline
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

A huge jump in supply of homes for sale is consistent with an imminent recession. But the good news is the alternative timeline we dodged with the Trump election, which would have otherwise brought more illegal invasion, wealth confiscation, and less health & freedom all around.
Economic Turds, the Gold-Dollar Correction, and the Avoided Timeline
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

A huge jump in supply of homes for sale is consistent with an imminent recession. But the good news is the alternative timeline we dodged with the Trump election, which would have otherwise brought more illegal invasion, wealth confiscation, and less health & freedom all around.
Image | PM Correction, Rate Increase Ahead, No Reform w/o Crash & Burn
PM Correction, Rate Increase Ahead, No Reform w/o Crash & Burn
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

Consumer Sentiment: 59.2, expected 58.0, previous 57.7; contractionary. Q1 GDP (2nd estimate): +0.3% q/q (+1.3% annualized), up from +0.275% (1st estimate); contractionary. Durable Goods, New Orders (DGORDER): +1.1% m/m, expected -1.1% m/m, prior +3.2%; expansionary. Fed Balance Sheet (WALCL) -20B w/w; deflationary. This week both the 1 and 10-year rates moved higher, while the 1-month…
PM Correction, Rate Increase Ahead, No Reform w/o Crash & Burn
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

Consumer Sentiment: 59.2, expected 58.0, previous 57.7; contractionary. Q1 GDP (2nd estimate): +0.3% q/q (+1.3% annualized), up from +0.275% (1st estimate); contractionary. Durable Goods, New Orders (DGORDER): +1.1% m/m, expected -1.1% m/m, prior +3.2%; expansionary. Fed Balance Sheet (WALCL) -20B w/w; deflationary. This week both the 1 and 10-year rates moved higher, while the 1-month…
Image | A Gold Divergence; Post Vaccine-War Impact Incoming
A Gold Divergence; Post Vaccine-War Impact Incoming
 PREVIEW
by davefairtex

We had four economic reports this week: Personal Income (PI): +0.22% month over month (m/m) [+0.26% month over m/m prior]; Slowing, negative. Durable goods, New Orders (DGORDER): +5.33%  m/m, Shipments +0.50% m/m. Positive. Median New Home Sales Prices (MSPNHSUS): -16.9k m/m, New Home Supply: -0.2 [to 9 months]. Negative (for housing). GDP: +1.56% quarter over…
A Gold Divergence; Post Vaccine-War Impact Incoming
 PREVIEW by davefairtex

We had four economic reports this week: Personal Income (PI): +0.22% month over month (m/m) [+0.26% month over m/m prior]; Slowing, negative. Durable goods, New Orders (DGORDER): +5.33%  m/m, Shipments +0.50% m/m. Positive. Median New Home Sales Prices (MSPNHSUS): -16.9k m/m, New Home Supply: -0.2 [to 9 months]. Negative (for housing). GDP: +1.56% quarter over…
Image | Deeper Dive Into Europe’s Self-Made Energy Crisis
Deeper Dive Into Europe’s Self-Made Energy Crisis
 PREVIEW
by Ivor

So, EU leaders decided to forcibly cap the price of Russian-supplied natural gas. How’s that going to work out for the Europeans this winter and over the next few years?
Deeper Dive Into Europe’s Self-Made Energy Crisis
 PREVIEW by Ivor

So, EU leaders decided to forcibly cap the price of Russian-supplied natural gas. How’s that going to work out for the Europeans this winter and over the next few years?
Image | 2022 The Year in Review: The War in Ukraine
2022 The Year in Review: The War in Ukraine
by David Collum

Annually, friend-of-the-site David Collum writes a detailed “Year in Review” synopsis full of keen perspective and plenty of wit. He strikes again in his usually poignant and delightfully acerbic way. As with past years, he selected Peak Prosperity as the site where it is published in full. It is longer than our usual posts, but…
2022 The Year in Review: The War in Ukraine
 by David Collum

Annually, friend-of-the-site David Collum writes a detailed “Year in Review” synopsis full of keen perspective and plenty of wit. He strikes again in his usually poignant and delightfully acerbic way. As with past years, he selected Peak Prosperity as the site where it is published in full. It is longer than our usual posts, but…
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I’ve been doing a lot of thinking about the needs and sustainability of our family. We have six young children, our oldest just turned 12 and our youngest just turned 3 months old. I love the considerations that the article had above and thought I would add a few things that I have considered for our situation. My...
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